Regions Financial Stock Forecast - 4 Period Moving Average

RN7 Stock  EUR 24.80  0.20  0.81%   
The 4 Period Moving Average forecasted value of Regions Financial on the next trading day is expected to be 24.75 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.37 and the sum of the absolute errors of 21.31. Regions Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Regions Financial's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
  
A four-period moving average forecast model for Regions Financial is based on an artificially constructed daily price series in which the value for a given day is replaced by the mean of that value and the values for four preceding and succeeding time periods. This model is best suited to forecast equities with high volatility.

Regions Financial 4 Period Moving Average Price Forecast For the 23rd of November

Given 90 days horizon, the 4 Period Moving Average forecasted value of Regions Financial on the next trading day is expected to be 24.75 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.37, mean absolute percentage error of 0.29, and the sum of the absolute errors of 21.31.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Regions Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Regions Financial's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Regions Financial Stock Forecast Pattern

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Regions Financial Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Regions Financial's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Regions Financial's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 22.86 and 26.64, respectively. We have considered Regions Financial's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
24.80
24.75
Expected Value
26.64
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the 4 Period Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Regions Financial stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Regions Financial stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria109.5297
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors -0.1796
MADMean absolute deviation0.3739
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0169
SAESum of the absolute errors21.3125
The four period moving average method has an advantage over other forecasting models in that it does smooth out peaks and troughs in a set of daily price observations of Regions Financial. However, it also has several disadvantages. In particular this model does not produce an actual prediction equation for Regions Financial and therefore, it cannot be a useful forecasting tool for medium or long range price predictions

Predictive Modules for Regions Financial

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Regions Financial. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
22.9024.8026.70
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
19.3221.2227.28
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
20.4123.0725.72
Details

Other Forecasting Options for Regions Financial

For every potential investor in Regions, whether a beginner or expert, Regions Financial's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Regions Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Regions. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Regions Financial's price trends.

Regions Financial Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Regions Financial stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Regions Financial could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Regions Financial by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Regions Financial Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Regions Financial's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Regions Financial's current price.

Regions Financial Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Regions Financial stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Regions Financial shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Regions Financial stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Regions Financial entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Regions Financial Risk Indicators

The analysis of Regions Financial's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Regions Financial's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting regions stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

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Additional Information and Resources on Investing in Regions Stock

When determining whether Regions Financial is a strong investment it is important to analyze Regions Financial's competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact Regions Financial's future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding Regions Stock, refer to the following important reports:
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Regions Financial to cross-verify your projections.
For more detail on how to invest in Regions Stock please use our How to Invest in Regions Financial guide.
You can also try the Earnings Calls module to check upcoming earnings announcements updated hourly across public exchanges.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Regions Financial's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Regions Financial is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Regions Financial's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.