RHI MAGNESITA Stock Forecast - Double Exponential Smoothing

RHIM Stock   549.95  1.60  0.29%   
The Double Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of RHI MAGNESITA INDIA on the next trading day is expected to be 548.35 with a mean absolute deviation of 9.96 and the sum of the absolute errors of 597.68. RHI Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
  
At this time, RHI MAGNESITA's Liabilities And Stockholders Equity is comparatively stable compared to the past year. Total Liabilities is likely to gain to about 13.3 B in 2024, whereas Common Stock is likely to drop slightly above 138.1 M in 2024.
Double exponential smoothing - also known as Holt exponential smoothing is a refinement of the popular simple exponential smoothing model with an additional trending component. Double exponential smoothing model for RHI MAGNESITA works best with periods where there are trends or seasonality.

RHI MAGNESITA Double Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 20th of December

Given 90 days horizon, the Double Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of RHI MAGNESITA INDIA on the next trading day is expected to be 548.35 with a mean absolute deviation of 9.96, mean absolute percentage error of 158.80, and the sum of the absolute errors of 597.68.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict RHI Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that RHI MAGNESITA's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

RHI MAGNESITA Stock Forecast Pattern

Backtest RHI MAGNESITARHI MAGNESITA Price PredictionBuy or Sell Advice 

RHI MAGNESITA Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting RHI MAGNESITA's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. RHI MAGNESITA's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 546.36 and 550.33, respectively. We have considered RHI MAGNESITA's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
549.95
546.36
Downside
548.35
Expected Value
550.33
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Double Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of RHI MAGNESITA stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent RHI MAGNESITA stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information CriteriaHuge
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors 1.2428
MADMean absolute deviation9.9614
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0174
SAESum of the absolute errors597.684
When RHI MAGNESITA INDIA prices exhibit either an increasing or decreasing trend over time, simple exponential smoothing forecasts tend to lag behind observations. Double exponential smoothing is designed to address this type of data series by taking into account any RHI MAGNESITA INDIA trend in the prices. So in double exponential smoothing past observations are given exponentially smaller weights as the observations get older. In other words, recent RHI MAGNESITA observations are given relatively more weight in forecasting than the older observations.

Predictive Modules for RHI MAGNESITA

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as RHI MAGNESITA INDIA. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
547.36549.34551.32
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
431.22433.20603.19
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
3.103.263.45
Details

Other Forecasting Options for RHI MAGNESITA

For every potential investor in RHI, whether a beginner or expert, RHI MAGNESITA's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. RHI Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in RHI. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying RHI MAGNESITA's price trends.

RHI MAGNESITA Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with RHI MAGNESITA stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of RHI MAGNESITA could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing RHI MAGNESITA by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

RHI MAGNESITA INDIA Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of RHI MAGNESITA's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of RHI MAGNESITA's current price.

RHI MAGNESITA Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how RHI MAGNESITA stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading RHI MAGNESITA shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying RHI MAGNESITA stock market strength indicators, traders can identify RHI MAGNESITA INDIA entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

RHI MAGNESITA Risk Indicators

The analysis of RHI MAGNESITA's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in RHI MAGNESITA's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting rhi stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Also Currently Popular

Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.

Additional Tools for RHI Stock Analysis

When running RHI MAGNESITA's price analysis, check to measure RHI MAGNESITA's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy RHI MAGNESITA is operating at the current time. Most of RHI MAGNESITA's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of RHI MAGNESITA's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move RHI MAGNESITA's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of RHI MAGNESITA to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.