Rivernorth Opportunistic Fund Forecast - Triple Exponential Smoothing

RMI Fund  USD 15.82  0.09  0.57%   
The Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Rivernorth Opportunistic Municipalome on the next trading day is expected to be 15.83 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.06 and the sum of the absolute errors of 3.63. Rivernorth Fund Forecast is based on your current time horizon. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Rivernorth Opportunistic's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
  
Triple exponential smoothing for Rivernorth Opportunistic - also known as the Winters method - is a refinement of the popular double exponential smoothing model with the addition of periodicity (seasonality) component. Simple exponential smoothing technique works best with data where there are no trend or seasonality components to the data. When Rivernorth Opportunistic prices exhibit either an increasing or decreasing trend over time, simple exponential smoothing forecasts tend to lag behind observations. Double exponential smoothing is designed to address this type of data series by taking into account any trend in Rivernorth Opportunistic price movement. However, neither of these exponential smoothing models address any seasonality of Rivernorth Opportunistic.

Rivernorth Opportunistic Triple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 27th of November

Given 90 days horizon, the Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Rivernorth Opportunistic Municipalome on the next trading day is expected to be 15.83 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.06, mean absolute percentage error of 0.01, and the sum of the absolute errors of 3.63.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Rivernorth Fund prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Rivernorth Opportunistic's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Rivernorth Opportunistic Fund Forecast Pattern

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Rivernorth Opportunistic Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Rivernorth Opportunistic's Fund value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Rivernorth Opportunistic's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 15.33 and 16.33, respectively. We have considered Rivernorth Opportunistic's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
15.82
15.83
Expected Value
16.33
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Rivernorth Opportunistic fund data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Rivernorth Opportunistic fund, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information CriteriaHuge
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors 0.0065
MADMean absolute deviation0.0605
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0038
SAESum of the absolute errors3.63
As with simple exponential smoothing, in triple exponential smoothing models past Rivernorth Opportunistic observations are given exponentially smaller weights as the observations get older. In other words, recent observations are given relatively more weight in forecasting than the older Rivernorth Opportunistic Municipalome observations.

Predictive Modules for Rivernorth Opportunistic

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Rivernorth Opportunistic. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
15.3315.8216.31
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
15.2015.6916.18
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
15.5915.8016.01
Details

Other Forecasting Options for Rivernorth Opportunistic

For every potential investor in Rivernorth, whether a beginner or expert, Rivernorth Opportunistic's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Rivernorth Fund price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Rivernorth. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Rivernorth Opportunistic's price trends.

Rivernorth Opportunistic Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Rivernorth Opportunistic fund to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Rivernorth Opportunistic could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Rivernorth Opportunistic by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Rivernorth Opportunistic Technical and Predictive Analytics

The fund market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Rivernorth Opportunistic's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Rivernorth Opportunistic's current price.

Rivernorth Opportunistic Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Rivernorth Opportunistic fund reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Rivernorth Opportunistic shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Rivernorth Opportunistic fund market strength indicators, traders can identify Rivernorth Opportunistic Municipalome entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Rivernorth Opportunistic Risk Indicators

The analysis of Rivernorth Opportunistic's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Rivernorth Opportunistic's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting rivernorth fund prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Currently Active Assets on Macroaxis

Other Information on Investing in Rivernorth Fund

Rivernorth Opportunistic financial ratios help investors to determine whether Rivernorth Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Rivernorth with respect to the benefits of owning Rivernorth Opportunistic security.
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