Resources Connection Stock Forward View - Simple Exponential Smoothing

RGP Stock  USD 4.37  0.10  2.34%   
Resources Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon. Although Resources Connection's naive historical forecasting may sometimes provide an important future outlook for the firm, we suggest always cross-verifying it against solid analysis of Resources Connection's systematic risk associated with finding meaningful patterns of Resources Connection fundamentals over time.
As of today the relative strength index (rsi) of Resources Connection's share price is below 20 indicating that the stock is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards.

Momentum 0

 Sell Peaked

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Resources Connection's future price could yield a significant profit. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Resources Connection, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting Resources Connection's stock price prediction:
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.11)
EPS Estimate Current Year
0.11
EPS Estimate Next Year
0.3067
Wall Street Target Price
6.875
EPS Estimate Current Quarter
0.035
Using Resources Connection hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Resources Connection from the perspective of Resources Connection response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Resources Connection using Resources Connection's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Resources using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Resources Connection's stock price.

Resources Connection Short Interest

An investor who is long Resources Connection may also wish to track short interest. As short interest increases, investors should be becoming more worried about Resources Connection and may potentially protect profits, hedge Resources Connection with its derivative instruments, or be ready for some potential downside.
200 Day MA
5.0149
Short Percent
0.0476
Short Ratio
3.96
Shares Short Prior Month
1.4 M
50 Day MA
4.832

Resources Relative Strength Index

The Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Resources Connection on the next trading day is expected to be 4.37 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.09 and the sum of the absolute errors of 5.60.

Resources Connection Hype to Price Pattern

Investor biases related to Resources Connection's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Resources. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Resources can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Resources Connection. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Resources Connection's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Resources Connection.

Resources Connection Implied Volatility

    
  0.74  
Resources Connection's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Resources Connection stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Resources Connection's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Resources Connection stock will not fluctuate a lot when Resources Connection's options are near their expiration.
The Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Resources Connection on the next trading day is expected to be 4.37 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.09 and the sum of the absolute errors of 5.60.

Resources Connection after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 4.36  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Resources Connection to cross-verify your projections.
To learn how to invest in Resources Stock, please use our How to Invest in Resources Connection guide.

Open Interest Against 2026-05-15 Resources Option Contracts

Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast Resources Connection's spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in Resources Connection's options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for Resources Connection stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current Resources Connection's open interest, investors have to compare it to Resources Connection's spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of Resources Connection is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in Resources. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.

Resources Connection Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Resources price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Resources using various technical indicators. When you analyze Resources charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
Resources Connection simple exponential smoothing forecast is a very popular model used to produce a smoothed price series. Whereas in simple Moving Average models the past observations for Resources Connection are weighted equally, Exponential Smoothing assigns exponentially decreasing weights as Resources Connection prices get older.

Resources Connection Simple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 10th of February

Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Resources Connection on the next trading day is expected to be 4.37 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.09, mean absolute percentage error of 0.02, and the sum of the absolute errors of 5.60.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Resources Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Resources Connection's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Resources Connection Stock Forecast Pattern

Backtest Resources Connection  Resources Connection Price Prediction  Research Analysis  

Resources Connection Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Resources Connection's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Resources Connection's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 1.28 and 7.45, respectively. We have considered Resources Connection's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
4.37
4.37
Expected Value
7.45
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Resources Connection stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Resources Connection stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria112.3857
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors 0.0027
MADMean absolute deviation0.0933
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0199
SAESum of the absolute errors5.599
This simple exponential smoothing model begins by setting Resources Connection forecast for the second period equal to the observation of the first period. In other words, recent Resources Connection observations are given relatively more weight in forecasting than the older observations.

Predictive Modules for Resources Connection

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Resources Connection. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
1.254.367.47
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
1.935.048.15
Details
3 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
6.266.887.63
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
0.030.030.03
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Resources Connection. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Resources Connection's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Resources Connection's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Resources Connection.

Resources Connection After-Hype Price Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Resources Connection at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Resources Connection or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Resources Connection, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Resources Connection Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Resources Connection's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Resources Connection's historical news coverage. Resources Connection's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 1.25 and 7.47, respectively. We have considered Resources Connection's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
4.37
4.36
After-hype Price
7.47
Upside
Resources Connection is slightly risky at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Resources Connection is based on 3 months time horizon.

Resources Connection Stock Price Outlook Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Resources Connection is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Resources Connection backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Resources Connection, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.01 
3.08
 0.00  
 0.00  
9 Events / Month
4 Events / Month
In about 9 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
4.37
4.36
0.23 
3,080  
Notes

Resources Connection Hype Timeline

On the 9th of February Resources Connection is traded for 4.37. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Resources is forecasted to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 4.36. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is over 100%. The price depreciation on the next news is expected to be -0.23%, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at 0.01%. The volatility of related hype on Resources Connection is about 816.98%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 4.37. About 85.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The company has price-to-book ratio of 0.75. Typically companies with comparable Price to Book (P/B) are able to outperform the market in the long run. Resources Connection has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 0.8. The entity recorded a loss per share of 4.01. The firm last dividend was issued on the 20th of February 2026. Resources Connection had 2:1 split on the 2nd of March 2005. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next forecasted press release will be in about 9 days.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Resources Connection to cross-verify your projections.
To learn how to invest in Resources Stock, please use our How to Invest in Resources Connection guide.

Resources Connection Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Resources Connection's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Resources Connection's future price movements. Getting to know how Resources Connection's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Resources Connection may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
FORRForrester Research 0.08 10 per month 0.00 (0.05) 3.03 (3.91) 19.28 
ROMARoma Green Finance 0.12 10 per month 9.58  0.04  29.11 (12.73) 105.24 
GLCPGLCP 0.00 0 per month 0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00 
BLNKBlink Charging Co 0.22 4 per month 0.00 (0.18) 10.45 (8.33) 30.46 
FCELFuelCell Energy 0.22 8 per month 6.29 (0.01) 12.26 (10.27) 35.51 
MVSTMicrovast Holdings(0.08)8 per month 0.00 (0.25) 6.02 (8.87) 18.37 
ESGLESGL Holdings Limited 0.05 3 per month 0.00 (0.22) 1.33 (2.35) 8.91 
TBITrueBlue 0.05 10 per month 2.36  0.05  7.27 (4.33) 24.96 
SRFMSurf Air Mobility 0.21 7 per month 0.00 (0.10) 13.11 (7.98) 33.51 
ISSCInnovative Solutions and 2.90 8 per month 3.07  0.21  9.75 (5.27) 39.02 

Other Forecasting Options for Resources Connection

For every potential investor in Resources, whether a beginner or expert, Resources Connection's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Resources Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Resources. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Resources Connection's price trends.

Resources Connection Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Resources Connection stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Resources Connection could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Resources Connection by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Resources Connection Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Resources Connection stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Resources Connection shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Resources Connection stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Resources Connection entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Resources Connection Risk Indicators

The analysis of Resources Connection's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Resources Connection's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting resources stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Story Coverage note for Resources Connection

The number of cover stories for Resources Connection depends on current market conditions and Resources Connection's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Resources Connection is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Resources Connection's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Resources Connection Short Properties

Resources Connection's future price predictability will typically decrease when Resources Connection's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Resources Connection often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Resources Connection's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Resources Connection's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding33.1 M
Cash And Short Term Investments86.1 M

Additional Tools for Resources Stock Analysis

When running Resources Connection's price analysis, check to measure Resources Connection's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Resources Connection is operating at the current time. Most of Resources Connection's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Resources Connection's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Resources Connection's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Resources Connection to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.