Somnigroup International Stock Forward View
| SGI Stock | 94.78 2.00 2.16% |
Somnigroup Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon. We suggest always using this module together with an analysis of Somnigroup International's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
As of 5th of February 2026 the relative strength index (rsi) of Somnigroup International's share price is below 20 . This usually implies that the stock is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards. Momentum 0
Sell Peaked
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.137 | EPS Estimate Current Year 2.6943 | EPS Estimate Next Year 3.3386 | Wall Street Target Price 102.2857 | EPS Estimate Current Quarter 0.4705 |
Using Somnigroup International hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Somnigroup International from the perspective of Somnigroup International response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Somnigroup International using Somnigroup International's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Somnigroup using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Somnigroup International's stock price.
Somnigroup International Short Interest
A significant increase or decrease in Somnigroup International's short interest from the previous month could be a good indicator of investor sentiment towards Somnigroup. Short interest can provide insight into the potential direction of Somnigroup International stock and how bullish or bearish investors feel about the market overall.
200 Day MA 79.0808 | Short Percent 0.0278 | Short Ratio 4.25 | Shares Short Prior Month 4.8 M | 50 Day MA 90.9564 |
Somnigroup Relative Strength Index
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Somnigroup International on the next trading day is expected to be 91.23 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.71 and the sum of the absolute errors of 106.15.Somnigroup International Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to Somnigroup International's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Somnigroup. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Somnigroup can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Somnigroup International. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Somnigroup International's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Somnigroup International.
Somnigroup International Implied Volatility | 0.4 |
Somnigroup International's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Somnigroup International stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Somnigroup International's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Somnigroup International stock will not fluctuate a lot when Somnigroup International's options are near their expiration.
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Somnigroup International on the next trading day is expected to be 91.23 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.71 and the sum of the absolute errors of 106.15. Somnigroup International after-hype prediction price | USD 94.73 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Somnigroup | Build AI portfolio with Somnigroup Stock |
Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Somnigroup contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Somnigroup International will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.025% per day over the life of the 2026-05-15 option contract. With Somnigroup International trading at USD 94.78, that is roughly USD 0.0237 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating Somnigroup International's daily price movement you should consider acquiring Somnigroup International options at the current volatility level of 0.4%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Open Interest Against 2026-05-15 Somnigroup Option Contracts
Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast Somnigroup International's spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in Somnigroup International's options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for Somnigroup International stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current Somnigroup International's open interest, investors have to compare it to Somnigroup International's spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of Somnigroup International is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in Somnigroup. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.
Somnigroup International Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Somnigroup price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Somnigroup using various technical indicators. When you analyze Somnigroup charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Somnigroup International Cash Forecast
Predicting cash flow or other financial metrics requires analysts to utilize a variety of statistical methods, techniques, and algorithms. These tools help uncover hidden patterns in the Somnigroup International's financial statements, enabling forecasts of their impact on future stock prices.
Cash | First Reported 2005-06-30 | Previous Quarter 98.1 M | Current Value 100.2 M | Quarterly Volatility 43 M |
Somnigroup International Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 6th of February
Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Somnigroup International on the next trading day is expected to be 91.23 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.71, mean absolute percentage error of 4.32, and the sum of the absolute errors of 106.15.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Somnigroup Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Somnigroup International's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Somnigroup International Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Somnigroup International | Somnigroup International Price Prediction | Research Analysis |
Somnigroup International Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Somnigroup International's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Somnigroup International's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 89.49 and 92.96, respectively. We have considered Somnigroup International's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Somnigroup International stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Somnigroup International stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 121.4114 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 1.712 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0189 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 106.1458 |
Predictive Modules for Somnigroup International
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Somnigroup International. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Somnigroup International After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Somnigroup International at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Somnigroup International or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Somnigroup International, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Somnigroup International Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Somnigroup International's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Somnigroup International's historical news coverage. Somnigroup International's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 93.00 and 96.46, respectively. We have considered Somnigroup International's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Somnigroup International is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Somnigroup International is based on 3 months time horizon.
