Solaris Energy Stock Forward View - Simple Regression
| SEI Stock | 49.24 0.74 1.48% |
Solaris Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon. We suggest always using this module together with an analysis of Solaris Energy's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
The relative strength index (RSI) of Solaris Energy's stock price is under 61. This usually implies that the stock is rather overbought by investors as of 21st of February 2026. The main point of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to track how fast people are buying or selling Solaris, making its price go up or down. Momentum 61
Buy Extended
Oversold | Overbought |
Using Solaris Energy hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Solaris Energy Infrastructure from the perspective of Solaris Energy response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Simple Regression forecasted value of Solaris Energy Infrastructure on the next trading day is expected to be 53.63 with a mean absolute deviation of 3.34 and the sum of the absolute errors of 203.57. Solaris Energy after-hype prediction price | USD 49.27 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Solaris Energy to cross-verify your projections. Solaris Energy Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Solaris price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Solaris using various technical indicators. When you analyze Solaris charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Solaris Energy Simple Regression Price Forecast For the 22nd of February
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Regression forecasted value of Solaris Energy Infrastructure on the next trading day is expected to be 53.63 with a mean absolute deviation of 3.34, mean absolute percentage error of 15.49, and the sum of the absolute errors of 203.57.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Solaris Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Solaris Energy's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Solaris Energy Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Solaris Energy | Solaris Energy Price Prediction | Research Analysis |
Solaris Energy Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Solaris Energy's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Solaris Energy's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 48.84 and 58.42, respectively. We have considered Solaris Energy's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Regression forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Solaris Energy stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Solaris Energy stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 120.851 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 3.3372 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0672 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 203.569 |
Predictive Modules for Solaris Energy
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Solaris Energy Infra. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Solaris Energy's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Solaris Energy After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Solaris Energy at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Solaris Energy or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Solaris Energy, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Solaris Energy Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Solaris Energy's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Solaris Energy's historical news coverage. Solaris Energy's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 44.48 and 54.06, respectively. We have considered Solaris Energy's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Solaris Energy is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Solaris Energy Infra is based on 3 months time horizon.
Solaris Energy Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Solaris Energy is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Solaris Energy backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Solaris Energy, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.24 | 4.79 | 0.00 | 0.30 | 0 Events / Month | 4 Events / Month | Within a week |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
49.24 | 49.27 | 0.06 |
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Solaris Energy Hype Timeline
On the 21st of February Solaris Energy Infra is traded for 49.24. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.3. Solaris is forecasted to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 49.27 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is insignificant. The price growth on the next news is projected to be 0.06%, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at 0.24%. The volatility of related hype on Solaris Energy is about 388.48%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 49.54. The company reported the last year's revenue of 313.09 M. Total Income to common stockholders was 28.92 M with profit before taxes, overhead, and interest of 259.46 M. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next forecasted press release will be within a week. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Solaris Energy to cross-verify your projections.Solaris Energy Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Solaris Energy's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Solaris Energy's future price movements. Getting to know how Solaris Energy's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Solaris Energy may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| KGS | Kodiak Gas Services | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.45 | 0.27 | 3.53 | (2.38) | 15.25 | |
| HCC | Warrior Met Coal | 0.00 | 0 per month | 2.35 | 0.06 | 4.12 | (3.15) | 15.33 | |
| VAL | Valaris | 9.96 | 9 per month | 2.42 | 0.16 | 7.22 | (6.28) | 41.60 | |
| CVI | CVR Energy | 0.33 | 10 per month | 0.00 | (0.31) | 3.78 | (4.46) | 19.04 | |
| RIG | Transocean | 0.10 | 9 per month | 2.64 | 0.21 | 7.67 | (5.88) | 16.41 | |
| WHD | Cactus Inc | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.27 | 0.27 | 3.29 | (2.92) | 9.86 | |
| LBRT | Liberty Oilfield Services | 0.00 | 0 per month | 2.56 | 0.21 | 5.56 | (4.84) | 23.65 | |
| LB | LandBridge Company LLC | 0.00 | 0 per month | 2.65 | 0.08 | 6.63 | (5.22) | 15.37 | |
| MUR | Murphy Oil | 0.70 | 10 per month | 2.79 | 0.05 | 4.82 | (4.00) | 19.82 | |
| CRC | California Resources Corp | 1.24 | 7 per month | 1.68 | 0.12 | 3.61 | (3.17) | 8.47 |
Other Forecasting Options for Solaris Energy
For every potential investor in Solaris, whether a beginner or expert, Solaris Energy's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Solaris Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Solaris. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Solaris Energy's price trends.Solaris Energy Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Solaris Energy stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Solaris Energy could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Solaris Energy by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Solaris Energy Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Solaris Energy stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Solaris Energy shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Solaris Energy stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Solaris Energy Infrastructure entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Solaris Energy Risk Indicators
The analysis of Solaris Energy's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Solaris Energy's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting solaris stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 3.42 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 4.77 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 4.79 | |||
| Variance | 22.98 | |||
| Downside Variance | 24.61 | |||
| Semi Variance | 22.78 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (3.77) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Solaris Energy
The number of cover stories for Solaris Energy depends on current market conditions and Solaris Energy's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Solaris Energy is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Solaris Energy's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Solaris Energy Short Properties
Solaris Energy's future price predictability will typically decrease when Solaris Energy's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Solaris Energy Infrastructure often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Solaris Energy's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Solaris Energy's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 29.2 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 114.3 M |
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Solaris Energy to cross-verify your projections. You can also try the Portfolio Rebalancing module to analyze risk-adjusted returns against different time horizons to find asset-allocation targets.
Is there potential for Oil & Gas Equipment & Services market expansion? Will Solaris introduce new products? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Solaris Energy. If investors know Solaris will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. Understanding fair value requires weighing current performance against future potential. All the valuation information about Solaris Energy listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Investors evaluate Solaris Energy Infra using market value (trading price) and book value (balance sheet equity), each telling a different story. Calculating Solaris Energy's intrinsic value - the estimated true worth - helps identify when the stock trades at a discount or premium to fair value. Analysts utilize numerous techniques to assess fundamental value, seeking to purchase shares when trading prices fall beneath estimated intrinsic worth. External factors like market trends, sector rotation, and investor psychology can cause Solaris Energy's market price to deviate significantly from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Solaris Energy's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Solaris Energy is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. Conversely, Solaris Energy's market price signifies the transaction level at which participants voluntarily complete trades.