Bodegas Riojanas Stock Forecast - 8 Period Moving Average

RIO Stock  EUR 3.32  0.14  4.05%   
The 8 Period Moving Average forecasted value of Bodegas Riojanas SA on the next trading day is expected to be 3.46 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.08 and the sum of the absolute errors of 4.42. Bodegas Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Bodegas Riojanas stock prices and determine the direction of Bodegas Riojanas SA's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Bodegas Riojanas' historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
  
An 8-period moving average forecast model for Bodegas Riojanas is based on an artificially constructed time series of Bodegas Riojanas daily prices in which the value for a trading day is replaced by the mean of that value and the values for 8 of preceding and succeeding time periods. This model is best suited for price series data that changes over time.

Bodegas Riojanas 8 Period Moving Average Price Forecast For the 26th of November

Given 90 days horizon, the 8 Period Moving Average forecasted value of Bodegas Riojanas SA on the next trading day is expected to be 3.46 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.08, mean absolute percentage error of 0.01, and the sum of the absolute errors of 4.42.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Bodegas Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Bodegas Riojanas' next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Bodegas Riojanas Stock Forecast Pattern

Backtest Bodegas RiojanasBodegas Riojanas Price PredictionBuy or Sell Advice 

Bodegas Riojanas Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Bodegas Riojanas' Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Bodegas Riojanas' downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 1.77 and 5.15, respectively. We have considered Bodegas Riojanas' daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
3.32
3.46
Expected Value
5.15
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the 8 Period Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Bodegas Riojanas stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Bodegas Riojanas stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria98.8811
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors 0.0395
MADMean absolute deviation0.0833
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0227
SAESum of the absolute errors4.4175
The eieght-period moving average method has an advantage over other forecasting models in that it does smooth out peaks and valleys in a set of daily observations. Bodegas Riojanas SA 8-period moving average forecast can only be used reliably to predict one or two periods into the future.

Predictive Modules for Bodegas Riojanas

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Bodegas Riojanas. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
1.633.325.01
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
1.242.934.62
Details

Other Forecasting Options for Bodegas Riojanas

For every potential investor in Bodegas, whether a beginner or expert, Bodegas Riojanas' price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Bodegas Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Bodegas. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Bodegas Riojanas' price trends.

Bodegas Riojanas Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Bodegas Riojanas stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Bodegas Riojanas could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Bodegas Riojanas by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Bodegas Riojanas Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Bodegas Riojanas' price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Bodegas Riojanas' current price.

Bodegas Riojanas Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Bodegas Riojanas stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Bodegas Riojanas shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Bodegas Riojanas stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Bodegas Riojanas SA entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Bodegas Riojanas Risk Indicators

The analysis of Bodegas Riojanas' basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Bodegas Riojanas' investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting bodegas stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Also Currently Popular

Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.

Other Information on Investing in Bodegas Stock

Bodegas Riojanas financial ratios help investors to determine whether Bodegas Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Bodegas with respect to the benefits of owning Bodegas Riojanas security.