Renasant Stock Forecast - Simple Exponential Smoothing
| RNST Stock | USD 37.97 1.59 4.37% |
The Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Renasant on the next trading day is expected to be 37.97 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.36 and the sum of the absolute errors of 21.82. Renasant Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
At this time the relative strength index (rsi) of Renasant's share price is below 20 indicating that the stock is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards. Momentum 0
Sell Peaked
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.47) | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 0.79 | EPS Estimate Current Year 2.938 | EPS Estimate Next Year 3.5157 | Wall Street Target Price 42.5714 |
Using Renasant hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Renasant from the perspective of Renasant response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Renasant using Renasant's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Renasant using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Renasant's stock price.
Renasant Short Interest
An investor who is long Renasant may also wish to track short interest. As short interest increases, investors should be becoming more worried about Renasant and may potentially protect profits, hedge Renasant with its derivative instruments, or be ready for some potential downside.
200 Day MA 35.6412 | Short Percent 0.039 | Short Ratio 5.8 | Shares Short Prior Month 1.2 M | 50 Day MA 35.8092 |
Renasant Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to Renasant's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Renasant. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Renasant can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Renasant. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Renasant Implied Volatility | 0.75 |
Renasant's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Renasant stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Renasant's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Renasant stock will not fluctuate a lot when Renasant's options are near their expiration.
The Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Renasant on the next trading day is expected to be 37.97 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.36 and the sum of the absolute errors of 21.82. Renasant after-hype prediction price | USD 37.97 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Renasant to cross-verify your projections. Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Renasant contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Renasant will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.0469% per day over the life of the 2026-03-20 option contract. With Renasant trading at USD 37.97, that is roughly USD 0.0178 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating Renasant's daily price movement you should consider acquiring Renasant options at the current volatility level of 0.75%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Open Interest Against 2026-03-20 Renasant Option Contracts
Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast Renasant's spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in Renasant's options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for Renasant stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current Renasant's open interest, investors have to compare it to Renasant's spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of Renasant is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in Renasant. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.
Renasant Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Renasant price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Renasant using various technical indicators. When you analyze Renasant charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Renasant Simple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 24th of January
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Renasant on the next trading day is expected to be 37.97 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.36, mean absolute percentage error of 0.26, and the sum of the absolute errors of 21.82.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Renasant Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Renasant's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Renasant Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Renasant | Renasant Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
Renasant Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Renasant's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Renasant's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 36.51 and 39.43, respectively. We have considered Renasant's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Renasant stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Renasant stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 114.9399 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | -0.055 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.3637 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0103 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 21.82 |
Predictive Modules for Renasant
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Renasant. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Renasant's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Renasant After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Renasant at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Renasant or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Renasant, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Renasant Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Renasant's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Renasant's historical news coverage. Renasant's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 36.52 and 39.42, respectively. We have considered Renasant's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Renasant is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Renasant is based on 3 months time horizon.
Renasant Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Renasant is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Renasant backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Renasant, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.16 | 1.46 | 0.17 | 0.02 | 21 Events / Month | 7 Events / Month | In about 21 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
37.97 | 37.97 | 0.00 |
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Renasant Hype Timeline
Renasant is at this time traded for 37.97. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.17, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.02. Renasant is projected not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is about 135.19%. The immediate return on the next news is projected to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at 0.16%. %. The volatility of related hype on Renasant is about 966.89%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 37.99. About 90.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The company has price-to-book ratio of 0.94. Typically companies with comparable Price to Book (P/B) are able to outperform the market in the long run. Renasant has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 1.8. The entity last dividend was issued on the 18th of December 2025. The firm had 3:2 split on the 29th of August 2006. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next projected press release will be in about 21 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Renasant to cross-verify your projections.Renasant Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Renasant's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Renasant's future price movements. Getting to know how Renasant's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Renasant may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| FULT | Fulton Financial | (0.08) | 8 per month | 1.00 | 0.15 | 3.25 | (1.65) | 7.45 | |
| FBP | First Bancorp | (0.17) | 11 per month | 1.38 | (0) | 2.75 | (2.65) | 6.39 | |
| CATY | Cathay General Bancorp | 0.86 | 9 per month | 1.10 | 0.08 | 3.14 | (1.80) | 7.31 | |
| CBU | Community Bank System | (0.43) | 8 per month | 0.98 | 0.1 | 2.35 | (1.63) | 5.47 | |
| INDB | Independent Bank | 0.48 | 9 per month | 0.90 | 0.14 | 3.59 | (1.39) | 7.50 | |
| FIBK | First Interstate BancSystem | 0.25 | 9 per month | 1.13 | 0.18 | 4.07 | (1.99) | 9.34 | |
| BKU | BankUnited | 0.49 | 12 per month | 0.59 | 0.24 | 3.30 | (1.47) | 6.37 | |
| WBS | Webster Financial | (0.24) | 10 per month | 0.84 | 0.16 | 2.80 | (1.70) | 5.74 | |
| ASB | Associated Banc Corp | 0.59 | 9 per month | 0.99 | 0.07 | 3.48 | (1.49) | 8.56 | |
| FHB | First Hawaiian | (0.24) | 3 per month | 0.79 | 0.14 | 3.23 | (1.50) | 7.16 |
Other Forecasting Options for Renasant
For every potential investor in Renasant, whether a beginner or expert, Renasant's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Renasant Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Renasant. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Renasant's price trends.Renasant Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Renasant stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Renasant could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Renasant by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Renasant Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Renasant stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Renasant shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Renasant stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Renasant entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Renasant Risk Indicators
The analysis of Renasant's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Renasant's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting renasant stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 1.03 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 1.06 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 1.43 | |||
| Variance | 2.06 | |||
| Downside Variance | 1.72 | |||
| Semi Variance | 1.13 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (1.19) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Renasant
The number of cover stories for Renasant depends on current market conditions and Renasant's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Renasant is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Renasant's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Renasant Short Properties
Renasant's future price predictability will typically decrease when Renasant's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Renasant often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Renasant's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Renasant's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 59.7 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 1.9 B |
Additional Tools for Renasant Stock Analysis
When running Renasant's price analysis, check to measure Renasant's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Renasant is operating at the current time. Most of Renasant's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Renasant's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Renasant's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Renasant to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.