Ralph Lauren Stock Forecast - Simple Moving Average
| RL Stock | USD 352.99 4.80 1.34% |
Ralph Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon.
As of now, the value of RSI of Ralph Lauren's share price is approaching 49 indicating that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its support level. The main point of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Ralph Lauren, making its price go up or down. Momentum 49
Impartial
Oversold | Overbought |
Using Ralph Lauren hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Ralph Lauren Corp from the perspective of Ralph Lauren response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Ralph Lauren Corp on the next trading day is expected to be 355.39 with a mean absolute deviation of 5.14 and the sum of the absolute errors of 303.07. Ralph Lauren after-hype prediction price | USD 352.99 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Ralph Lauren to cross-verify your projections. Ralph Lauren Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Ralph price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Ralph using various technical indicators. When you analyze Ralph charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Ralph Lauren Simple Moving Average Price Forecast For the 29th of January
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Ralph Lauren Corp on the next trading day is expected to be 355.39 with a mean absolute deviation of 5.14, mean absolute percentage error of 43.63, and the sum of the absolute errors of 303.07.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Ralph Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Ralph Lauren's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Ralph Lauren Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Ralph Lauren | Ralph Lauren Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
Ralph Lauren Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Ralph Lauren's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Ralph Lauren's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 353.64 and 357.14, respectively. We have considered Ralph Lauren's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Ralph Lauren stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Ralph Lauren stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 118.2106 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | -0.8814 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 5.1369 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0146 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 303.075 |
Predictive Modules for Ralph Lauren
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Ralph Lauren Corp. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Ralph Lauren After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Ralph Lauren at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Ralph Lauren or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Ralph Lauren, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Ralph Lauren Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Ralph Lauren's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Ralph Lauren's historical news coverage. Ralph Lauren's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 351.24 and 354.74, respectively. We have considered Ralph Lauren's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Ralph Lauren is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Ralph Lauren Corp is based on 3 months time horizon.
Ralph Lauren Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Ralph Lauren is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Ralph Lauren backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Ralph Lauren, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.17 | 1.75 | 0.19 | 0.00 | 5 Events / Month | 2 Events / Month | In about 5 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
352.99 | 352.99 | 0.00 |
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Ralph Lauren Hype Timeline
As of January 28, 2026 Ralph Lauren Corp is listed for 352.99. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.19, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.0. Ralph is expected not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is about 153.51%. The immediate return on the next news is expected to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at 0.17%. %. The volatility of related hype on Ralph Lauren is about 13461.54%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 352.99. About 96.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The company has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 2.02. Ralph Lauren Corp recorded earning per share (EPS) of 13.52. The entity last dividend was issued on the 26th of December 2025. Allowing for the 90-day total investment horizon the next expected press release will be in about 5 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Ralph Lauren to cross-verify your projections.Ralph Lauren Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Ralph Lauren's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Ralph Lauren's future price movements. Getting to know how Ralph Lauren's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Ralph Lauren may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| IHG | InterContinental Hotels Group | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.07 | 0.06 | 2.69 | (2.04) | 7.94 | |
| SW | Smurfit WestRock plc | 1.14 | 6 per month | 1.36 | 0.11 | 4.83 | (2.61) | 10.83 | |
| LULU | Lululemon Athletica | 0.00 | 0 per month | 2.43 | 0.03 | 3.49 | (3.82) | 16.10 | |
| CASY | Caseys General Stores | 1.14 | 10 per month | 1.31 | 0.10 | 2.23 | (2.03) | 9.89 | |
| AMCR | Amcor PLC | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.58 | 0.10 | 2.53 | (1.65) | 10.51 | |
| BURL | Burlington Stores | (2.41) | 9 per month | 2.96 | 0.03 | 4.29 | (3.49) | 17.25 | |
| LI | Li Auto | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.17) | 2.48 | (3.27) | 7.91 | |
| PKG | Packaging Corp of | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.28 | 0.07 | 2.94 | (1.91) | 8.20 | |
| NVR | NVR Inc | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.05 | 0.01 | 2.66 | (1.92) | 5.61 | |
| GPC | Genuine Parts Co | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.24 | 0.06 | 2.82 | (1.80) | 7.35 |
Other Forecasting Options for Ralph Lauren
For every potential investor in Ralph, whether a beginner or expert, Ralph Lauren's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Ralph Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Ralph. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Ralph Lauren's price trends.Ralph Lauren Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Ralph Lauren stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Ralph Lauren could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Ralph Lauren by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Ralph Lauren Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Ralph Lauren stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Ralph Lauren shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Ralph Lauren stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Ralph Lauren Corp entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
| Accumulation Distribution | 11705.67 | |||
| Daily Balance Of Power | (0.63) | |||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 0.99 | |||
| Day Median Price | 353.96 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 353.63 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | (3.36) | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | (4.80) | |||
| Relative Strength Index | 49.5 |
Ralph Lauren Risk Indicators
The analysis of Ralph Lauren's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Ralph Lauren's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting ralph stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 1.47 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 1.34 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 1.75 | |||
| Variance | 3.07 | |||
| Downside Variance | 2.02 | |||
| Semi Variance | 1.79 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (1.82) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Ralph Lauren
The number of cover stories for Ralph Lauren depends on current market conditions and Ralph Lauren's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Ralph Lauren is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Ralph Lauren's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Ralph Lauren Short Properties
Ralph Lauren's future price predictability will typically decrease when Ralph Lauren's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Ralph Lauren Corp often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Ralph Lauren's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Ralph Lauren's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 64 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 2.1 B |
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Ralph Lauren to cross-verify your projections. You can also try the Price Transformation module to use Price Transformation models to analyze the depth of different equity instruments across global markets.
Is Stock space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Ralph Lauren. Anticipated expansion of Ralph directly elevates investor willingness to pay premium valuations. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. Comprehensive Ralph Lauren assessment requires weighing all these inputs, though not all factors influence outcomes equally.
The market value of Ralph Lauren Corp is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Ralph that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Ralph Lauren's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Ralph Lauren's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Ralph Lauren's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Ralph Lauren's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
It's important to distinguish between Ralph Lauren's intrinsic value and market price, which are calculated using different methodologies. Investment decisions regarding Ralph Lauren should consider multiple factors including financial performance, growth metrics, competitive position, and professional analysis. Meanwhile, Ralph Lauren's quoted price indicates the marketplace figure where supply meets demand through bilateral consent.