Sachem Capital Stock Forward View - Triple Exponential Smoothing
| SCCC Stock | USD 144.00 1.00 0.69% |
Sachem Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Sachem Capital stock prices and determine the direction of Sachem Capital Corp's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We suggest always using this module together with an analysis of Sachem Capital's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
At the present time, The value of RSI of Sachem Capital's share price is at 54. This usually implies that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its resistance level. The main idea of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Sachem Capital, making its price go up or down. Momentum 54
Impartial
Oversold | Overbought |
Using Sachem Capital hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Sachem Capital Corp from the perspective of Sachem Capital response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Sachem Capital Corp on the next trading day is expected to be 144.00 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.40 and the sum of the absolute errors of 23.44. Sachem Capital after-hype prediction price | USD 144.0 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Sachem Capital to cross-verify your projections. Sachem Capital Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Sachem price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Sachem using various technical indicators. When you analyze Sachem charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Sachem Capital Triple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 3rd of February
Given 90 days horizon, the Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Sachem Capital Corp on the next trading day is expected to be 144.00 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.40, mean absolute percentage error of 0.33, and the sum of the absolute errors of 23.44.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Sachem Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Sachem Capital's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Sachem Capital Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Sachem Capital | Sachem Capital Price Prediction | Research Analysis |
Sachem Capital Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Sachem Capital's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Sachem Capital's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 143.59 and 144.41, respectively. We have considered Sachem Capital's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Sachem Capital stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Sachem Capital stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | Huge |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | -0.0452 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.3973 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0028 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 23.442 |
Predictive Modules for Sachem Capital
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Sachem Capital Corp. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Sachem Capital's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Sachem Capital After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Sachem Capital at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Sachem Capital or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Sachem Capital, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Sachem Capital Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Sachem Capital's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Sachem Capital's historical news coverage. Sachem Capital's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 143.59 and 144.41, respectively. We have considered Sachem Capital's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Sachem Capital is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Sachem Capital Corp is based on 3 months time horizon.
Sachem Capital Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Sachem Capital is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Sachem Capital backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Sachem Capital, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.02 | 0.41 | 0.01 | 0.00 | 6 Events / Month | 1 Events / Month | In about 6 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
144.00 | 144.00 | 0.00 |
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Sachem Capital Hype Timeline
Sachem Capital Corp is at this time traded for 144.00. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.01, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.0. Sachem is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is about 82.0%. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at 0.02%. %. The volatility of related hype on Sachem Capital is about 621.21%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 144.00. The company last dividend was issued on the 30th of June 2022. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next forecasted press release will be in about 6 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Sachem Capital to cross-verify your projections.Sachem Capital Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Sachem Capital's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Sachem Capital's future price movements. Getting to know how Sachem Capital's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Sachem Capital may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| NYMT | New York Mortgage | 0.26 | 7 per month | 1.64 | 0.06 | 2.82 | (2.47) | 8.91 | |
| AFIN | American Finance Trust | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| RPT | Rithm Property Trust | 0.40 | 9 per month | 2.07 | 0.09 | 3.49 | (2.75) | 15.63 | |
| RTL | Pacer Financial | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| CLNC | BrightSpire Capital | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| PGRU | PropertyGuru Group | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| BRMK | Broadmark Realty Capital | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| CLNY | Colony Capital | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| SCCF | Sachem Capital Corp | 0.00 | 4 per month | 0.23 | 0.06 | 0.69 | (0.69) | 1.76 | |
| SACC | Sachem Capital Corp | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
Other Forecasting Options for Sachem Capital
For every potential investor in Sachem, whether a beginner or expert, Sachem Capital's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Sachem Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Sachem. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Sachem Capital's price trends.Sachem Capital Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Sachem Capital stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Sachem Capital could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Sachem Capital by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Sachem Capital Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Sachem Capital stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Sachem Capital shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Sachem Capital stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Sachem Capital Corp entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Sachem Capital Risk Indicators
The analysis of Sachem Capital's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Sachem Capital's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting sachem stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 0.2657 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 0.2526 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 0.4025 | |||
| Variance | 0.162 | |||
| Downside Variance | 0.2588 | |||
| Semi Variance | 0.0638 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (0.54) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Sachem Capital
The number of cover stories for Sachem Capital depends on current market conditions and Sachem Capital's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Sachem Capital is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Sachem Capital's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Sachem Capital Short Properties
Sachem Capital's future price predictability will typically decrease when Sachem Capital's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Sachem Capital Corp often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Sachem Capital's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Sachem Capital's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 47.4 M | |
| Dividends Paid | -16.5 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 19.6 M |
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Sachem Capital to cross-verify your projections. You can also try the Money Managers module to screen money managers from public funds and ETFs managed around the world.
Will Stock sector continue expanding? Could Sachem diversify its offerings? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Sachem Capital. If investors know Sachem will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. Accurate valuation requires analyzing both current fundamentals and future growth trajectories. Every Sachem Capital data point contributes insight, yet successful analysis hinges on identifying the most consequential variables.
Understanding Sachem Capital Corp requires distinguishing between market price and book value, where the latter reflects Sachem's accounting equity. The concept of intrinsic value—what Sachem Capital's is actually worth based on fundamentals—guides informed investors toward better entry and exit points. Seasoned market participants apply comprehensive analytical frameworks to derive fundamental worth and identify mispriced opportunities. Market sentiment, economic cycles, and investor behavior can push Sachem Capital's price substantially above or below its fundamental value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Sachem Capital's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Sachem Capital is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. In contrast, Sachem Capital's trading price reflects the actual exchange value where willing buyers and sellers reach mutual agreement.