Star Gas Stock Forecast - Simple Regression

SGU Stock  USD 12.36  0.12  0.98%   
The Simple Regression forecasted value of Star Gas Partners on the next trading day is expected to be 12.09 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.15 and the sum of the absolute errors of 9.30. Star Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
At this time the relative strength index (rsi) of Star Gas' share price is below 20 . This usually implies that the stock is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards.

Momentum 0

 Sell Peaked

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Star Gas' future price could yield a significant profit. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Star Gas Partners, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Using Star Gas hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Star Gas Partners from the perspective of Star Gas response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Simple Regression forecasted value of Star Gas Partners on the next trading day is expected to be 12.09 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.15 and the sum of the absolute errors of 9.30.

Star Gas after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 12.39  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Star Gas to cross-verify your projections.

Star Gas Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Star price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Star using various technical indicators. When you analyze Star charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
Simple Regression model is a single variable regression model that attempts to put a straight line through Star Gas price points. This line is defined by its gradient or slope, and the point at which it intercepts the x-axis. Mathematically, assuming the independent variable is X and the dependent variable is Y, then this line can be represented as: Y = intercept + slope * X.

Star Gas Simple Regression Price Forecast For the 17th of January 2026

Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Regression forecasted value of Star Gas Partners on the next trading day is expected to be 12.09 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.15, mean absolute percentage error of 0.03, and the sum of the absolute errors of 9.30.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Star Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Star Gas' next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Star Gas Stock Forecast Pattern

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Star Gas Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Star Gas' Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Star Gas' downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 10.92 and 13.26, respectively. We have considered Star Gas' daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
12.36
12.09
Expected Value
13.26
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Regression forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Star Gas stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Star Gas stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria116.3882
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation0.15
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0126
SAESum of the absolute errors9.3011
In general, regression methods applied to historical equity returns or prices series is an area of active research. In recent decades, new methods have been developed for robust regression of price series such as Star Gas Partners historical returns. These new methods are regression involving correlated responses such as growth curves and different regression methods accommodating various types of missing data.

Predictive Modules for Star Gas

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Star Gas Partners. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
11.2012.3913.58
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
11.4012.5913.78
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Star Gas. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Star Gas' peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Star Gas' competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Star Gas Partners.

Other Forecasting Options for Star Gas

For every potential investor in Star, whether a beginner or expert, Star Gas' price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Star Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Star. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Star Gas' price trends.

Star Gas Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Star Gas stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Star Gas could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Star Gas by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Star Gas Partners Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Star Gas' price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Star Gas' current price.

Star Gas Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Star Gas stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Star Gas shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Star Gas stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Star Gas Partners entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Star Gas Risk Indicators

The analysis of Star Gas' basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Star Gas' investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting star stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Thematic Opportunities

Explore Investment Opportunities

Build portfolios using Macroaxis predefined set of investing ideas. Many of Macroaxis investing ideas can easily outperform a given market. Ideas can also be optimized per your risk profile before portfolio origination is invoked. Macroaxis thematic optimization helps investors identify companies most likely to benefit from changes or shifts in various micro-economic or local macro-level trends. Originating optimal thematic portfolios involves aligning investors' personal views, ideas, and beliefs with their actual investments.
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Additional Tools for Star Stock Analysis

When running Star Gas' price analysis, check to measure Star Gas' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Star Gas is operating at the current time. Most of Star Gas' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Star Gas' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Star Gas' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Star Gas to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.