Rand Merchant Pink Sheet Forecast - Naive Prediction
| RMRHF Stock | USD 1.87 0.00 0.00% |
Rand Pink Sheet outlook is based on your current time horizon. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Rand Merchant's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
As of 27th of January 2026 the relative strength index (rsi) of Rand Merchant's share price is below 20 indicating that the pink sheet is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards. Momentum 0
Sell Peaked
Oversold | Overbought |
Using Rand Merchant hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Rand Merchant Investment from the perspective of Rand Merchant response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Rand Merchant Investment on the next trading day is expected to be 1.87 with a mean absolute deviation of 0 and the sum of the absolute errors of 0. Rand Merchant after-hype prediction price | USD 1.87 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as pink sheet price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
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Rand Merchant Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Rand price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Rand using various technical indicators. When you analyze Rand charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
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| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Rand Merchant Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 28th of January
Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Rand Merchant Investment on the next trading day is expected to be 1.87 with a mean absolute deviation of 0, mean absolute percentage error of 0, and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Rand Pink Sheet prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Rand Merchant's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Rand Merchant Pink Sheet Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Rand Merchant | Rand Merchant Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
Rand Merchant Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Rand Merchant's Pink Sheet value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Rand Merchant's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 1.87 and 1.87, respectively. We have considered Rand Merchant's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Rand Merchant pink sheet data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Rand Merchant pink sheet, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 50.8416 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.0 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 0.0 |
Predictive Modules for Rand Merchant
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Rand Merchant Investment. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Rand Merchant After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Rand Merchant at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Rand Merchant or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Pink Sheet prices, such as prices of Rand Merchant, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Rand Merchant Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Rand Merchant's pink sheet value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Rand Merchant's historical news coverage. Rand Merchant's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 1.87 and 1.87, respectively. We have considered Rand Merchant's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Rand Merchant is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Rand Merchant Investment is based on 3 months time horizon.
Rand Merchant Pink Sheet Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Rand Merchant is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Rand Merchant backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Pink Sheet price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Rand Merchant, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0 Events / Month | 0 Events / Month | Within a week |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
1.87 | 1.87 | 0.00 |
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Rand Merchant Hype Timeline
Rand Merchant Investment is at this time traded for 1.87. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Rand is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at 0.0%. %. The volatility of related hype on Rand Merchant is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 1.87. About 37.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders. The company has price-to-book ratio of 1.66. Typically companies with comparable Price to Book (P/B) are able to outperform the market in the long run. Rand Merchant Investment last dividend was issued on the 19th of October 2022. Assuming the 90 days horizon the next forecasted press release will be within a week. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Rand Merchant to cross-verify your projections.Rand Merchant Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Rand Merchant's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Rand Merchant's future price movements. Getting to know how Rand Merchant's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Rand Merchant may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| FDIAY | UnipolSai Assicurazioni SpA | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| SUNFF | Sun Life Financial | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.19) | 0.00 | 0.00 | 2.34 | |
| DIISF | Direct Line Insurance | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.14 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 8.48 | |
| TPDKY | Topdanmark AS | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| AFOVF | Australian Foundation Investment | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| DIISY | Direct Line Insurance | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.28 | 0.09 | 3.10 | (1.11) | 12.66 | |
| TPDNF | Topdanmark AS | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| HRGLF | Hargreaves Lansdown Plc | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.08) | 0.00 | 0.00 | 9.80 | |
| DCYHY | Discovery Ltd ADR | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| UNPLF | UnipolSai Assicurazioni SpA | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
Other Forecasting Options for Rand Merchant
For every potential investor in Rand, whether a beginner or expert, Rand Merchant's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Rand Pink Sheet price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Rand. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Rand Merchant's price trends.Rand Merchant Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Rand Merchant pink sheet to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Rand Merchant could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Rand Merchant by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Rand Merchant Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Rand Merchant pink sheet reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Rand Merchant shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Rand Merchant pink sheet market strength indicators, traders can identify Rand Merchant Investment entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Story Coverage note for Rand Merchant
The number of cover stories for Rand Merchant depends on current market conditions and Rand Merchant's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Rand Merchant is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Rand Merchant's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Other Information on Investing in Rand Pink Sheet
Rand Merchant financial ratios help investors to determine whether Rand Pink Sheet is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Rand with respect to the benefits of owning Rand Merchant security.