RLX Technology Stock Forecast - Accumulation Distribution

RLX Stock  USD 2.36  0.07  3.06%   
RLX Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon.
At this time, The relative strength index (RSI) of RLX Technology's share price is at 58 indicating that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its resistance level. The main idea of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling RLX Technology, making its price go up or down.

Momentum 58

 Buy Extended

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of RLX Technology's future price could yield a significant profit. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with RLX Technology, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting RLX Technology's stock price prediction:
Quarterly Earnings Growth
0.217
EPS Estimate Next Quarter
0.2324
EPS Estimate Current Year
0.8527
EPS Estimate Next Year
0.9486
Wall Street Target Price
2.8992
Using RLX Technology hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of RLX Technology from the perspective of RLX Technology response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards RLX Technology using RLX Technology's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards RLX using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of RLX Technology's stock price.

RLX Technology Short Interest

An investor who is long RLX Technology may also wish to track short interest. As short interest increases, investors should be becoming more worried about RLX Technology and may potentially protect profits, hedge RLX Technology with its derivative instruments, or be ready for some potential downside.
200 Day MA
2.2598
Short Percent
0.0115
Short Ratio
2.99
Shares Short Prior Month
M
50 Day MA
2.3606

RLX Relative Strength Index

RLX Technology Hype to Price Pattern

Investor biases related to RLX Technology's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in RLX. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding RLX can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around RLX Technology. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of RLX Technology's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about RLX Technology.

RLX Technology Implied Volatility

    
  1.21  
RLX Technology's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of RLX Technology stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if RLX Technology's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that RLX Technology stock will not fluctuate a lot when RLX Technology's options are near their expiration.

RLX Technology after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 2.36  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of RLX Technology to cross-verify your projections.
For more information on how to buy RLX Stock please use our How to Invest in RLX Technology guide.

Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current RLX contract

Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that RLX Technology will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.0756% per day over the life of the 2026-04-17 option contract. With RLX Technology trading at USD 2.36, that is roughly USD 0.001785 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating RLX Technology's daily price movement you should consider acquiring RLX Technology options at the current volatility level of 1.21%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.

Open Interest Against 2026-04-17 RLX Option Contracts

Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast RLX Technology's spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in RLX Technology's options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for RLX Technology stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current RLX Technology's open interest, investors have to compare it to RLX Technology's spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of RLX Technology is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in RLX. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.

RLX Technology Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine RLX price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for RLX using various technical indicators. When you analyze RLX charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
RLX Technology has current Accumulation Distribution of 0.0297. The accumulation distribution (A/D) indicator shows the degree to which RLX Technology is accumulated by the market over a given period. It uses the quote sensitivity to the highest or lowest daily price of RLX Technology to determine if accumulation or reduction is taking place in the market. This value is adjusted by RLX Technology trading volume to give more weight to distributions with higher volume over lower volume.
Check RLX Technology VolatilityBacktest RLX TechnologyInformation Ratio  

RLX Technology Trading Date Momentum

On January 27 2026 RLX Technology was traded for  2.36  at the closing time. Highest RLX Technology's price during the trading hours was 2.36  and the lowest price during the day was  2.29 . There was no trading activity during the period 0.0. Lack of trading volume on the 27th of January did not cause price change. The trading delta at closing time to current price is 2.97% .
Accumulation distribution indicator can signal that a trend is either nearing completion, at a continuation, or is about to break-outs. The actual value of this indicator is of no significance. What is significant is the change in value of over time. The formula for A/D of a given trading day can be expressed as follow: ((Close - Low) - (High - Close)) / (High - Low) X Volume
Compare RLX Technology to competition

Other Forecasting Options for RLX Technology

For every potential investor in RLX, whether a beginner or expert, RLX Technology's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. RLX Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in RLX. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying RLX Technology's price trends.

RLX Technology Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with RLX Technology stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of RLX Technology could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing RLX Technology by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

RLX Technology Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how RLX Technology stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading RLX Technology shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying RLX Technology stock market strength indicators, traders can identify RLX Technology entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

RLX Technology Risk Indicators

The analysis of RLX Technology's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in RLX Technology's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting rlx stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Story Coverage note for RLX Technology

The number of cover stories for RLX Technology depends on current market conditions and RLX Technology's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that RLX Technology is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about RLX Technology's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Other Macroaxis Stories

Our audience includes start-ups and big corporations as well as marketing, public relation firms, and advertising agencies, including technology and finance journalists. Our platform and its news and story outlet are popular among finance students, amateur traders, self-guided investors, entrepreneurs, retirees and baby boomers, academic researchers, financial advisers, as well as professional money managers - a very diverse and influential demographic landscape united by one goal - build optimal investment portfolios

RLX Technology Short Properties

RLX Technology's future price predictability will typically decrease when RLX Technology's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of RLX Technology often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential RLX Technology's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. RLX Technology's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding1.3 B
Cash And Short Term Investments8.5 B

Additional Tools for RLX Stock Analysis

When running RLX Technology's price analysis, check to measure RLX Technology's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy RLX Technology is operating at the current time. Most of RLX Technology's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of RLX Technology's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move RLX Technology's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of RLX Technology to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.