Gibraltar Industries Stock Forward View
| ROCK Stock | USD 51.65 0.39 0.76% |
Gibraltar Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon. Although Gibraltar Industries' naive historical forecasting may sometimes provide an important future outlook for the firm, we suggest always cross-verifying it against solid analysis of Gibraltar Industries' systematic risk associated with finding meaningful patterns of Gibraltar Industries fundamentals over time.
As of now, the relative strength index (RSI) of Gibraltar Industries' share price is approaching 46 indicating that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its support level. The main point of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Gibraltar Industries, making its price go up or down. Momentum 46
Impartial
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.17) | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 1.04 | EPS Estimate Current Year 3.9233 | EPS Estimate Next Year 4.3267 | Wall Street Target Price 73 |
Using Gibraltar Industries hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Gibraltar Industries from the perspective of Gibraltar Industries response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Gibraltar Industries using Gibraltar Industries' stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Gibraltar using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Gibraltar Industries' stock price.
Gibraltar Industries Short Interest
An investor who is long Gibraltar Industries may also wish to track short interest. As short interest increases, investors should be becoming more worried about Gibraltar Industries and may potentially protect profits, hedge Gibraltar Industries with its derivative instruments, or be ready for some potential downside.
200 Day MA 58.638 | Short Percent 0.0184 | Short Ratio 1.54 | Shares Short Prior Month 484 K | 50 Day MA 50.6362 |
Gibraltar Relative Strength Index
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Gibraltar Industries on the next trading day is expected to be 49.79 with a mean absolute deviation of 2.08 and the sum of the absolute errors of 127.06.Gibraltar Industries Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to Gibraltar Industries' public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Gibraltar. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Gibraltar can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Gibraltar Industries. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Gibraltar Industries' market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Gibraltar Industries.
Gibraltar Industries Implied Volatility | 0.87 |
Gibraltar Industries' implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Gibraltar Industries stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Gibraltar Industries' implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Gibraltar Industries stock will not fluctuate a lot when Gibraltar Industries' options are near their expiration.
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Gibraltar Industries on the next trading day is expected to be 49.79 with a mean absolute deviation of 2.08 and the sum of the absolute errors of 127.06. Gibraltar Industries after-hype prediction price | USD 51.8 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
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Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Gibraltar contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Gibraltar Industries will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.0544% per day over the life of the 2026-03-20 option contract. With Gibraltar Industries trading at USD 51.65, that is roughly USD 0.0281 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating Gibraltar Industries' daily price movement you should consider acquiring Gibraltar Industries options at the current volatility level of 0.87%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Open Interest Against 2026-03-20 Gibraltar Option Contracts
Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast Gibraltar Industries' spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in Gibraltar Industries' options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for Gibraltar Industries stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current Gibraltar Industries' open interest, investors have to compare it to Gibraltar Industries' spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of Gibraltar Industries is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in Gibraltar. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.
Gibraltar Industries Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Gibraltar price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Gibraltar using various technical indicators. When you analyze Gibraltar charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Gibraltar Industries Cash Forecast
To forecast cash or other financial indicators, analysts must employ diverse statistical methods, techniques, and algorithms. This approach allows them to detect underlying patterns in the Gibraltar Industries' financial statements, predicting their influence on future market prices.
Cash | First Reported 1993-12-31 | Previous Quarter 43.3 M | Current Value 89.4 M | Quarterly Volatility 67.7 M |
Gibraltar Industries Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 3rd of February
Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Gibraltar Industries on the next trading day is expected to be 49.79 with a mean absolute deviation of 2.08, mean absolute percentage error of 7.21, and the sum of the absolute errors of 127.06.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Gibraltar Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Gibraltar Industries' next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Gibraltar Industries Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Gibraltar Industries | Gibraltar Industries Price Prediction | Research Analysis |
Gibraltar Industries Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Gibraltar Industries' Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Gibraltar Industries' downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 45.92 and 53.66, respectively. We have considered Gibraltar Industries' daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Gibraltar Industries stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Gibraltar Industries stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 120.0865 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 2.083 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0399 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 127.064 |
Predictive Modules for Gibraltar Industries
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Gibraltar Industries. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Gibraltar Industries' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Gibraltar Industries After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Gibraltar Industries at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Gibraltar Industries or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Gibraltar Industries, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Gibraltar Industries Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Gibraltar Industries' stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Gibraltar Industries' historical news coverage. Gibraltar Industries' after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 47.93 and 55.67, respectively. We have considered Gibraltar Industries' daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Gibraltar Industries is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Gibraltar Industries is based on 3 months time horizon.
