Septerna Common Stock Forecast - Simple Moving Average
| SEPN Stock | 26.79 1.19 4.25% |
The Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Septerna Common Stock on the next trading day is expected to be 26.79 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.84 and the sum of the absolute errors of 49.30. Septerna Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Although Septerna Common's naive historical forecasting may sometimes provide an important future outlook for the firm, we recommend always cross-verifying it against solid analysis of Septerna Common's systematic risk associated with finding meaningful patterns of Septerna Common fundamentals over time.
As of today, the relative strength index (RSI) of Septerna Common's share price is approaching 32. This usually implies that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its support level. The main point of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Septerna Common, making its price go up or down. Momentum 32
Sell Stretched
Oversold | Overbought |
EPS Estimate Next Quarter (0.17) | EPS Estimate Current Year (0.94) | EPS Estimate Next Year (0.36) | Wall Street Target Price 33.1429 | EPS Estimate Current Quarter 0.7938 |
Using Septerna Common hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Septerna Common Stock from the perspective of Septerna Common response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Septerna Common using Septerna Common's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Septerna using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Septerna Common's stock price.
Septerna Common Implied Volatility | 0.64 |
Septerna Common's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Septerna Common Stock stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Septerna Common's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Septerna Common stock will not fluctuate a lot when Septerna Common's options are near their expiration.
The Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Septerna Common Stock on the next trading day is expected to be 26.79 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.84 and the sum of the absolute errors of 49.30. Septerna Common after-hype prediction price | USD 27.22 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Septerna Common to cross-verify your projections. Open Interest Against 2026-02-20 Septerna Option Contracts
Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast Septerna Common's spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in Septerna Common's options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for Septerna Common stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current Septerna Common's open interest, investors have to compare it to Septerna Common's spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of Septerna Common is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in Septerna. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.
Septerna Common Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Septerna price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Septerna using various technical indicators. When you analyze Septerna charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Septerna Common Simple Moving Average Price Forecast For the 6th of January
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Septerna Common Stock on the next trading day is expected to be 26.79 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.84, mean absolute percentage error of 1.32, and the sum of the absolute errors of 49.30.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Septerna Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Septerna Common's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Septerna Common Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Septerna Common | Septerna Common Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
Septerna Common Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Septerna Common's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Septerna Common's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 22.22 and 31.36, respectively. We have considered Septerna Common's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Septerna Common stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Septerna Common stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 114.7135 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | -0.094 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.8355 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.034 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 49.295 |
Predictive Modules for Septerna Common
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Septerna Common Stock. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Other Forecasting Options for Septerna Common
For every potential investor in Septerna, whether a beginner or expert, Septerna Common's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Septerna Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Septerna. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Septerna Common's price trends.Septerna Common Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Septerna Common stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Septerna Common could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Septerna Common by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Septerna Common Stock Technical and Predictive Analytics
The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Septerna Common's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Septerna Common's current price.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Septerna Common Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Septerna Common stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Septerna Common shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Septerna Common stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Septerna Common Stock entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
| Accumulation Distribution | 18391.23 | |||
| Daily Balance Of Power | (0.52) | |||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 0.96 | |||
| Day Median Price | 27.34 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 27.15 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | (1.14) | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | (1.19) | |||
| Relative Strength Index | 32.27 |
Septerna Common Risk Indicators
The analysis of Septerna Common's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Septerna Common's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting septerna stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 3.27 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 2.52 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 4.48 | |||
| Variance | 20.1 | |||
| Downside Variance | 8.8 | |||
| Semi Variance | 6.35 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (3.99) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Pair Trading with Septerna Common
One of the main advantages of trading using pair correlations is that every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if Septerna Common position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Septerna Common will appreciate offsetting losses from the drop in the long position's value.Moving together with Septerna Stock
| 0.7 | VTRS | Viatris | PairCorr |
| 0.67 | TLRY | Tilray Inc Earnings Call This Week | PairCorr |
| 0.81 | AZN | AstraZeneca PLC ADR | PairCorr |
Moving against Septerna Stock
The ability to find closely correlated positions to Septerna Common could be a great tool in your tax-loss harvesting strategies, allowing investors a quick way to find a similar-enough asset to replace Septerna Common when you sell it. If you don't do this, your portfolio allocation will be skewed against your target asset allocation. So, investors can't just sell and buy back Septerna Common - that would be a violation of the tax code under the "wash sale" rule, and this is why you need to find a similar enough asset and use the proceeds from selling Septerna Common Stock to buy it.
The correlation of Septerna Common is a statistical measure of how it moves in relation to other instruments. This measure is expressed in what is known as the correlation coefficient, which ranges between -1 and +1. A perfect positive correlation (i.e., a correlation coefficient of +1) implies that as Septerna Common moves, either up or down, the other security will move in the same direction. Alternatively, perfect negative correlation means that if Septerna Common Stock moves in either direction, the perfectly negatively correlated security will move in the opposite direction. If the correlation is 0, the equities are not correlated; they are entirely random. A correlation greater than 0.8 is generally described as strong, whereas a correlation less than 0.5 is generally considered weak.
Correlation analysis and pair trading evaluation for Septerna Common can also be used as hedging techniques within a particular sector or industry or even over random equities to generate a better risk-adjusted return on your portfolios.Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Septerna Common to cross-verify your projections. You can also try the Odds Of Bankruptcy module to get analysis of equity chance of financial distress in the next 2 years.
Is Pharmaceuticals space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Septerna Common. If investors know Septerna will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Septerna Common listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Earnings Share (6.90) | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth 121.131 | Return On Assets | Return On Equity |
The market value of Septerna Common Stock is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Septerna that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Septerna Common's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Septerna Common's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Septerna Common's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Septerna Common's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Septerna Common's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Septerna Common is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Septerna Common's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.