Santander Renda Fund Forecast - 4 Period Moving Average

SARE11 Fund  BRL 3.71  0.08  2.20%   
The 4 Period Moving Average forecasted value of Santander Renda De on the next trading day is expected to be 3.67 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.75 and the sum of the absolute errors of 99.51. Santander Fund Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Santander Renda stock prices and determine the direction of Santander Renda De's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Santander Renda's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
  
A four-period moving average forecast model for Santander Renda De is based on an artificially constructed daily price series in which the value for a given day is replaced by the mean of that value and the values for four preceding and succeeding time periods. This model is best suited to forecast equities with high volatility.

Santander Renda 4 Period Moving Average Price Forecast For the 29th of November

Given 90 days horizon, the 4 Period Moving Average forecasted value of Santander Renda De on the next trading day is expected to be 3.67 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.75, mean absolute percentage error of 41.73, and the sum of the absolute errors of 99.51.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Santander Fund prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Santander Renda's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Santander Renda Fund Forecast Pattern

Santander Renda Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Santander Renda's Fund value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Santander Renda's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0.04 and 15.17, respectively. We have considered Santander Renda's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
3.71
3.67
Expected Value
15.17
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the 4 Period Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Santander Renda fund data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Santander Renda fund, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria114.4903
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors 1.5422
MADMean absolute deviation1.7457
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.413
SAESum of the absolute errors99.505
The four period moving average method has an advantage over other forecasting models in that it does smooth out peaks and troughs in a set of daily price observations of Santander Renda. However, it also has several disadvantages. In particular this model does not produce an actual prediction equation for Santander Renda De and therefore, it cannot be a useful forecasting tool for medium or long range price predictions

Predictive Modules for Santander Renda

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Santander Renda De. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.193.7115.21
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.306.0017.50
Details

Other Forecasting Options for Santander Renda

For every potential investor in Santander, whether a beginner or expert, Santander Renda's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Santander Fund price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Santander. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Santander Renda's price trends.

Santander Renda Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Santander Renda fund to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Santander Renda could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Santander Renda by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Santander Renda De Technical and Predictive Analytics

The fund market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Santander Renda's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Santander Renda's current price.

Santander Renda Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Santander Renda fund reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Santander Renda shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Santander Renda fund market strength indicators, traders can identify Santander Renda De entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Santander Renda Risk Indicators

The analysis of Santander Renda's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Santander Renda's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting santander fund prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Also Currently Popular

Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.

Other Information on Investing in Santander Fund

Santander Renda financial ratios help investors to determine whether Santander Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Santander with respect to the benefits of owning Santander Renda security.
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