Gibraltar Industries Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Gibraltar Industries is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Gibraltar Industries backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Gibraltar Industries, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.18 | 3.87 | 0.15 | 0.12 | 10 Events / Month | 7 Events / Month | In about 10 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
51.65 | 51.80 | 0.29 |
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Gibraltar Industries Hype Timeline
Gibraltar Industries is at this time traded for 51.65. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.15, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.12. Gibraltar is forecasted to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 51.8 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is over 100%. The price upswing on the next news is projected to be 0.29%, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at -0.18%. The volatility of related hype on Gibraltar Industries is about 593.36%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 51.77. The company reported the previous year's revenue of 1.31 B. Net Income was 137.34 M with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 364.81 M. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next forecasted press release will be in about 10 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Gibraltar Industries to cross-verify your projections.Gibraltar Industries Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Gibraltar Industries' direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Gibraltar Industries' future price movements. Getting to know how Gibraltar Industries' peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Gibraltar Industries may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| HNI | HNI Corp | (0.46) | 8 per month | 1.49 | 0.05 | 2.32 | (1.73) | 7.38 | |
| PBI | Pitney Bowes | (0.05) | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.09) | 2.65 | (2.96) | 10.54 | |
| SCS | Steelcase | (0.30) | 15 per month | 0.00 | (0.13) | 1.68 | (1.45) | 6.67 | |
| CMBT | CMBTECH NV | 0.1 | 5 per month | 1.64 | 0.21 | 4.58 | (3.12) | 13.21 | |
| ZIM | ZIM Integrated Shipping | (0.78) | 10 per month | 2.57 | 0.19 | 6.15 | (5.40) | 20.91 | |
| DXPE | DXP Enterprises | 5.15 | 12 per month | 4.41 | 0.03 | 4.42 | (3.76) | 18.99 | |
| CECO | CECO Environmental Corp | 0.46 | 7 per month | 2.96 | 0.13 | 4.25 | (4.56) | 13.46 | |
| VVX | V2X Inc | 1.57 | 8 per month | 1.62 | 0.09 | 3.81 | (2.27) | 10.12 | |
| KMT | Kennametal | 0.18 | 10 per month | 0.75 | 0.24 | 4.67 | (1.67) | 17.95 |
Other Forecasting Options for Gibraltar Industries
For every potential investor in Gibraltar, whether a beginner or expert, Gibraltar Industries' price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Gibraltar Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Gibraltar. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Gibraltar Industries' price trends.Gibraltar Industries Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Gibraltar Industries stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Gibraltar Industries could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Gibraltar Industries by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Gibraltar Industries Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Gibraltar Industries stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Gibraltar Industries shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Gibraltar Industries stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Gibraltar Industries entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Gibraltar Industries Risk Indicators
The analysis of Gibraltar Industries' basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Gibraltar Industries' investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting gibraltar stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 2.26 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 3.8 | |||
| Variance | 14.46 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Gibraltar Industries
The number of cover stories for Gibraltar Industries depends on current market conditions and Gibraltar Industries' risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Gibraltar Industries is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Gibraltar Industries' long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Gibraltar Industries Short Properties
Gibraltar Industries' future price predictability will typically decrease when Gibraltar Industries' long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Gibraltar Industries often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Gibraltar Industries' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Gibraltar Industries' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 30.8 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 269.5 M |
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Gibraltar Industries to cross-verify your projections. For more information on how to buy Gibraltar Stock please use our How to buy in Gibraltar Stock guide.You can also try the Cryptocurrency Center module to build and monitor diversified portfolio of extremely risky digital assets and cryptocurrency.
Is Building Products space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Gibraltar Industries. Anticipated expansion of Gibraltar directly elevates investor willingness to pay premium valuations. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. Comprehensive Gibraltar Industries assessment requires weighing all these inputs, though not all factors influence outcomes equally.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.17) | Earnings Share 4.46 | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.122 | Return On Assets |
Understanding Gibraltar Industries requires distinguishing between market price and book value, where the latter reflects Gibraltar's accounting equity. The concept of intrinsic value—what Gibraltar Industries' is actually worth based on fundamentals—guides informed investors toward better entry and exit points. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Market sentiment, economic cycles, and investor behavior can push Gibraltar Industries' price substantially above or below its fundamental value.
It's important to distinguish between Gibraltar Industries' intrinsic value and market price, which are calculated using different methodologies. Investment decisions regarding Gibraltar Industries should consider multiple factors including financial performance, growth metrics, competitive position, and professional analysis. In contrast, Gibraltar Industries' trading price reflects the actual exchange value where willing buyers and sellers reach mutual agreement.