State Bank Pink Sheet Forward View

SBKFF Pink Sheet

USD 115.97 -4.93 -4.08%

State Bank's Naive Prediction forecast is computed from observed closing prices over the selected horizon. The accuracy statistics below distinguish a well-fitted model from one that is smoothing over meaningful price movement. The Naive Prediction model projects State Bank at 105.97 for the next trading day, below the most recent closing price. The Naive Prediction output reflects statistical model results and is provided for reference purposes.

A naive forecasting model for State Bank is a special case of the moving average where the smoothing period is one. The forecast for State Bank of on a given trading day is simply the observed closing price of the previous period. Because it uses only a single lag, this model is limited to one-period-ahead forecasts.

Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 9th of May

Over a 90-day horizon, the Naive Prediction model forecasts State Bank at 105.97 for the next trading day, with a mean absolute deviation of 2.82 , mean absolute percentage error of 0.02 , and sum of absolute errors of 171.88 .

This represents a tight forecast with good short-term tracking of State Bank's price movement. This output is intended for short-term analytical reference.

Pink Sheet Forecast Pattern

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State Bank Price Prediction

Research Analysis

Forecasted Value

The next-day forecast range for State Bank defines statistically derived downside and upside boundaries based on model performance. The forecast band spans 103.38 to 108.56. The moderate spread reflects defined uncertainty around the forecast.

Market Value

115.97

103.38

Downside

105.97

Expected Value

108.56

Upside

Target Odds

Above Odds

Below Odds

Model Predictive Factors

The table below summarizes the Naive Prediction model's error metrics for State Bank pink sheet. Lower MAD and MAPE values indicate tighter forecast accuracy. AIC measures relative model quality — lower values indicate less information loss and a better-fitting model. A large Bias suggests systematic over- or under-prediction.

AIC	Akaike Information Criteria	120.5287
Bias	Arithmetic mean of the errors	None
MAD	Mean absolute deviation	2.8177
MAPE	Mean absolute percentage error	0.0235
SAE	Sum of the absolute errors	171.8805

The naive model produces a tight forecast range but offers no smoothing of noise or trend detection. It serves primarily as a baseline benchmark — if a more complex model cannot outperform the naive forecast, it may indicate that State Bank price movements are largely random over the selected horizon.

Other Forecasting Options for State Bank

Analyzing State Bank's price movement through moving averages at different time horizons reveals whether short-term momentum aligns with the longer-term trend. Touches of the upper or lower band in State Bank's chart signal overbought or oversold conditions.

State Bank Related Equities

These stocks within the Banks—Regional space are often compared to State Bank by analysts and fund managers in the sector. Looking at State Bank's pricing multiples next to these peers shows if the stock trades at a premium or discount.

KBC Groep NV BNP Paribas SA Erste Group Bank BNP Paribas SA Mizuho Financial Group Postal Savings Bank Postal Savings Bank Caixabank SA ADR National Australia Bank CaixaBank SA American Airlines Group Alcoa Corp Apple Inc Best Buy Co Citigroup

Risk & Return

Correlation

State Bank Market Strength Events

For investors tracking State Bank of, market strength indicators offer quantitative evaluation of pink sheet behavior. When Rate of Change diverges from price direction, it often signals weakening momentum before a visible reversal in State Bank.

	Rate Of Daily Change	0.96
	Day Median Price	115.97
	Day Typical Price	115.97
	Price Action Indicator	-2.47
	Period Momentum Indicator	-4.93
	Relative Strength Index	47.14

State Bank Risk Indicators

Analyzing State Bank's basic risk indicators provides a structured view of the risk-return trade-off for state bank pink sheet. Expected shortfall estimates the average loss in the worst-case tail scenarios, going beyond what standard deviation alone captures for State Bank.

	Mean Deviation	1.11
	Standard Deviation	2.51
	Variance	6.28

Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

State Bank Short Properties

Short sentiment tied to State Bank of matters because heavier bearish pressure can change how quickly future price expectations become unstable. Comparing short sentiment with trend behavior, volume, and the broader market narrative provides a more grounded view.

	Common Stock Shares Outstanding	8.92 billion
	Dividends Paid	35.7 billion

More Resources for State Bank Pink Sheet Analysis

State Bank ratios capture relationships across its reported financial data. This information is derived from the most recent year, quarter, or monthly reporting available.

	Naive Prediction
	Simple Exponential Smoothing
	Double Exponential Smoothing
	Triple Exponential Smoothing
	Simple Regression
	Polynomial Regression
	Simple Moving Average
	4 Period Moving Average
	8 Period Moving Average
	20 Period Moving Average