Rentokil Initial Pink Sheet Forward View - Simple Exponential Smoothing
| RKLIF Stock | USD 6.06 0.00 0.00% |
Rentokil Pink Sheet outlook is based on your current time horizon. We suggest always using this module together with an analysis of Rentokil Initial's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
As of 10th of February 2026 the relative strength index (rsi) of Rentokil Initial's share price is below 20 indicating that the pink sheet is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards. Momentum 0
Sell Peaked
Oversold | Overbought |
Using Rentokil Initial hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Rentokil Initial plc from the perspective of Rentokil Initial response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Rentokil Initial plc on the next trading day is expected to be 6.06 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.02 and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.98. Rentokil Initial after-hype prediction price | USD 6.06 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as pink sheet price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Rentokil |
Rentokil Initial Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Rentokil price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Rentokil using various technical indicators. When you analyze Rentokil charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
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| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
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| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Rentokil Initial Simple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 11th of February 2026
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Rentokil Initial plc on the next trading day is expected to be 6.06 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.02, mean absolute percentage error of 0, and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.98.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Rentokil Pink Sheet prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Rentokil Initial's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Rentokil Initial Pink Sheet Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Rentokil Initial | Rentokil Initial Price Prediction | Research Analysis |
Rentokil Initial Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Rentokil Initial's Pink Sheet value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Rentokil Initial's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 4.89 and 7.23, respectively. We have considered Rentokil Initial's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Rentokil Initial pink sheet data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Rentokil Initial pink sheet, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 110.7944 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | -0.0163 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.0163 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0029 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 0.98 |
Predictive Modules for Rentokil Initial
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Rentokil Initial plc. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Rentokil Initial After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Rentokil Initial at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Rentokil Initial or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Pink Sheet prices, such as prices of Rentokil Initial, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Rentokil Initial Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Rentokil Initial's pink sheet value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Rentokil Initial's historical news coverage. Rentokil Initial's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 4.88 and 7.24, respectively. We have considered Rentokil Initial's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Rentokil Initial is not too volatile at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Rentokil Initial plc is based on 3 months time horizon.
Rentokil Initial Pink Sheet Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Rentokil Initial is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Rentokil Initial backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Pink Sheet price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Rentokil Initial, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.30 | 1.17 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0 Events / Month | 0 Events / Month | Within a week |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
6.06 | 6.06 | 0.00 |
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Rentokil Initial Hype Timeline
Rentokil Initial plc is at this time traded for 6.06. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Rentokil is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at 0.3%. %. The volatility of related hype on Rentokil Initial is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 6.06. About 76.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The company has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 1.21. Rentokil Initial plc last dividend was issued on the 4th of August 2022. Assuming the 90 days horizon the next forecasted press release will be within a week. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Rentokil Initial to cross-verify your projections.Rentokil Initial Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Rentokil Initial's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Rentokil Initial's future price movements. Getting to know how Rentokil Initial's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Rentokil Initial may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| DNPCF | Dai Nippon Printing | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| IKTSY | Intertek Group Plc | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.16) | 1.96 | (2.58) | 7.11 | |
| VACNY | VAT Group AG | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.32 | 0.22 | 4.35 | (2.80) | 15.69 | |
| IKTSF | Intertek Group plc | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.04) | 6.14 | (5.47) | 15.75 | |
| KPELF | Keppel Limited | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.10 | 0.00 | (0.13) | 23.76 | |
| EBCOY | Ebara Corp ADR | 0.00 | 0 per month | 3.22 | 0.08 | 5.53 | (3.68) | 16.97 | |
| KWHIF | Kawasaki Heavy Industries | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.13 | 3.83 | (1.26) | 20.95 | |
| GEAGF | GEA Group Aktiengesellschaft | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.11) | 0.00 | 0.00 | 8.17 | |
| WRTBF | Wrtsil Oyj Abp | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.22 | 2.65 | 0.00 | 10.60 | |
| KGSPF | Kingspan Group plc | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.47 | 0.09 | 3.80 | (2.84) | 10.24 |
Other Forecasting Options for Rentokil Initial
For every potential investor in Rentokil, whether a beginner or expert, Rentokil Initial's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Rentokil Pink Sheet price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Rentokil. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Rentokil Initial's price trends.Rentokil Initial Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Rentokil Initial pink sheet to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Rentokil Initial could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Rentokil Initial by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Rentokil Initial Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Rentokil Initial pink sheet reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Rentokil Initial shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Rentokil Initial pink sheet market strength indicators, traders can identify Rentokil Initial plc entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Rentokil Initial Risk Indicators
The analysis of Rentokil Initial's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Rentokil Initial's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting rentokil pink sheet prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 0.5436 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 1.17 | |||
| Variance | 1.37 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Rentokil Initial
The number of cover stories for Rentokil Initial depends on current market conditions and Rentokil Initial's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Rentokil Initial is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Rentokil Initial's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Additional Information and Resources on Investing in Rentokil Pink Sheet
When determining whether Rentokil Initial plc offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of Rentokil Initial's financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Rentokil Initial Plc Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Rentokil Initial Plc Stock:Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Rentokil Initial to cross-verify your projections. You can also try the Competition Analyzer module to analyze and compare many basic indicators for a group of related or unrelated entities.