ResMed Stock Forward View - Simple Exponential Smoothing
| RMD Stock | USD 254.74 3.57 1.38% |
ResMed Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast ResMed stock prices and determine the direction of ResMed Inc's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We suggest always using this module together with an analysis of ResMed's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
At the present time, The relative strength index (RSI) of ResMed's share price is at 53 indicating that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its resistance level. The main idea of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling ResMed, making its price go up or down. Momentum 53
Impartial
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.145 | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 2.7724 | EPS Estimate Current Year 11.021 | EPS Estimate Next Year 12.1626 | Wall Street Target Price 297.4667 |
Using ResMed hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of ResMed Inc from the perspective of ResMed response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards ResMed using ResMed's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards ResMed using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of ResMed's stock price.
ResMed Short Interest
A significant increase or decrease in ResMed's short interest from the previous month could be a good indicator of investor sentiment towards ResMed. Short interest can provide insight into the potential direction of ResMed stock and how bullish or bearish investors feel about the market overall.
200 Day MA 257.9378 | Short Percent 0.0902 | Short Ratio 12.4 | Shares Short Prior Month 10.6 M | 50 Day MA 250.834 |
ResMed Relative Strength Index
The Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of ResMed Inc on the next trading day is expected to be 254.91 with a mean absolute deviation of 2.49 and the sum of the absolute errors of 149.43.ResMed Inc Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to ResMed's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in ResMed. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding ResMed can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around ResMed Inc. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of ResMed's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about ResMed.
ResMed Implied Volatility | 0.43 |
ResMed's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of ResMed Inc stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if ResMed's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that ResMed stock will not fluctuate a lot when ResMed's options are near their expiration.
The Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of ResMed Inc on the next trading day is expected to be 254.91 with a mean absolute deviation of 2.49 and the sum of the absolute errors of 149.43. ResMed after-hype prediction price | USD 254.74 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of ResMed to cross-verify your projections. Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current ResMed contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that ResMed Inc will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.0269% per day over the life of the 2026-04-17 option contract. With ResMed trading at USD 254.74, that is roughly USD 0.0685 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating ResMed's daily price movement you should consider acquiring ResMed Inc options at the current volatility level of 0.43%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Open Interest Against 2026-04-17 ResMed Option Contracts
Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast ResMed's spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in ResMed's options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for ResMed stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current ResMed's open interest, investors have to compare it to ResMed's spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of ResMed is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in ResMed. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.
ResMed Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine ResMed price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for ResMed using various technical indicators. When you analyze ResMed charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
ResMed Simple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 4th of February
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of ResMed Inc on the next trading day is expected to be 254.91 with a mean absolute deviation of 2.49, mean absolute percentage error of 10.03, and the sum of the absolute errors of 149.43.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict ResMed Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that ResMed's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
ResMed Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest ResMed | ResMed Price Prediction | Research Analysis |
ResMed Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting ResMed's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. ResMed's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 253.61 and 256.20, respectively. We have considered ResMed's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of ResMed stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent ResMed stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 118.5782 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | -0.2197 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 2.4906 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0099 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 149.4331 |
Predictive Modules for ResMed
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as ResMed Inc. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.ResMed After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of ResMed at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in ResMed or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of ResMed, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
ResMed Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting ResMed's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on ResMed's historical news coverage. ResMed's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 253.45 and 256.03, respectively. We have considered ResMed's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
ResMed is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of ResMed Inc is based on 3 months time horizon.
