AB Sagax Stock Forecast - 4 Period Moving Average

SAGA-A Stock  SEK 238.00  3.00  1.28%   
The 4 Period Moving Average forecasted value of AB Sagax on the next trading day is expected to be 235.25 with a mean absolute deviation of 5.15 and the sum of the absolute errors of 293.75. SAGA-A Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast AB Sagax stock prices and determine the direction of AB Sagax's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of AB Sagax's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
  
A four-period moving average forecast model for AB Sagax is based on an artificially constructed daily price series in which the value for a given day is replaced by the mean of that value and the values for four preceding and succeeding time periods. This model is best suited to forecast equities with high volatility.

AB Sagax 4 Period Moving Average Price Forecast For the 27th of November

Given 90 days horizon, the 4 Period Moving Average forecasted value of AB Sagax on the next trading day is expected to be 235.25 with a mean absolute deviation of 5.15, mean absolute percentage error of 38.19, and the sum of the absolute errors of 293.75.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict SAGA-A Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that AB Sagax's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

AB Sagax Stock Forecast Pattern

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AB Sagax Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting AB Sagax's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. AB Sagax's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 233.25 and 237.25, respectively. We have considered AB Sagax's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
238.00
233.25
Downside
235.25
Expected Value
237.25
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the 4 Period Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of AB Sagax stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent AB Sagax stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria114.4016
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors 1.3377
MADMean absolute deviation5.1535
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0195
SAESum of the absolute errors293.75
The four period moving average method has an advantage over other forecasting models in that it does smooth out peaks and troughs in a set of daily price observations of AB Sagax. However, it also has several disadvantages. In particular this model does not produce an actual prediction equation for AB Sagax and therefore, it cannot be a useful forecasting tool for medium or long range price predictions

Predictive Modules for AB Sagax

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as AB Sagax. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
236.00238.00240.00
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
205.71207.71261.80
Details

Other Forecasting Options for AB Sagax

For every potential investor in SAGA-A, whether a beginner or expert, AB Sagax's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. SAGA-A Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in SAGA-A. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying AB Sagax's price trends.

AB Sagax Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with AB Sagax stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of AB Sagax could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing AB Sagax by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

AB Sagax Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of AB Sagax's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of AB Sagax's current price.

AB Sagax Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how AB Sagax stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading AB Sagax shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying AB Sagax stock market strength indicators, traders can identify AB Sagax entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

AB Sagax Risk Indicators

The analysis of AB Sagax's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in AB Sagax's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting saga-a stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Thematic Opportunities

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Build portfolios using Macroaxis predefined set of investing ideas. Many of Macroaxis investing ideas can easily outperform a given market. Ideas can also be optimized per your risk profile before portfolio origination is invoked. Macroaxis thematic optimization helps investors identify companies most likely to benefit from changes or shifts in various micro-economic or local macro-level trends. Originating optimal thematic portfolios involves aligning investors' personal views, ideas, and beliefs with their actual investments.
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Other Information on Investing in SAGA-A Stock

AB Sagax financial ratios help investors to determine whether SAGA-A Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in SAGA-A with respect to the benefits of owning AB Sagax security.