Rezolve AI Stock Forecast - Naive Prediction

RZLV Stock   3.04  0.20  7.04%   
Rezolve Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon.
At this time, the relative strength indicator of Rezolve AI's share price is approaching 46 indicating that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its support level. The main point of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Rezolve AI, making its price go up or down.

Momentum 46

 Impartial

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Rezolve AI's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Rezolve AI and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Rezolve AI's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Rezolve AI Limited, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting Rezolve AI's stock price prediction:
EPS Estimate Next Quarter
(0.03)
EPS Estimate Current Year
(0.22)
EPS Estimate Next Year
(0.06)
Wall Street Target Price
10
EPS Estimate Current Quarter
(0.04)
Using Rezolve AI hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Rezolve AI Limited from the perspective of Rezolve AI response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Rezolve AI using Rezolve AI's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Rezolve using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Rezolve AI's stock price.

Rezolve AI Short Interest

An investor who is long Rezolve AI may also wish to track short interest. As short interest increases, investors should be becoming more worried about Rezolve AI and may potentially protect profits, hedge Rezolve AI with its derivative instruments, or be ready for some potential downside.
200 Day MA
3.0669
Short Percent
0.0516
Short Ratio
0.52
Shares Short Prior Month
20.2 M
50 Day MA
5.3478

Rezolve Relative Strength Index

The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Rezolve AI Limited on the next trading day is expected to be 2.23 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.22 and the sum of the absolute errors of 13.95.

Rezolve AI Limited Hype to Price Pattern

Investor biases related to Rezolve AI's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Rezolve. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Rezolve can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Rezolve AI Limited. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Rezolve AI's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Rezolve AI.

Rezolve AI Implied Volatility

    
  2.15  
Rezolve AI's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Rezolve AI Limited stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Rezolve AI's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Rezolve AI stock will not fluctuate a lot when Rezolve AI's options are near their expiration.
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Rezolve AI Limited on the next trading day is expected to be 2.23 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.22 and the sum of the absolute errors of 13.95.

Rezolve AI after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 3.04  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Rezolve AI to cross-verify your projections.

Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Rezolve contract

Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Rezolve AI Limited will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.13% per day over the life of the 2026-04-17 option contract. With Rezolve AI trading at USD 3.04, that is roughly USD 0.004085 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating Rezolve AI's daily price movement you should consider acquiring Rezolve AI Limited options at the current volatility level of 2.15%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.

Open Interest Against 2026-04-17 Rezolve Option Contracts

Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast Rezolve AI's spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in Rezolve AI's options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for Rezolve AI stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current Rezolve AI's open interest, investors have to compare it to Rezolve AI's spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of Rezolve AI is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in Rezolve. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.

Rezolve AI Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Rezolve price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Rezolve using various technical indicators. When you analyze Rezolve charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
Forecasting cash, or other financial indicators, requires analysts to apply different statistical methods, techniques, and algorithms to find hidden patterns within the Rezolve AI's financial statements to predict how it will affect future prices.
 
Cash  
First Reported
2010-12-31
Previous Quarter
10.9 M
Current Value
11.4 M
Quarterly Volatility
3.6 M
 
Credit Downgrade
 
Yuan Drop
 
Covid
 
Interest Hikes
A naive forecasting model for Rezolve AI is a special case of the moving average forecasting where the number of periods used for smoothing is one. Therefore, the forecast of Rezolve AI Limited value for a given trading day is simply the observed value for the previous period. Due to the simplistic nature of the naive forecasting model, it can only be used to forecast up to one period.

Rezolve AI Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 29th of January

Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Rezolve AI Limited on the next trading day is expected to be 2.23 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.22, mean absolute percentage error of 0.07, and the sum of the absolute errors of 13.95.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Rezolve Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Rezolve AI's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Rezolve AI Stock Forecast Pattern

Backtest Rezolve AI  Rezolve AI Price Prediction  Buy or Sell Advice  

Rezolve AI Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Rezolve AI's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Rezolve AI's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0.03 and 10.94, respectively. We have considered Rezolve AI's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
3.04
2.23
Expected Value
10.94
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Rezolve AI stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Rezolve AI stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria117.3474
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation0.2249
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0708
SAESum of the absolute errors13.9453
This model is not at all useful as a medium-long range forecasting tool of Rezolve AI Limited. This model is simplistic and is included partly for completeness and partly because of its simplicity. It is unlikely that you'll want to use this model directly to predict Rezolve AI. Instead, consider using either the moving average model or the more general weighted moving average model with a higher (i.e., greater than 1) number of periods, and possibly a different set of weights.