ResMed Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as ResMed is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading ResMed backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with ResMed, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.08 | 1.30 | 0.03 | 0.33 | 6 Events / Month | 6 Events / Month | In about 6 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
254.74 | 254.74 | 0.00 |
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ResMed Hype Timeline
On the 3rd of February ResMed Inc is traded for 254.74. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.03, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.33. ResMed is expected not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is over 100%. The immediate return on the next news is expected to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at 0.08%. %. The volatility of related hype on ResMed is about 31.86%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 254.41. About 66.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The company has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 1.67. ResMed Inc recorded earning per share (EPS) of 10.1. The entity last dividend was issued on the 13th of November 2025. The firm had 2:1 split on the 31st of August 2010. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next expected press release will be in about 6 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of ResMed to cross-verify your projections.ResMed Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to ResMed's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict ResMed's future price movements. Getting to know how ResMed's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how ResMed may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| ALC | Alcon AG | 0.47 | 10 per month | 0.96 | 0.03 | 3.24 | (1.81) | 6.78 | |
| IQV | IQVIA Holdings | (0.71) | 11 per month | 1.04 | 0.03 | 2.57 | (1.73) | 6.41 | |
| HUM | Humana Inc | (12.05) | 7 per month | 0.00 | (0.19) | 3.79 | (6.01) | 27.31 | |
| GEHC | GE HealthCare Technologies | 1.14 | 10 per month | 1.84 | (0.01) | 2.88 | (3.08) | 7.77 | |
| A | Agilent Technologies | 1.46 | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.1) | 2.90 | (2.58) | 7.85 | |
| MTD | Mettler Toledo International | (24.43) | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.05) | 2.66 | (2.37) | 7.69 | |
| BDX | Becton Dickinson and | 1.11 | 7 per month | 0.84 | 0.07 | 2.93 | (1.77) | 7.14 | |
| CAH | Cardinal Health | (0.75) | 10 per month | 0.47 | 0.19 | 2.69 | (1.71) | 18.07 | |
| HLN | Haleon plc | 0.1 | 8 per month | 1.03 | 0.12 | 2.81 | (1.81) | 6.06 | |
| INSM | Insmed Inc | (7.14) | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.03) | 3.35 | (4.15) | 32.41 |
Other Forecasting Options for ResMed
For every potential investor in ResMed, whether a beginner or expert, ResMed's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. ResMed Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in ResMed. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying ResMed's price trends.ResMed Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with ResMed stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of ResMed could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing ResMed by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
ResMed Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how ResMed stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading ResMed shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying ResMed stock market strength indicators, traders can identify ResMed Inc entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
| Rate Of Daily Change | 0.99 | |||
| Day Median Price | 254.74 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 254.74 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | (1.78) | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | (3.57) | |||
| Relative Strength Index | 53.23 |
ResMed Risk Indicators
The analysis of ResMed's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in ResMed's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting resmed stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 0.9896 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 1.34 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 1.29 | |||
| Variance | 1.66 | |||
| Downside Variance | 1.85 | |||
| Semi Variance | 1.79 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (0.96) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for ResMed
The number of cover stories for ResMed depends on current market conditions and ResMed's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that ResMed is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about ResMed's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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ResMed Short Properties
ResMed's future price predictability will typically decrease when ResMed's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of ResMed Inc often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential ResMed's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. ResMed's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 147.3 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 1.2 B |
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of ResMed to cross-verify your projections. You can also try the Bond Analysis module to evaluate and analyze corporate bonds as a potential investment for your portfolios..
Will Health Care Equipment & Supplies sector continue expanding? Could ResMed diversify its offerings? Factors like these will boost the valuation of ResMed. Anticipated expansion of ResMed directly elevates investor willingness to pay premium valuations. Accurate valuation requires analyzing both current fundamentals and future growth trajectories. Every ResMed data point contributes insight, yet successful analysis hinges on identifying the most consequential variables.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.145 | Dividend Share 2.26 | Earnings Share 10.1 | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.11 |
ResMed Inc's market price often diverges from its book value, the accounting figure shown on ResMed's balance sheet. Smart investors calculate ResMed's intrinsic value - its true economic worth - which may differ significantly from both market price and book value. Seasoned market participants apply comprehensive analytical frameworks to derive fundamental worth and identify mispriced opportunities. Since ResMed's trading price responds to investor sentiment, macroeconomic conditions, and market psychology, it can swing far from fundamental value.
It's important to distinguish between ResMed's intrinsic value and market price, which are calculated using different methodologies. Investment decisions regarding ResMed should consider multiple factors including financial performance, growth metrics, competitive position, and professional analysis. However, ResMed's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.