Stardust Power Stock Forecast - Double Exponential Smoothing
| SDST Stock | 4.40 0.12 2.80% |
Stardust Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon.
At this time, The relative strength index (RSI) of Stardust Power's share price is at 55. This usually implies that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its resistance level. The main idea of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Stardust Power, making its price go up or down. Momentum 55
Impartial
Oversold | Overbought |
EPS Estimate Next Quarter (0.40) | EPS Estimate Current Year (1.45) | EPS Estimate Next Year (1.87) | Wall Street Target Price 14.5 |
Using Stardust Power hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Stardust Power from the perspective of Stardust Power response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Double Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Stardust Power on the next trading day is expected to be 4.47 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.18 and the sum of the absolute errors of 11.05. Stardust Power after-hype prediction price | USD 4.39 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Stardust Power to cross-verify your projections. Stardust Power Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Stardust price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Stardust using various technical indicators. When you analyze Stardust charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Stardust Power Double Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 29th of January
Given 90 days horizon, the Double Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Stardust Power on the next trading day is expected to be 4.47 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.18, mean absolute percentage error of 0.06, and the sum of the absolute errors of 11.05.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Stardust Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Stardust Power's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Stardust Power Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Stardust Power | Stardust Power Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
Stardust Power Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Stardust Power's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Stardust Power's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0.04 and 10.50, respectively. We have considered Stardust Power's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Double Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Stardust Power stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Stardust Power stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | Huge |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | -0.0449 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.1842 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0494 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 11.0513 |
Predictive Modules for Stardust Power
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Stardust Power. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Stardust Power's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Stardust Power After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Stardust Power at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Stardust Power or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Stardust Power, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Stardust Power Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Stardust Power's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Stardust Power's historical news coverage. Stardust Power's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.22 and 10.42, respectively. We have considered Stardust Power's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Stardust Power is relatively risky at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Stardust Power is based on 3 months time horizon.
Stardust Power Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Stardust Power is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Stardust Power backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Stardust Power, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.09 | 6.03 | 0.01 | 0.00 | 6 Events / Month | 7 Events / Month | In about 6 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
4.40 | 4.39 | 0.23 |
|
Stardust Power Hype Timeline
Stardust Power is at this time traded for 4.40. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.01, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.0. Stardust is projected to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 4.39. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is over 100%. The price decrease on the next news is expected to be -0.23%, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at 0.09%. The volatility of related hype on Stardust Power is about 50250.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 4.40. About 37.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders. The company recorded a loss per share of 3.89. Stardust Power had not issued any dividends in recent years. The entity had 1:10 split on the 8th of September 2025. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next projected press release will be in about 6 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Stardust Power to cross-verify your projections.Stardust Power Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Stardust Power's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Stardust Power's future price movements. Getting to know how Stardust Power's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Stardust Power may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| OESX | Orion Energy Systems | (0.03) | 28 per month | 4.47 | 0.16 | 14.72 | (7.43) | 39.21 | |
| STI | Solidion Technology | (0.08) | 27 per month | 6.52 | (0) | 17.15 | (10.75) | 34.94 | |
| FLYY | Spirit Aviation Holdings | (0.03) | 18 per month | 0.00 | (0.11) | 14.29 | (23.40) | 90.07 | |
| QRHC | Quest Resource Holding | (0.10) | 8 per month | 3.60 | 0.18 | 9.43 | (6.40) | 30.43 | |
| APWC | Asia Pacific Wire | 0.10 | 6 per month | 0.00 | (0.07) | 5.08 | (4.23) | 14.43 | |
| EPOW | Sunrise New Energy | (0.03) | 12 per month | 0.00 | (0.09) | 5.98 | (6.09) | 22.24 | |
| EDRY | EuroDry | (0.02) | 10 per month | 1.90 | 0.02 | 3.63 | (3.28) | 11.04 | |
| SKYH | Sky Harbour Group | (0.15) | 11 per month | 0.00 | (0.09) | 3.60 | (3.32) | 12.01 | |
| KSCP | Knightscope | (0.03) | 23 per month | 0.00 | (0.11) | 9.43 | (8.44) | 30.69 | |
| NTIP | Network 1 Technologies | 0.25 | 13 per month | 0.00 | (0.10) | 4.00 | (4.03) | 12.64 |
Other Forecasting Options for Stardust Power
For every potential investor in Stardust, whether a beginner or expert, Stardust Power's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Stardust Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Stardust. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Stardust Power's price trends.Stardust Power Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Stardust Power stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Stardust Power could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Stardust Power by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Stardust Power Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Stardust Power stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Stardust Power shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Stardust Power stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Stardust Power entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Stardust Power Risk Indicators
The analysis of Stardust Power's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Stardust Power's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting stardust stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 4.68 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 6.57 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 5.87 | |||
| Variance | 34.45 | |||
| Downside Variance | 44.94 | |||
| Semi Variance | 43.2 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (4.31) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Stardust Power
The number of cover stories for Stardust Power depends on current market conditions and Stardust Power's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Stardust Power is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Stardust Power's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
Contributor Headline
Latest Perspective From Macroaxis
Stardust Power Short Properties
Stardust Power's future price predictability will typically decrease when Stardust Power's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Stardust Power often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Stardust Power's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Stardust Power's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 4.3 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 912.6 K |
Additional Tools for Stardust Stock Analysis
When running Stardust Power's price analysis, check to measure Stardust Power's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Stardust Power is operating at the current time. Most of Stardust Power's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Stardust Power's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Stardust Power's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Stardust Power to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.