AutoNation Stock Forward View - Simple Regression
| RWI Stock | EUR 173.05 6.30 3.51% |
AutoNation Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon. We suggest always using this module together with an analysis of AutoNation's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
As of 2nd of February 2026, the value of RSI of AutoNation's share price is approaching 45 indicating that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its support level. The main point of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling AutoNation, making its price go up or down. Momentum 0
Sell Peaked
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.226 | Wall Street Target Price 131.57 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.069 |
Using AutoNation hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of AutoNation from the perspective of AutoNation response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Simple Regression forecasted value of AutoNation on the next trading day is expected to be 184.13 with a mean absolute deviation of 4.40 and the sum of the absolute errors of 268.15. AutoNation after-hype prediction price | EUR 173.05 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
AutoNation |
AutoNation Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine AutoNation price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for AutoNation using various technical indicators. When you analyze AutoNation charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
AutoNation Simple Regression Price Forecast For the 3rd of February
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Regression forecasted value of AutoNation on the next trading day is expected to be 184.13 with a mean absolute deviation of 4.40, mean absolute percentage error of 27.71, and the sum of the absolute errors of 268.15.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict AutoNation Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that AutoNation's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
AutoNation Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest AutoNation | AutoNation Price Prediction | Research Analysis |
AutoNation Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting AutoNation's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. AutoNation's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 182.36 and 185.91, respectively. We have considered AutoNation's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Regression forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of AutoNation stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent AutoNation stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 121.4324 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 4.3959 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0248 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 268.1494 |
Predictive Modules for AutoNation
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as AutoNation. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.AutoNation After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of AutoNation at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in AutoNation or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of AutoNation, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
AutoNation Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting AutoNation's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on AutoNation's historical news coverage. AutoNation's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 171.28 and 174.82, respectively. We have considered AutoNation's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
AutoNation is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of AutoNation is based on 3 months time horizon.
AutoNation Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as AutoNation is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading AutoNation backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with AutoNation, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.02 | 1.77 | 3.56 | 0.00 | 7 Events / Month | 1 Events / Month | In about 7 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
173.05 | 173.05 | 0.00 |
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AutoNation Hype Timeline
AutoNation is at this time traded for 173.05on Frankfurt Exchange of Germany. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -3.56, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.0. AutoNation is estimated not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is about 0.99%. The immediate return on the next news is estimated to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at 0.02%. %. The volatility of related hype on AutoNation is about 2815.91%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 173.05. About 95.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The book value of AutoNation was at this time reported as 56.87. The company has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 0.87. AutoNation recorded earning per share (EPS) of 14.17. The entity had not issued any dividends in recent years. Assuming the 90 days horizon the next estimated press release will be in about 7 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of AutoNation to cross-verify your projections.AutoNation Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to AutoNation's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict AutoNation's future price movements. Getting to know how AutoNation's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how AutoNation may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| GG7 | GRIFFIN MINING LTD | 0.14 | 6 per month | 1.10 | 0.28 | 5.79 | (2.65) | 12.04 | |
| ISHA | INTERSHOP Communications Aktiengesellschaft | (0.01) | 4 per month | 2.68 | 0.03 | 6.35 | (5.22) | 17.08 | |
| FCW3 | ALERION CLEANPOWER | (0.04) | 7 per month | 0.00 | (0.08) | 3.64 | (3.48) | 17.79 | |
| P4Q | Perseus Mining Limited | 0.05 | 8 per month | 2.71 | 0.12 | 4.45 | (3.41) | 16.53 | |
| M8Z | MAGNUM MINING EXP | 0.00 | 4 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| 4C6 | Hutchison Telecommunications Hong | 0.00 | 2 per month | 2.93 | 0.01 | 9.09 | (8.33) | 19.09 | |
| HAM | Harmony Gold Mining | 0.30 | 7 per month | 3.35 | 0.09 | 6.70 | (5.65) | 17.24 |
Other Forecasting Options for AutoNation
For every potential investor in AutoNation, whether a beginner or expert, AutoNation's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. AutoNation Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in AutoNation. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying AutoNation's price trends.AutoNation Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with AutoNation stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of AutoNation could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing AutoNation by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
AutoNation Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how AutoNation stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading AutoNation shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying AutoNation stock market strength indicators, traders can identify AutoNation entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
| Rate Of Daily Change | 0.96 | |||
| Day Median Price | 173.05 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 173.05 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | (3.15) | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | (6.30) | |||
| Relative Strength Index | 45.56 |
AutoNation Risk Indicators
The analysis of AutoNation's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in AutoNation's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting autonation stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 1.42 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 1.83 | |||
| Variance | 3.34 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for AutoNation
The number of cover stories for AutoNation depends on current market conditions and AutoNation's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that AutoNation is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about AutoNation's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of AutoNation to cross-verify your projections. For more detail on how to invest in AutoNation Stock please use our How to Invest in AutoNation guide.You can also try the Competition Analyzer module to analyze and compare many basic indicators for a group of related or unrelated entities.