Predictive Modules for Rezolve AI

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Rezolve AI Limited. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.153.0411.71
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.142.7111.38
Details
5 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
9.1010.0011.10
Details

Rezolve AI After-Hype Price Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Rezolve AI at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Rezolve AI or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Rezolve AI, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Rezolve AI Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Rezolve AI's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Rezolve AI's historical news coverage. Rezolve AI's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.15 and 11.71, respectively. We have considered Rezolve AI's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
3.04
3.04
After-hype Price
11.71
Upside
Rezolve AI is dangerous at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Rezolve AI Limited is based on 3 months time horizon.

Rezolve AI Stock Price Outlook Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Rezolve AI is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Rezolve AI backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Rezolve AI, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.12 
8.71
  0.06 
  0.09 
12 Events / Month
7 Events / Month
In about 12 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
3.04
3.04
0.00 
1,853  
Notes

Rezolve AI Hype Timeline

Rezolve AI Limited is at this time traded for 3.04. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.06, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.09. Rezolve is expected not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is over 100%. The immediate return on the next news is expected to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at -0.12%. %. The volatility of related hype on Rezolve AI is about 1201.38%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 2.95. About 45.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders. The company recorded a loss per share of 0.84. Rezolve AI Limited had not issued any dividends in recent years. The entity had 1:1 split on the 16th of August 2024. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next expected press release will be in about 12 days.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Rezolve AI to cross-verify your projections.

Rezolve AI Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Rezolve AI's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Rezolve AI's future price movements. Getting to know how Rezolve AI's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Rezolve AI may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
GCTGigaCloud Technology Class 0.27 11 per month 2.47  0.14  5.71 (5.45) 36.06 
TIXTTELUS International(5.26)12 per month 0.92  0.07  2.41 (1.78) 17.91 
RDWRRadware 0.29 8 per month 0.00 (0.06) 2.01 (3.00) 6.78 
YEXTYext Inc 1.56 20 per month 0.00 (0.19) 2.04 (2.61) 8.06 
ARQQArqit Quantum 1.56 10 per month 0.00 (0.09) 10.14 (9.81) 25.37 
SUPXSuperX AI Technology 4.34 9 per month 0.00 (0.16) 11.53 (16.32) 44.17 
INDIindie Semiconductor(0.06)10 per month 0.00 (0.05) 7.76 (7.48) 18.10 
HKDAMTD Digital 0.57 13 per month 5.16  0  5.51 (8.72) 93.20 
RPDRapid7 Inc(5.26)6 per month 0.00 (0.20) 3.15 (4.71) 21.42 
VRNTVerint Systems(5.26)3 per month 0.06 (0.32) 0.20 (0.20) 0.79 

Other Forecasting Options for Rezolve AI

For every potential investor in Rezolve, whether a beginner or expert, Rezolve AI's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Rezolve Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Rezolve. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Rezolve AI's price trends.

Rezolve AI Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Rezolve AI stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Rezolve AI could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Rezolve AI by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Rezolve AI Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Rezolve AI stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Rezolve AI shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Rezolve AI stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Rezolve AI Limited entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Rezolve AI Risk Indicators

The analysis of Rezolve AI's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Rezolve AI's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting rezolve stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Story Coverage note for Rezolve AI

The number of cover stories for Rezolve AI depends on current market conditions and Rezolve AI's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Rezolve AI is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Rezolve AI's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Other Macroaxis Stories

Our audience includes start-ups and big corporations as well as marketing, public relation firms, and advertising agencies, including technology and finance journalists. Our platform and its news and story outlet are popular among finance students, amateur traders, self-guided investors, entrepreneurs, retirees and baby boomers, academic researchers, financial advisers, as well as professional money managers - a very diverse and influential demographic landscape united by one goal - build optimal investment portfolios

Rezolve AI Short Properties

Rezolve AI's future price predictability will typically decrease when Rezolve AI's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Rezolve AI Limited often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Rezolve AI's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Rezolve AI's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding7.1 M
Cash And Short Term Investments9.5 M

Additional Tools for Rezolve Stock Analysis

When running Rezolve AI's price analysis, check to measure Rezolve AI's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Rezolve AI is operating at the current time. Most of Rezolve AI's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Rezolve AI's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Rezolve AI's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Rezolve AI to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.