Somnigroup International Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Somnigroup International is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Somnigroup International backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Somnigroup International, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.08 | 1.73 | 0.05 | 0.02 | 12 Events / Month | 7 Events / Month | In about 12 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
94.78 | 94.73 | 0.05 |
|
Somnigroup International Hype Timeline
On the 5th of February Somnigroup International is traded for 94.78. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.05, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.02. Somnigroup is forecasted to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 94.73. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is over 100%. The price depreciation on the next news is expected to be -0.05%, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at 0.08%. The volatility of related hype on Somnigroup International is about 832.62%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 94.80. About 90.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The company last dividend was issued on the 20th of November 2025. Somnigroup International had 4:1 split on the 24th of November 2020. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next forecasted press release will be in about 12 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Somnigroup International to cross-verify your projections.Somnigroup International Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Somnigroup International's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Somnigroup International's future price movements. Getting to know how Somnigroup International's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Somnigroup International may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| USFD | US Foods Holding | (2.25) | 9 per month | 1.02 | 0.12 | 4.01 | (2.02) | 10.44 | |
| CLX | The Clorox | 0.78 | 8 per month | 1.52 | 0.02 | 2.43 | (2.49) | 7.64 | |
| MKC | McCormick Company Incorporated | (2.09) | 9 per month | 1.89 | 0.01 | 2.69 | (2.38) | 10.75 | |
| CHD | Church Dwight | (0.52) | 9 per month | 0.94 | 0.17 | 2.36 | (1.68) | 10.66 | |
| PFGC | Performance Food Group | 2.77 | 11 per month | 0.00 | (0.09) | 2.82 | (2.34) | 7.33 | |
| TSN | Tyson Foods | 2.13 | 10 per month | 1.00 | 0.20 | 3.17 | (1.75) | 8.77 | |
| KOF | Coca Cola Femsa SAB | 1.05 | 11 per month | 0.98 | 0.19 | 2.76 | (1.88) | 6.00 | |
| FMX | Fomento Economico Mexicano | (0.17) | 7 per month | 1.05 | 0.1 | 2.70 | (1.88) | 7.81 | |
| BG | Bunge Limited | 0.17 | 12 per month | 0.77 | 0.18 | 3.20 | (1.84) | 6.42 |
Other Forecasting Options for Somnigroup International
For every potential investor in Somnigroup, whether a beginner or expert, Somnigroup International's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Somnigroup Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Somnigroup. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Somnigroup International's price trends.Somnigroup International Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Somnigroup International stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Somnigroup International could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Somnigroup International by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Somnigroup International Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Somnigroup International stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Somnigroup International shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Somnigroup International stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Somnigroup International entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
| Accumulation Distribution | 46907.56 | |||
| Daily Balance Of Power | 0.8696 | |||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 1.02 | |||
| Day Median Price | 94.22 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 94.41 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | 1.56 | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | 2.0 |
Somnigroup International Risk Indicators
The analysis of Somnigroup International's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Somnigroup International's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting somnigroup stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 1.56 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 1.38 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 2.22 | |||
| Variance | 4.91 | |||
| Downside Variance | 2.55 | |||
| Semi Variance | 1.9 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (1.83) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Somnigroup International
The number of cover stories for Somnigroup International depends on current market conditions and Somnigroup International's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Somnigroup International is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Somnigroup International's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
Contributor Headline
Latest Perspective From Macroaxis
Somnigroup International Short Properties
Somnigroup International's future price predictability will typically decrease when Somnigroup International's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Somnigroup International often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Somnigroup International's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Somnigroup International's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 178.2 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 117.4 M |
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Somnigroup International to cross-verify your projections. For more detail on how to invest in Somnigroup Stock please use our How to Invest in Somnigroup International guide.You can also try the Odds Of Bankruptcy module to get analysis of equity chance of financial distress in the next 2 years.
Is there potential for Textiles, Apparel & Luxury Goods market expansion? Will Somnigroup introduce new products? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Somnigroup International. If investors know Somnigroup will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. Understanding fair value requires weighing current performance against future potential. All the valuation information about Somnigroup International listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.137 | Dividend Share 0.58 | Earnings Share 1.58 | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.633 |
Investors evaluate Somnigroup International using market value (trading price) and book value (balance sheet equity), each telling a different story. Calculating Somnigroup International's intrinsic value - the estimated true worth - helps identify when the stock trades at a discount or premium to fair value. Analysts utilize numerous techniques to assess fundamental value, seeking to purchase shares when trading prices fall beneath estimated intrinsic worth. External factors like market trends, sector rotation, and investor psychology can cause Somnigroup International's market price to deviate significantly from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Somnigroup International's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Somnigroup International is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. Conversely, Somnigroup International's market price signifies the transaction level at which participants voluntarily complete trades.