Rand Merchant Pink Sheet Forecast - Simple Moving Average

RMRHF Stock  USD 1.87  0.00  0.00%   
The Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Rand Merchant Investment on the next trading day is expected to be 1.87 with a mean absolute deviation of 0 and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.15. Rand Pink Sheet Forecast is based on your current time horizon. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Rand Merchant's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
  
A two period moving average forecast for Rand Merchant is based on an daily price series in which the stock price on a given day is replaced by the mean of that price and the preceding price. This model is best suited to price patterns experiencing average volatility.

Rand Merchant Simple Moving Average Price Forecast For the 30th of December

Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Rand Merchant Investment on the next trading day is expected to be 1.87 with a mean absolute deviation of 0, mean absolute percentage error of 0.0002, and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.15.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Rand Pink Sheet prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Rand Merchant's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Rand Merchant Pink Sheet Forecast Pattern

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Rand Merchant Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Rand Merchant's Pink Sheet value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Rand Merchant's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 1.17 and 2.57, respectively. We have considered Rand Merchant's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
1.87
1.87
Expected Value
2.57
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Rand Merchant pink sheet data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Rand Merchant pink sheet, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria105.9752
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors -0.0025
MADMean absolute deviation0.0025
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0014
SAESum of the absolute errors0.15
The simple moving average model is conceptually a linear regression of the current value of Rand Merchant Investment price series against current and previous (unobserved) value of Rand Merchant. In time series analysis, the simple moving-average model is a very common approach for modeling univariate price series models including forecasting prices into the future

Predictive Modules for Rand Merchant

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Rand Merchant Investment. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
1.171.872.57
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
1.071.772.47
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Rand Merchant. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Rand Merchant's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Rand Merchant's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Rand Merchant Investment.

Other Forecasting Options for Rand Merchant

For every potential investor in Rand, whether a beginner or expert, Rand Merchant's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Rand Pink Sheet price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Rand. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Rand Merchant's price trends.

Rand Merchant Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Rand Merchant pink sheet to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Rand Merchant could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Rand Merchant by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Rand Merchant Investment Technical and Predictive Analytics

The pink sheet market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Rand Merchant's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Rand Merchant's current price.

Rand Merchant Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Rand Merchant pink sheet reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Rand Merchant shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Rand Merchant pink sheet market strength indicators, traders can identify Rand Merchant Investment entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Rand Merchant Risk Indicators

The analysis of Rand Merchant's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Rand Merchant's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting rand pink sheet prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

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Other Information on Investing in Rand Pink Sheet

Rand Merchant financial ratios help investors to determine whether Rand Pink Sheet is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Rand with respect to the benefits of owning Rand Merchant security.