Red Robin Stock Forward View

RRGB Stock  USD 3.76  0.03  0.80%   
Red Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Red Robin stock prices and determine the direction of Red Robin Gourmet's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We suggest always using this module together with an analysis of Red Robin's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
At the present time, the relative strength indicator of Red Robin's share price is approaching 39 indicating that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its support level. The main point of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Red Robin, making its price go up or down.

Momentum 39

 Sell Extended

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Red Robin's future price could yield a significant profit. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Red Robin Gourmet, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting Red Robin's stock price prediction:
EPS Estimate Next Quarter
(0.46)
EPS Estimate Current Year
(0.78)
EPS Estimate Next Year
(0.50)
Wall Street Target Price
11.25
EPS Estimate Current Quarter
(0.78)
Using Red Robin hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Red Robin Gourmet from the perspective of Red Robin response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Red Robin using Red Robin's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Red using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Red Robin's stock price.

Red Robin Short Interest

A significant increase or decrease in Red Robin's short interest from the previous month could be a good indicator of investor sentiment towards Red. Short interest can provide insight into the potential direction of Red Robin stock and how bullish or bearish investors feel about the market overall.
200 Day MA
5.0939
Short Percent
0.148
Short Ratio
11.87
Shares Short Prior Month
2.1 M
50 Day MA
4.0638

Red Relative Strength Index

The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Red Robin Gourmet on the next trading day is expected to be 3.61 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.09 and the sum of the absolute errors of 5.67.

Red Robin Gourmet Hype to Price Pattern

Investor biases related to Red Robin's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Red. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Red can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Red Robin Gourmet. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Red Robin's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Red Robin.

Red Robin Implied Volatility

    
  1.6  
Red Robin's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Red Robin Gourmet stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Red Robin's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Red Robin stock will not fluctuate a lot when Red Robin's options are near their expiration.
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Red Robin Gourmet on the next trading day is expected to be 3.61 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.09 and the sum of the absolute errors of 5.67.

Red Robin after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 3.74  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Red Robin to cross-verify your projections.

Open Interest Against 2026-03-20 Red Option Contracts

Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast Red Robin's spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in Red Robin's options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for Red Robin stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current Red Robin's open interest, investors have to compare it to Red Robin's spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of Red Robin is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in Red. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.

Red Robin Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Red price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Red using various technical indicators. When you analyze Red charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

Red Robin Cash Forecast

Forecasting cash, or other financial indicators, requires analysts to apply different statistical methods, techniques, and algorithms to find hidden patterns within the Red Robin's financial statements to predict how it will affect future prices.
 
Cash  
First Reported
2000-12-31
Previous Quarter
24.4 M
Current Value
21.7 M
Quarterly Volatility
14.6 M
 
Housing Crash
 
Credit Downgrade
 
Yuan Drop
 
Covid
 
Interest Hikes
A naive forecasting model for Red Robin is a special case of the moving average forecasting where the number of periods used for smoothing is one. Therefore, the forecast of Red Robin Gourmet value for a given trading day is simply the observed value for the previous period. Due to the simplistic nature of the naive forecasting model, it can only be used to forecast up to one period.

Red Robin Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 4th of February

Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Red Robin Gourmet on the next trading day is expected to be 3.61 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.09, mean absolute percentage error of 0.01, and the sum of the absolute errors of 5.67.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Red Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Red Robin's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Red Robin Stock Forecast Pattern

Backtest Red Robin  Red Robin Price Prediction  Research Analysis  

Red Robin Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Red Robin's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Red Robin's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0.87 and 6.35, respectively. We have considered Red Robin's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
3.76
3.61
Expected Value
6.35
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Red Robin stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Red Robin stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria113.9022
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation0.093
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0225
SAESum of the absolute errors5.6729
This model is not at all useful as a medium-long range forecasting tool of Red Robin Gourmet. This model is simplistic and is included partly for completeness and partly because of its simplicity. It is unlikely that you'll want to use this model directly to predict Red Robin. Instead, consider using either the moving average model or the more general weighted moving average model with a higher (i.e., greater than 1) number of periods, and possibly a different set of weights.

Predictive Modules for Red Robin

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Red Robin Gourmet. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
1.003.746.48
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
2.815.558.29
Details
5 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
10.2411.2512.49
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Red Robin. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Red Robin's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Red Robin's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Red Robin Gourmet.

