Romerike Sparebank Stock Forecast - Simple Exponential Smoothing

ROMER Stock   125.86  0.08  0.06%   
The Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Romerike Sparebank on the next trading day is expected to be 125.86 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.52 and the sum of the absolute errors of 31.34. Romerike Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
  
Romerike Sparebank simple exponential smoothing forecast is a very popular model used to produce a smoothed price series. Whereas in simple Moving Average models the past observations for Romerike Sparebank are weighted equally, Exponential Smoothing assigns exponentially decreasing weights as Romerike Sparebank prices get older.

Romerike Sparebank Simple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 28th of November

Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Romerike Sparebank on the next trading day is expected to be 125.86 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.52, mean absolute percentage error of 0.94, and the sum of the absolute errors of 31.34.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Romerike Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Romerike Sparebank's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Romerike Sparebank Stock Forecast Pattern

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Romerike Sparebank Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Romerike Sparebank's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Romerike Sparebank's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 124.77 and 126.95, respectively. We have considered Romerike Sparebank's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
125.86
124.77
Downside
125.86
Expected Value
126.95
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Romerike Sparebank stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Romerike Sparebank stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria116.21
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors -0.1438
MADMean absolute deviation0.5223
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0042
SAESum of the absolute errors31.3402
This simple exponential smoothing model begins by setting Romerike Sparebank forecast for the second period equal to the observation of the first period. In other words, recent Romerike Sparebank observations are given relatively more weight in forecasting than the older observations.

Predictive Modules for Romerike Sparebank

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Romerike Sparebank. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
124.77125.86126.95
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
123.22124.31138.45
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
122.15124.91127.67
Details

Other Forecasting Options for Romerike Sparebank

For every potential investor in Romerike, whether a beginner or expert, Romerike Sparebank's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Romerike Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Romerike. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Romerike Sparebank's price trends.

Romerike Sparebank Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Romerike Sparebank stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Romerike Sparebank could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Romerike Sparebank by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Romerike Sparebank Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Romerike Sparebank's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Romerike Sparebank's current price.

Romerike Sparebank Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Romerike Sparebank stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Romerike Sparebank shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Romerike Sparebank stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Romerike Sparebank entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Romerike Sparebank Risk Indicators

The analysis of Romerike Sparebank's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Romerike Sparebank's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting romerike stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

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Other Information on Investing in Romerike Stock

Romerike Sparebank financial ratios help investors to determine whether Romerike Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Romerike with respect to the benefits of owning Romerike Sparebank security.