Regal Hotels Stock Forward View - Simple Exponential Smoothing
| RH6B Stock | EUR 0.04 0.0005 1.15% |
Regal Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon. We suggest always using this module together with an analysis of Regal Hotels' historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
As of 27th of February 2026, The relative strength index (RSI) of Regal Hotels' share price is at 51 indicating that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its resistance level. The main idea of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Regal Hotels, making its price go up or down. Momentum 51
Impartial
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.726 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.089 |
Using Regal Hotels hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Regal Hotels International from the perspective of Regal Hotels response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Regal Hotels International on the next trading day is expected to be 0.04 with a mean absolute deviation of 0 and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.13. Regal Hotels after-hype prediction price | EUR 0.04 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Regal |
Regal Hotels Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Regal price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Regal using various technical indicators. When you analyze Regal charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Regal Hotels Simple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 28th of February
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Regal Hotels International on the next trading day is expected to be 0.04 with a mean absolute deviation of 0, mean absolute percentage error of 0.000013, and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.13.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Regal Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Regal Hotels' next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Regal Hotels Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Regal Hotels | Regal Hotels Price Prediction | Research Analysis |
Regal Hotels Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Regal Hotels' Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Regal Hotels' downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0.0004 and 8.23, respectively. We have considered Regal Hotels' daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Regal Hotels stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Regal Hotels stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 105.0253 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | 1.0E-4 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.0022 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0498 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 0.1347 |
Predictive Modules for Regal Hotels
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Regal Hotels Interna. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Regal Hotels After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Regal Hotels at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Regal Hotels or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Regal Hotels, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Regal Hotels Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Regal Hotels' stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Regal Hotels' historical news coverage. Regal Hotels' after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.00 and 8.23, respectively. We have considered Regal Hotels' daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Regal Hotels is out of control at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Regal Hotels Interna is based on 3 months time horizon.
Regal Hotels Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Regal Hotels is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Regal Hotels backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Regal Hotels, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.00 | 8.19 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 2 Events / Month | 1 Events / Month | In a few days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
0.04 | 0.04 | 6.98 |
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Regal Hotels Hype Timeline
Regal Hotels Interna is at this time traded for 0.04on Frankfurt Exchange of Germany. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Regal is forecasted to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 0.04. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is over 100%. The price drop on the next news is expected to be -6.98%, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at 0.0%. The volatility of related hype on Regal Hotels is about 4777.5%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 0.04. About 75.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders. The company has price-to-book ratio of 0.05. Typically companies with comparable Price to Book (P/B) are able to outperform the market in the long run. Regal Hotels Interna recorded a loss per share of 0.22. The entity last dividend was issued on the 11th of June 2020. Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the next forecasted press release will be in a few days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Regal Hotels to cross-verify your projections.Regal Hotels Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Regal Hotels' direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Regal Hotels' future price movements. Getting to know how Regal Hotels' peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Regal Hotels may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| 9JD | JD SPORTS FASH | (0.01) | 1 per month | 2.08 | 0.03 | 4.65 | (4.21) | 11.50 | |
| CUW | Columbia Sportswear | 0.20 | 9 per month | 1.96 | 0.06 | 4.31 | (2.80) | 17.27 | |
| JUU | RETAIL FOOD GROUP | 0.00 | 3 per month | 1.13 | (0.03) | 1.28 | (2.35) | 16.27 | |
| T2G | Tradegate AG Wertpapierhandelsbank | 0.00 | 1 per month | 0.00 | (0.18) | 0.59 | (1.16) | 6.74 | |
| O3I | FLOW TRADERS LTD | 0.68 | 3 per month | 1.25 | 0.03 | 3.06 | (2.18) | 6.37 | |
| AS7 | ANTA Sports Products | 0.00 | 5 per month | 0.00 | (0.16) | 1.63 | (1.76) | 4.78 | |
| CZ2 | National Retail Properties | 0.33 | 4 per month | 0.85 | 0.02 | 1.68 | (1.79) | 4.22 |
Other Forecasting Options for Regal Hotels
For every potential investor in Regal, whether a beginner or expert, Regal Hotels' price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Regal Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Regal. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Regal Hotels' price trends.Regal Hotels Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Regal Hotels stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Regal Hotels could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Regal Hotels by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Regal Hotels Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Regal Hotels stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Regal Hotels shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Regal Hotels stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Regal Hotels International entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
| Rate Of Daily Change | 0.99 | |||
| Day Median Price | 0.043 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 0.043 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | (0.0003) | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | (0.0005) | |||
| Relative Strength Index | 51.61 |
Regal Hotels Risk Indicators
The analysis of Regal Hotels' basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Regal Hotels' investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting regal stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 4.8 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 7.74 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 9.02 | |||
| Variance | 81.3 | |||
| Downside Variance | 106.95 | |||
| Semi Variance | 59.98 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (6.62) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Regal Hotels
The number of cover stories for Regal Hotels depends on current market conditions and Regal Hotels' risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Regal Hotels is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Regal Hotels' long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Other Information on Investing in Regal Stock
Regal Hotels financial ratios help investors to determine whether Regal Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Regal with respect to the benefits of owning Regal Hotels security.