Sabine Royalty Stock Forecast - Naive Prediction

SBR Stock  USD 62.68  0.85  1.37%   
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Sabine Royalty Trust on the next trading day is expected to be 62.07 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.45 and the sum of the absolute errors of 27.71. Sabine Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Although Sabine Royalty's naive historical forecasting may sometimes provide an important future outlook for the firm, we recommend always cross-verifying it against solid analysis of Sabine Royalty's systematic risk associated with finding meaningful patterns of Sabine Royalty fundamentals over time.
  
At this time, Sabine Royalty's Fixed Asset Turnover is relatively stable compared to the past year. As of 11/22/2024, Asset Turnover is likely to grow to 10.44, while Payables Turnover is likely to drop (0.07). . As of 11/22/2024, Net Income Applicable To Common Shares is likely to grow to about 148.2 M, while Common Stock Shares Outstanding is likely to drop slightly above 16 M.

Sabine Royalty Cash Forecast

Forecasting financial indicators like cash flow involves analysts applying various statistical methods, techniques, and algorithms. These tools reveal hidden trends within the Sabine Royalty's financial statements to estimate their effects on upcoming price movements.
 
Cash  
First Reported
1994-06-30
Previous Quarter
9.3 B
Current Value
10.7 M
Quarterly Volatility
954.6 M
 
Dot-com Bubble
 
Housing Crash
 
Credit Downgrade
 
Yuan Drop
 
Covid
A naive forecasting model for Sabine Royalty is a special case of the moving average forecasting where the number of periods used for smoothing is one. Therefore, the forecast of Sabine Royalty Trust value for a given trading day is simply the observed value for the previous period. Due to the simplistic nature of the naive forecasting model, it can only be used to forecast up to one period.

Sabine Royalty Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 23rd of November

Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Sabine Royalty Trust on the next trading day is expected to be 62.07 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.45, mean absolute percentage error of 0.34, and the sum of the absolute errors of 27.71.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Sabine Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Sabine Royalty's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Sabine Royalty Stock Forecast Pattern

Backtest Sabine RoyaltySabine Royalty Price PredictionBuy or Sell Advice 

Sabine Royalty Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Sabine Royalty's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Sabine Royalty's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 61.05 and 63.10, respectively. We have considered Sabine Royalty's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
62.68
62.07
Expected Value
63.10
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Sabine Royalty stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Sabine Royalty stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria117.0386
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation0.4542
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0075
SAESum of the absolute errors27.7072
This model is not at all useful as a medium-long range forecasting tool of Sabine Royalty Trust. This model is simplistic and is included partly for completeness and partly because of its simplicity. It is unlikely that you'll want to use this model directly to predict Sabine Royalty. Instead, consider using either the moving average model or the more general weighted moving average model with a higher (i.e., greater than 1) number of periods, and possibly a different set of weights.

Predictive Modules for Sabine Royalty

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Sabine Royalty Trust. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
61.6662.6863.70
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
60.7861.8062.82
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
59.2261.2563.27
Details
0 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
29.5832.5036.08
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Sabine Royalty. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Sabine Royalty's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Sabine Royalty's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Sabine Royalty Trust.

Other Forecasting Options for Sabine Royalty

For every potential investor in Sabine, whether a beginner or expert, Sabine Royalty's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Sabine Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Sabine. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Sabine Royalty's price trends.

Sabine Royalty Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Sabine Royalty stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Sabine Royalty could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Sabine Royalty by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Sabine Royalty Trust Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Sabine Royalty's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Sabine Royalty's current price.

Sabine Royalty Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Sabine Royalty stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Sabine Royalty shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Sabine Royalty stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Sabine Royalty Trust entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Sabine Royalty Risk Indicators

The analysis of Sabine Royalty's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Sabine Royalty's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting sabine stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Additional Tools for Sabine Stock Analysis

When running Sabine Royalty's price analysis, check to measure Sabine Royalty's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Sabine Royalty is operating at the current time. Most of Sabine Royalty's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Sabine Royalty's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Sabine Royalty's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Sabine Royalty to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.