SBA Communications Stock Forward View - Simple Regression
| SBAC Stock | USD 179.10 2.04 1.13% |
SBA Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast SBA Communications stock prices and determine the direction of SBA Communications Corp's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We suggest always using this module together with an analysis of SBA Communications' historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
At the present time, the relative strength index (RSI) of SBA Communications' share price is approaching 39. This usually implies that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its support level. The main point of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling SBA Communications, making its price go up or down. Momentum 39
Sell Extended
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.08) | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 2.2183 | EPS Estimate Current Year 10.191 | EPS Estimate Next Year 8.6028 | Wall Street Target Price 227.7222 |
Using SBA Communications hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of SBA Communications Corp from the perspective of SBA Communications response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards SBA Communications using SBA Communications' stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards SBA using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of SBA Communications' stock price.
SBA Communications Short Interest
A significant increase or decrease in SBA Communications' short interest from the previous month could be a good indicator of investor sentiment towards SBA. Short interest can provide insight into the potential direction of SBA Communications stock and how bullish or bearish investors feel about the market overall.
200 Day MA 209.864 | Short Percent 0.0288 | Short Ratio 3.44 | Shares Short Prior Month 2.5 M | 50 Day MA 190.016 |
SBA Relative Strength Index
The Simple Regression forecasted value of SBA Communications Corp on the next trading day is expected to be 184.37 with a mean absolute deviation of 2.50 and the sum of the absolute errors of 152.43.SBA Communications Corp Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to SBA Communications' public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in SBA. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding SBA can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around SBA Communications Corp. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of SBA Communications' market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about SBA Communications.
SBA Communications Implied Volatility | 0.4 |
SBA Communications' implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of SBA Communications Corp stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if SBA Communications' implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that SBA Communications stock will not fluctuate a lot when SBA Communications' options are near their expiration.
The Simple Regression forecasted value of SBA Communications Corp on the next trading day is expected to be 184.37 with a mean absolute deviation of 2.50 and the sum of the absolute errors of 152.43. SBA Communications after-hype prediction price | USD 181.55 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of SBA Communications to cross-verify your projections. Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current SBA contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that SBA Communications Corp will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.025% per day over the life of the 2026-03-20 option contract. With SBA Communications trading at USD 179.1, that is roughly USD 0.0448 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating SBA Communications' daily price movement you should consider acquiring SBA Communications Corp options at the current volatility level of 0.4%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Open Interest Against 2026-03-20 SBA Option Contracts
Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast SBA Communications' spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in SBA Communications' options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for SBA Communications stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current SBA Communications' open interest, investors have to compare it to SBA Communications' spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of SBA Communications is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in SBA. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.
SBA Communications Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine SBA price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for SBA using various technical indicators. When you analyze SBA charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
SBA Communications Simple Regression Price Forecast For the 4th of February
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Regression forecasted value of SBA Communications Corp on the next trading day is expected to be 184.37 with a mean absolute deviation of 2.50, mean absolute percentage error of 10.32, and the sum of the absolute errors of 152.43.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict SBA Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that SBA Communications' next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
SBA Communications Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest SBA Communications | SBA Communications Price Prediction | Research Analysis |
SBA Communications Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting SBA Communications' Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. SBA Communications' downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 183.03 and 185.71, respectively. We have considered SBA Communications' daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Regression forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of SBA Communications stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent SBA Communications stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 120.4442 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 2.4989 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0132 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 152.4341 |
Predictive Modules for SBA Communications
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as SBA Communications Corp. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.SBA Communications After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of SBA Communications at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in SBA Communications or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of SBA Communications, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
SBA Communications Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting SBA Communications' stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on SBA Communications' historical news coverage. SBA Communications' after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 180.21 and 182.89, respectively. We have considered SBA Communications' daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
SBA Communications is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of SBA Communications Corp is based on 3 months time horizon.
