7125 Percent Stock Forecast - Simple Exponential Smoothing
| RZC Stock | USD 26.41 0.08 0.30% |
The Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of 7125 percent Fixed Rate on the next trading day is expected to be 26.41 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.1 and the sum of the absolute errors of 5.89. 7125 Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast 7125 Percent stock prices and determine the direction of 7125 percent Fixed Rate's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of 7125 Percent's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
7125 |
7125 Percent Simple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 28th of November
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of 7125 percent Fixed Rate on the next trading day is expected to be 26.41 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.1, mean absolute percentage error of 0.01, and the sum of the absolute errors of 5.89.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict 7125 Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that 7125 Percent's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
7125 Percent Stock Forecast Pattern
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7125 Percent Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting 7125 Percent's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. 7125 Percent's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 25.97 and 26.85, respectively. We have considered 7125 Percent's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of 7125 Percent stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent 7125 Percent stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 112.0095 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | -0.0115 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.0982 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0037 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 5.89 |
Predictive Modules for 7125 Percent
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as 7125 percent Fixed. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Other Forecasting Options for 7125 Percent
For every potential investor in 7125, whether a beginner or expert, 7125 Percent's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. 7125 Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in 7125. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying 7125 Percent's price trends.7125 Percent Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with 7125 Percent stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of 7125 Percent could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing 7125 Percent by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
7125 percent Fixed Technical and Predictive Analytics
The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of 7125 Percent's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of 7125 Percent's current price.| Cycle Indicators | ||
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| Volume Indicators |
7125 Percent Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how 7125 Percent stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading 7125 Percent shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying 7125 Percent stock market strength indicators, traders can identify 7125 percent Fixed Rate entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
7125 Percent Risk Indicators
The analysis of 7125 Percent's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in 7125 Percent's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting 7125 stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 0.3663 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 0.3952 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 0.449 | |||
| Variance | 0.2016 | |||
| Downside Variance | 0.217 | |||
| Semi Variance | 0.1562 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (0.41) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Also Currently Popular
Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.When determining whether 7125 percent Fixed offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of 7125 Percent's financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of 7125 Percent Fixed Rate Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on 7125 Percent Fixed Rate Stock:Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of 7125 Percent to cross-verify your projections. You can also try the Volatility Analysis module to get historical volatility and risk analysis based on latest market data.
Is Insurance space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of 7125 Percent. If investors know 7125 will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about 7125 Percent listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
The market value of 7125 percent Fixed is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of 7125 that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of 7125 Percent's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is 7125 Percent's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because 7125 Percent's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect 7125 Percent's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between 7125 Percent's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if 7125 Percent is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, 7125 Percent's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.