Rimon Consulting Stock Forecast - Triple Exponential Smoothing

RMON Stock   4,496  18.00  0.40%   
The Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Rimon Consulting Management on the next trading day is expected to be 4,576 with a mean absolute deviation of 65.68 and the sum of the absolute errors of 3,941. Rimon Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Rimon Consulting stock prices and determine the direction of Rimon Consulting Management's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Rimon Consulting's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
  
Triple exponential smoothing for Rimon Consulting - also known as the Winters method - is a refinement of the popular double exponential smoothing model with the addition of periodicity (seasonality) component. Simple exponential smoothing technique works best with data where there are no trend or seasonality components to the data. When Rimon Consulting prices exhibit either an increasing or decreasing trend over time, simple exponential smoothing forecasts tend to lag behind observations. Double exponential smoothing is designed to address this type of data series by taking into account any trend in Rimon Consulting price movement. However, neither of these exponential smoothing models address any seasonality of Rimon Consulting Man.

Rimon Consulting Triple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 28th of November

Given 90 days horizon, the Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Rimon Consulting Management on the next trading day is expected to be 4,576 with a mean absolute deviation of 65.68, mean absolute percentage error of 9,736, and the sum of the absolute errors of 3,941.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Rimon Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Rimon Consulting's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Rimon Consulting Stock Forecast Pattern

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Rimon Consulting Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Rimon Consulting's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Rimon Consulting's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 4,574 and 4,579, respectively. We have considered Rimon Consulting's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
4,496
4,576
Expected Value
4,579
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Rimon Consulting stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Rimon Consulting stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information CriteriaHuge
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors -13.6423
MADMean absolute deviation65.6816
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.019
SAESum of the absolute errors3940.8936
As with simple exponential smoothing, in triple exponential smoothing models past Rimon Consulting observations are given exponentially smaller weights as the observations get older. In other words, recent observations are given relatively more weight in forecasting than the older Rimon Consulting Management observations.

Predictive Modules for Rimon Consulting

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Rimon Consulting Man. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
4,4934,4964,499
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
4,0464,7044,706
Details

Other Forecasting Options for Rimon Consulting

For every potential investor in Rimon, whether a beginner or expert, Rimon Consulting's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Rimon Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Rimon. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Rimon Consulting's price trends.

Rimon Consulting Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Rimon Consulting stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Rimon Consulting could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Rimon Consulting by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Rimon Consulting Man Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Rimon Consulting's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Rimon Consulting's current price.

Rimon Consulting Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Rimon Consulting stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Rimon Consulting shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Rimon Consulting stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Rimon Consulting Management entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Rimon Consulting Risk Indicators

The analysis of Rimon Consulting's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Rimon Consulting's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting rimon stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Also Currently Popular

Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.

Other Information on Investing in Rimon Stock

Rimon Consulting financial ratios help investors to determine whether Rimon Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Rimon with respect to the benefits of owning Rimon Consulting security.