Skandinaviska Enskilda Stock Forecast - Triple Exponential Smoothing

SEB-C Stock  SEK 150.20  1.60  1.05%   
The Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Skandinaviska Enskilda Banken on the next trading day is expected to be 149.76 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.57 and the sum of the absolute errors of 92.84. Skandinaviska Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
  
Triple exponential smoothing for Skandinaviska Enskilda - also known as the Winters method - is a refinement of the popular double exponential smoothing model with the addition of periodicity (seasonality) component. Simple exponential smoothing technique works best with data where there are no trend or seasonality components to the data. When Skandinaviska Enskilda prices exhibit either an increasing or decreasing trend over time, simple exponential smoothing forecasts tend to lag behind observations. Double exponential smoothing is designed to address this type of data series by taking into account any trend in Skandinaviska Enskilda price movement. However, neither of these exponential smoothing models address any seasonality of Skandinaviska Enskilda.

Skandinaviska Enskilda Triple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 29th of November

Given 90 days horizon, the Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Skandinaviska Enskilda Banken on the next trading day is expected to be 149.76 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.57, mean absolute percentage error of 4.46, and the sum of the absolute errors of 92.84.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Skandinaviska Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Skandinaviska Enskilda's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Skandinaviska Enskilda Stock Forecast Pattern

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Skandinaviska Enskilda Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Skandinaviska Enskilda's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Skandinaviska Enskilda's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 148.49 and 151.02, respectively. We have considered Skandinaviska Enskilda's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
150.20
148.49
Downside
149.76
Expected Value
151.02
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Skandinaviska Enskilda stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Skandinaviska Enskilda stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information CriteriaHuge
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors 0.2756
MADMean absolute deviation1.5735
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0101
SAESum of the absolute errors92.8382
As with simple exponential smoothing, in triple exponential smoothing models past Skandinaviska Enskilda observations are given exponentially smaller weights as the observations get older. In other words, recent observations are given relatively more weight in forecasting than the older Skandinaviska Enskilda Banken observations.

Predictive Modules for Skandinaviska Enskilda

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Skandinaviska Enskilda. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Skandinaviska Enskilda's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
148.94150.20151.46
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
112.89114.15165.22
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
148.93152.90156.87
Details

Other Forecasting Options for Skandinaviska Enskilda

For every potential investor in Skandinaviska, whether a beginner or expert, Skandinaviska Enskilda's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Skandinaviska Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Skandinaviska. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Skandinaviska Enskilda's price trends.

Skandinaviska Enskilda Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Skandinaviska Enskilda stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Skandinaviska Enskilda could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Skandinaviska Enskilda by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Skandinaviska Enskilda Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Skandinaviska Enskilda's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Skandinaviska Enskilda's current price.

Skandinaviska Enskilda Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Skandinaviska Enskilda stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Skandinaviska Enskilda shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Skandinaviska Enskilda stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Skandinaviska Enskilda Banken entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Skandinaviska Enskilda Risk Indicators

The analysis of Skandinaviska Enskilda's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Skandinaviska Enskilda's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting skandinaviska stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Thematic Opportunities

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Additional Tools for Skandinaviska Stock Analysis

When running Skandinaviska Enskilda's price analysis, check to measure Skandinaviska Enskilda's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Skandinaviska Enskilda is operating at the current time. Most of Skandinaviska Enskilda's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Skandinaviska Enskilda's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Skandinaviska Enskilda's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Skandinaviska Enskilda to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.