Rapid Micro Stock Forward View
| RPID Stock | USD 4.68 0.03 0.65% |
Rapid Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Rapid Micro stock prices and determine the direction of Rapid Micro Biosystems's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Rapid Micro's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
The relative strength index (RSI) of Rapid Micro's stock price is about 63 indicating that the stock is rather overbought by investors at the present time. The main point of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to track how fast people are buying or selling Rapid, making its price go up or down. Momentum 63
Buy Extended
Oversold | Overbought |
EPS Estimate Next Quarter (0.22) | EPS Estimate Current Year (1.01) | EPS Estimate Next Year (0.86) | Wall Street Target Price 8 | EPS Estimate Current Quarter (0.24) |
Using Rapid Micro hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Rapid Micro Biosystems from the perspective of Rapid Micro response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
Rapid Relative Strength Index
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Rapid Micro Biosystems on the next trading day is expected to be 4.59 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.17 and the sum of the absolute errors of 10.32.Rapid Micro Biosystems Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to Rapid Micro's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Rapid. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Rapid can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Rapid Micro Biosystems. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Rapid Micro's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Rapid Micro.
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Rapid Micro Biosystems on the next trading day is expected to be 4.59 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.17 and the sum of the absolute errors of 10.32. Rapid Micro after-hype prediction price | USD 4.68 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Rapid Micro to cross-verify your projections. Rapid Micro Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Rapid price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Rapid using various technical indicators. When you analyze Rapid charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Rapid Micro Cash Forecast
Forecasting cash, or other financial indicators, requires analysts to apply different statistical methods, techniques, and algorithms to find hidden patterns within the Rapid Micro's financial statements to predict how it will affect future prices.
Cash | First Reported 2010-03-31 | Previous Quarter 18.3 M | Current Value 18.9 M | Quarterly Volatility 52.7 M |
Rapid Micro Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 31st of January
Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Rapid Micro Biosystems on the next trading day is expected to be 4.59 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.17, mean absolute percentage error of 0.05, and the sum of the absolute errors of 10.32.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Rapid Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Rapid Micro's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Rapid Micro Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Rapid Micro | Rapid Micro Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
Rapid Micro Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Rapid Micro's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Rapid Micro's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0.05 and 10.84, respectively. We have considered Rapid Micro's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Rapid Micro stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Rapid Micro stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 116.8676 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.1664 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.046 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 10.3178 |
Predictive Modules for Rapid Micro
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Rapid Micro Biosystems. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Rapid Micro After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Rapid Micro at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Rapid Micro or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Rapid Micro, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Rapid Micro Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Rapid Micro's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Rapid Micro's historical news coverage. Rapid Micro's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.23 and 10.99, respectively. We have considered Rapid Micro's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Rapid Micro is very risky at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Rapid Micro Biosystems is based on 3 months time horizon.
Rapid Micro Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Rapid Micro is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Rapid Micro backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Rapid Micro, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
1.07 | 6.25 | 0.15 | 0.01 | 8 Events / Month | 6 Events / Month | In about 8 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
4.68 | 4.68 | 0.00 |
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Rapid Micro Hype Timeline
Rapid Micro Biosystems is at this time traded for 4.68. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.15, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.01. Rapid is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is over 100%. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at 1.07%. %. The volatility of related hype on Rapid Micro is about 89285.71%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 4.67. About 59.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The book value of Rapid Micro was at this time reported as 1.0. The company recorded a loss per share of 1.0. Rapid Micro Biosystems had not issued any dividends in recent years. The entity had 1:30 split on the 29th of October 2010. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next forecasted press release will be in about 8 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Rapid Micro to cross-verify your projections.Rapid Micro Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Rapid Micro's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Rapid Micro's future price movements. Getting to know how Rapid Micro's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Rapid Micro may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| LUCD | Lucid Diagnostics | (0.14) | 6 per month | 0.00 | (0.03) | 4.76 | (4.92) | 13.90 | |
| APYX | Apyx Medical | (0.01) | 2 per month | 2.65 | 0.12 | 8.27 | (4.84) | 21.53 | |
| NSPR | InspireMD | (0.01) | 11 per month | 0.00 | (0.10) | 6.53 | (7.11) | 24.29 | |
| RCEL | Avita Medical | (0.02) | 7 per month | 2.42 | 0.04 | 6.67 | (4.23) | 16.25 | |
| LNSR | LENSAR Inc | 0.22 | 5 per month | 2.59 | 0 | 3.29 | (3.39) | 11.85 | |
| CGTX | Cognition Therapeutics | (0.11) | 23 per month | 0.00 | (0.09) | 8.89 | (8.38) | 24.96 | |
| OWLT | Owlet Inc | (0.01) | 12 per month | 4.34 | 0.11 | 8.21 | (7.64) | 24.32 | |
| SERA | Sera Prognostics | (0.01) | 2 per month | 0.00 | (0.03) | 8.96 | (7.10) | 27.30 | |
| VANI | Vivani Medical | 0.05 | 6 per month | 0.00 | (0.02) | 6.99 | (5.62) | 18.10 | |
| TVGN | Tevogen Bio Holdings | (0.03) | 6 per month | 0.00 | (0.16) | 10.00 | (8.89) | 26.81 |
Other Forecasting Options for Rapid Micro
For every potential investor in Rapid, whether a beginner or expert, Rapid Micro's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Rapid Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Rapid. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Rapid Micro's price trends.Rapid Micro Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Rapid Micro stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Rapid Micro could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Rapid Micro by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Rapid Micro Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Rapid Micro stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Rapid Micro shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Rapid Micro stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Rapid Micro Biosystems entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Rapid Micro Risk Indicators
The analysis of Rapid Micro's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Rapid Micro's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting rapid stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 4.36 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 3.4 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 6.08 | |||
| Variance | 36.93 | |||
| Downside Variance | 15.88 | |||
| Semi Variance | 11.55 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (5.81) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Rapid Micro
The number of cover stories for Rapid Micro depends on current market conditions and Rapid Micro's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Rapid Micro is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Rapid Micro's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Rapid Micro Short Properties
Rapid Micro's future price predictability will typically decrease when Rapid Micro's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Rapid Micro Biosystems often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Rapid Micro's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Rapid Micro's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 43.6 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 50.7 M |
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Rapid Micro to cross-verify your projections. You can also try the Portfolio Holdings module to check your current holdings and cash postion to detemine if your portfolio needs rebalancing.
Will Wireless Telecommunication Services sector continue expanding? Could Rapid diversify its offerings? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Rapid Micro. Anticipated expansion of Rapid directly elevates investor willingness to pay premium valuations. Accurate valuation requires analyzing both current fundamentals and future growth trajectories. Every Rapid Micro data point contributes insight, yet successful analysis hinges on identifying the most consequential variables.
Earnings Share (1.00) | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.031 | Return On Assets | Return On Equity |
Rapid Micro Biosystems's market price often diverges from its book value, the accounting figure shown on Rapid's balance sheet. Smart investors calculate Rapid Micro's intrinsic value—its true economic worth—which may differ significantly from both market price and book value. Seasoned market participants apply comprehensive analytical frameworks to derive fundamental worth and identify mispriced opportunities. Since Rapid Micro's trading price responds to investor sentiment, macroeconomic conditions, and market psychology, it can swing far from fundamental value.
It's important to distinguish between Rapid Micro's intrinsic value and market price, which are calculated using different methodologies. Investment decisions regarding Rapid Micro should consider multiple factors including financial performance, growth metrics, competitive position, and professional analysis. However, Rapid Micro's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.