State Bank Pink Sheet Forecast - Simple Moving Average
| SBKFF Stock | USD 106.70 10.54 8.99% |
The Simple Moving Average forecasted value of State Bank of on the next trading day is expected to be 106.70 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.12 and the sum of the absolute errors of 67.12. State Pink Sheet Forecast is based on your current time horizon. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of State Bank's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
As of 23rd of January 2026 the relative strength index (rsi) of State Bank's share price is below 20 . This usually implies that the pink sheet is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards. Momentum 0
Sell Peaked
Oversold | Overbought |
Using State Bank hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of State Bank of from the perspective of State Bank response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Simple Moving Average forecasted value of State Bank of on the next trading day is expected to be 106.70 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.12 and the sum of the absolute errors of 67.12. State Bank after-hype prediction price | USD 106.69 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as pink sheet price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
State |
State Bank Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine State price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for State using various technical indicators. When you analyze State charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
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| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
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| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
State Bank Simple Moving Average Price Forecast For the 24th of January
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Moving Average forecasted value of State Bank of on the next trading day is expected to be 106.70 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.12, mean absolute percentage error of 10.17, and the sum of the absolute errors of 67.12.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict State Pink Sheet prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that State Bank's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
State Bank Pink Sheet Forecast Pattern
| Backtest State Bank | State Bank Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
State Bank Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting State Bank's Pink Sheet value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. State Bank's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 104.04 and 109.36, respectively. We have considered State Bank's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of State Bank pink sheet data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent State Bank pink sheet, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 118.5923 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | -0.0528 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 1.1187 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0101 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 67.125 |
Predictive Modules for State Bank
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as State Bank. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.State Bank After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of State Bank at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in State Bank or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Pink Sheet prices, such as prices of State Bank, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
State Bank Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting State Bank's pink sheet value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on State Bank's historical news coverage. State Bank's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 104.03 and 109.35, respectively. We have considered State Bank's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
State Bank is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of State Bank is based on 3 months time horizon.
State Bank Pink Sheet Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as State Bank is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading State Bank backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Pink Sheet price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with State Bank, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.07 | 2.66 | 0.12 | 0.01 | 2 Events / Month | 1 Events / Month | In a few days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
106.70 | 106.69 | 0.01 |
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State Bank Hype Timeline
State Bank is at this time traded for 106.70. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.12, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.01. State is forecasted to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 106.69. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is about 153.76%. The price reduction on the next news is expected to be -0.01%, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at 0.07%. The volatility of related hype on State Bank is about 1437.84%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 106.69. The company has price-to-book ratio of 1.63. Typically companies with comparable Price to Book (P/B) are able to outperform the market in the long run. State Bank last dividend was issued on the 24th of May 2022. The entity had 2:1 split on the 24th of November 2014. Assuming the 90 days horizon the next forecasted press release will be in a few days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of State Bank to cross-verify your projections.State Bank Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to State Bank's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict State Bank's future price movements. Getting to know how State Bank's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how State Bank may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| KBCSY | KBC Groep NV | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.47 | 0.17 | 2.06 | (1.20) | 4.32 | |
| BNPQY | BNP Paribas SA | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.88 | 0.09 | 2.86 | (1.93) | 8.87 | |
| EBKDY | Erste Group Bank | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.81 | 0.22 | 3.37 | (1.80) | 8.44 | |
| BNPQF | BNP Paribas SA | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.94 | 0.04 | 4.25 | (4.03) | 12.43 | |
| MZHOF | Mizuho Financial Group | (1.73) | 2 per month | 2.05 | 0.13 | 4.49 | (4.38) | 27.97 | |
| PSTVY | Postal Savings Bank | 0.00 | 0 per month | 2.31 | 0.04 | 6.47 | (5.22) | 23.95 | |
| PSBKF | Postal Savings Bank | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.07) | 2.94 | 0.00 | 22.22 | |
| CAIXY | Caixabank SA ADR | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.17 | 0.15 | 2.72 | (2.41) | 6.73 | |
| NABZY | National Australia Bank | (0.12) | 4 per month | 1.41 | 0 | 1.65 | (2.22) | 6.74 | |
| CIXPF | CaixaBank SA | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.12 | 2.85 | (0.24) | 13.44 |
Other Forecasting Options for State Bank
For every potential investor in State, whether a beginner or expert, State Bank's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. State Pink Sheet price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in State. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying State Bank's price trends.State Bank Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with State Bank pink sheet to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of State Bank could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing State Bank by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
State Bank Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how State Bank pink sheet reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading State Bank shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying State Bank pink sheet market strength indicators, traders can identify State Bank of entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
| Rate Of Daily Change | 0.91 | |||
| Day Median Price | 106.7 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 106.7 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | (5.27) | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | (10.54) |
State Bank Risk Indicators
The analysis of State Bank's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in State Bank's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting state pink sheet prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 0.6808 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 2.53 | |||
| Variance | 6.42 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for State Bank
The number of cover stories for State Bank depends on current market conditions and State Bank's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that State Bank is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about State Bank's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
Other Macroaxis Stories
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State Bank Short Properties
State Bank's future price predictability will typically decrease when State Bank's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of State Bank of often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential State Bank's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. State Bank's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 8.9 B | |
| Dividends Paid | 35.7 B |
Other Information on Investing in State Pink Sheet
State Bank financial ratios help investors to determine whether State Pink Sheet is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in State with respect to the benefits of owning State Bank security.