Red Robin After-Hype Price Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Red Robin at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Red Robin or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Red Robin, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Red Robin Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Red Robin's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Red Robin's historical news coverage. Red Robin's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 1.00 and 6.48, respectively. We have considered Red Robin's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
3.76
3.74
After-hype Price
6.48
Upside
Red Robin is slightly risky at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Red Robin Gourmet is based on 3 months time horizon.

Red Robin Stock Price Outlook Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Red Robin is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Red Robin backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Red Robin, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.31 
2.74
  0.02 
  0.02 
10 Events / Month
6 Events / Month
In about 10 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
3.76
3.74
0.53 
4,567  
Notes

Red Robin Hype Timeline

Red Robin Gourmet is at this time traded for 3.76. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.02, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.02. Red is forecasted to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 3.74. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is over 100%. The price decrease on the next news is expected to be -0.53%, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at -0.31%. The volatility of related hype on Red Robin is about 5269.23%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 3.78. About 69.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The company has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 2.41. Red Robin Gourmet recorded a loss per share of 3.28. The entity had not issued any dividends in recent years. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next forecasted press release will be in about 10 days.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Red Robin to cross-verify your projections.

Red Robin Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Red Robin's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Red Robin's future price movements. Getting to know how Red Robin's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Red Robin may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
THCHTH International Limited(0.13)11 per month 0.00 (0.11) 5.81 (7.46) 18.19 
CHSNChanson International Holding 0.15 5 per month 0.00 (0.04) 10.05 (5.80) 22.51 
STKSOne Group Hospitality(0.02)8 per month 0.00 (0.05) 5.75 (5.69) 28.79 
GRWGGrowGeneration Corp(0.08)9 per month 0.00 (0.03) 3.33 (5.82) 52.12 
PRPLPurple Innovation 0.03 8 per month 0.00 (0.08) 6.25 (5.48) 27.01 
GENKGEN Restaurant Group(0.02)15 per month 0.00 (0.16) 6.75 (5.51) 16.00 
LAZRLuminar Technologies(0.07)7 per month 0.00 (0.07) 17.05 (45.02) 236.06 
QVCGAQVC Group 0.45 9 per month 9.00  0.04  14.97 (9.85) 46.70 
FLLFull House Resorts 0.18 9 per month 0.00 (0.06) 4.86 (4.87) 16.22 
IRBTIRobot 0.03 7 per month 0.00 (0.11) 21.78 (33.87) 146.53 

Other Forecasting Options for Red Robin

For every potential investor in Red, whether a beginner or expert, Red Robin's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Red Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Red. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Red Robin's price trends.

Red Robin Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Red Robin stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Red Robin could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Red Robin by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Red Robin Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Red Robin stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Red Robin shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Red Robin stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Red Robin Gourmet entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Red Robin Risk Indicators

The analysis of Red Robin's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Red Robin's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting red stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Story Coverage note for Red Robin

The number of cover stories for Red Robin depends on current market conditions and Red Robin's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Red Robin is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Red Robin's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Red Robin Short Properties

Red Robin's future price predictability will typically decrease when Red Robin's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Red Robin Gourmet often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Red Robin's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Red Robin's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding15.7 M
Cash And Short Term Investments30.7 M
When determining whether Red Robin Gourmet offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of Red Robin's financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Red Robin Gourmet Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Red Robin Gourmet Stock:
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Red Robin to cross-verify your projections.
You can also try the Portfolio Analyzer module to portfolio analysis module that provides access to portfolio diagnostics and optimization engine.
Is Hotels, Restaurants & Leisure space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Red Robin. Anticipated expansion of Red directly elevates investor willingness to pay premium valuations. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. Comprehensive Red Robin assessment requires weighing all these inputs, though not all factors influence outcomes equally.
Earnings Share
(3.28)
Revenue Per Share
70.907
Quarterly Revenue Growth
(0.04)
Return On Assets
0.0166
Return On Equity
(2.38)
Investors evaluate Red Robin Gourmet using market value (trading price) and book value (balance sheet equity), each telling a different story. Calculating Red Robin's intrinsic value—the estimated true worth—helps identify when the stock trades at a discount or premium to fair value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. External factors like market trends, sector rotation, and investor psychology can cause Red Robin's market price to deviate significantly from intrinsic value.
It's important to distinguish between Red Robin's intrinsic value and market price, which are calculated using different methodologies. Investment decisions regarding Red Robin should consider multiple factors including financial performance, growth metrics, competitive position, and professional analysis. Conversely, Red Robin's market price signifies the transaction level at which participants voluntarily complete trades.