SBA Communications Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as SBA Communications is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading SBA Communications backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with SBA Communications, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.11 | 1.34 | 0.41 | 0.17 | 10 Events / Month | 6 Events / Month | In about 10 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
179.10 | 181.55 | 0.23 |
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SBA Communications Hype Timeline
SBA Communications Corp is at this time traded for 179.10. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.41, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.17. SBA is forecasted to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 181.55 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is about 35.64%. The price growth on the next news is projected to be 0.23%, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at -0.11%. The volatility of related hype on SBA Communications is about 84.75%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 178.93. The company reported the previous year's revenue of 2.68 B. Net Income was 748.68 M with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 2.1 B. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next forecasted press release will be in about 10 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of SBA Communications to cross-verify your projections.SBA Communications Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to SBA Communications' direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict SBA Communications' future price movements. Getting to know how SBA Communications' peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how SBA Communications may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| EQR | Equity Residential | 1.12 | 10 per month | 1.40 | (0.02) | 2.06 | (1.79) | 6.31 | |
| WY | Weyerhaeuser | 0.15 | 9 per month | 1.22 | 0.06 | 3.49 | (2.19) | 8.64 | |
| INVH | Invitation Homes | (0.10) | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.09) | 2.16 | (2.24) | 9.44 | |
| AVB | AvalonBay Communities | (4.54) | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.09) | 1.92 | (2.28) | 5.11 | |
| BEKE | Ke Holdings | 0.28 | 7 per month | 1.95 | 0 | 3.64 | (3.51) | 10.05 | |
| LAMR | Lamar Advertising | (1.60) | 10 per month | 0.95 | 0.06 | 2.13 | (1.76) | 7.61 | |
| GLPI | Gaming Leisure Properties | (0.15) | 10 per month | 1.14 | (0.02) | 2.80 | (2.06) | 7.00 | |
| ESS | Essex Property Trust | (6.78) | 7 per month | 0.00 | (0.06) | 1.87 | (2.31) | 5.23 | |
| MAA | Mid America Apartment Communities | (2.61) | 12 per month | 1.12 | (0.01) | 2.05 | (1.91) | 5.24 |
Other Forecasting Options for SBA Communications
For every potential investor in SBA, whether a beginner or expert, SBA Communications' price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. SBA Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in SBA. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying SBA Communications' price trends.SBA Communications Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with SBA Communications stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of SBA Communications could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing SBA Communications by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
SBA Communications Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how SBA Communications stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading SBA Communications shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying SBA Communications stock market strength indicators, traders can identify SBA Communications Corp entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
| Rate Of Daily Change | 0.99 | |||
| Day Median Price | 179.1 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 179.1 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | (1.02) | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | (2.04) | |||
| Relative Strength Index | 39.67 |
SBA Communications Risk Indicators
The analysis of SBA Communications' basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in SBA Communications' investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting sba stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 0.9635 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 1.31 | |||
| Variance | 1.72 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for SBA Communications
The number of cover stories for SBA Communications depends on current market conditions and SBA Communications' risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that SBA Communications is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about SBA Communications' long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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SBA Communications Short Properties
SBA Communications' future price predictability will typically decrease when SBA Communications' long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of SBA Communications Corp often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential SBA Communications' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. SBA Communications' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 108.1 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 444.4 M |
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of SBA Communications to cross-verify your projections. You can also try the Bond Analysis module to evaluate and analyze corporate bonds as a potential investment for your portfolios..
Will Telecom Tower REITs sector continue expanding? Could SBA diversify its offerings? Factors like these will boost the valuation of SBA Communications. If investors know SBA will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. Accurate valuation requires analyzing both current fundamentals and future growth trajectories. Every SBA Communications data point contributes insight, yet successful analysis hinges on identifying the most consequential variables.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.08) | Dividend Share 4.31 | Earnings Share 7.95 | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.097 |
The market value of SBA Communications Corp is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of SBA that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of SBA Communications' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is SBA Communications' true underlying value. Seasoned market participants apply comprehensive analytical frameworks to derive fundamental worth and identify mispriced opportunities. Because SBA Communications' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect SBA Communications' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between SBA Communications' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if SBA Communications is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. Meanwhile, SBA Communications' quoted price indicates the marketplace figure where supply meets demand through bilateral consent.