Greenfire Resources Stock Price Prediction
| GFR Stock | 7.14 0.13 1.79% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
41
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.229 | EPS Estimate Current Year 0.73 | EPS Estimate Next Year 2.79 | Wall Street Target Price 13 | EPS Estimate Current Quarter 0.4 |
Using Greenfire Resources hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Greenfire Resources from the perspective of Greenfire Resources response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Greenfire Resources to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Greenfire because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Greenfire Resources after-hype prediction price | USD 7.14 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Greenfire |
Greenfire Resources After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Greenfire Resources at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Greenfire Resources or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Greenfire Resources, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Greenfire Resources Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Greenfire Resources' stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Greenfire Resources' historical news coverage. Greenfire Resources' after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 4.18 and 10.10, respectively. We have considered Greenfire Resources' daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Greenfire Resources is somewhat reliable at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Greenfire Resources is based on 3 months time horizon.
Greenfire Resources Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Greenfire Resources is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Greenfire Resources backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Greenfire Resources, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.04 | 2.96 | 0.00 | 0.02 | 5 Events / Month | 5 Events / Month | In about 5 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
7.14 | 7.14 | 0.00 |
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Greenfire Resources Hype Timeline
On the 4th of December Greenfire Resources is traded for 7.14. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is -0.02. Greenfire is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is over 100%. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.04%. %. The volatility of related hype on Greenfire Resources is about 776.03%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 7.12. About 96.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 0.95. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. Greenfire Resources had not issued any dividends in recent years. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next forecasted press release will be in about 5 days. Check out Greenfire Resources Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Greenfire Resources Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Greenfire Resources' direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Greenfire Resources' future price movements. Getting to know how Greenfire Resources' peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Greenfire Resources may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| WES | Western Midstream Partners | 0.68 | 11 per month | 1.35 | 0.0002 | 2.48 | (2.19) | 5.82 | |
| LNT | Alliant Energy Corp | 1.02 | 11 per month | 1.03 | (0) | 2.04 | (1.89) | 5.81 | |
| NEE | Nextera Energy | 0.57 | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.11) | 1.77 | (2.52) | 7.75 | |
| SPNS | Sapiens International | (0.81) | 7 per month | 0.00 | (0.13) | 2.21 | (3.04) | 31.27 | |
| KSPI | Joint Stock | (2.58) | 11 per month | 0.00 | (0.12) | 4.60 | (3.69) | 18.45 | |
| QLYS | Qualys Inc | (2.20) | 10 per month | 1.38 | 0.08 | 3.17 | (2.59) | 26.78 | |
| AROC | Archrock | 0.65 | 11 per month | 1.53 | 0.13 | 3.19 | (2.31) | 14.49 |
Greenfire Resources Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Greenfire price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Greenfire using various technical indicators. When you analyze Greenfire charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
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| Volume Indicators |
About Greenfire Resources Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Greenfire Resources stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Greenfire Resources, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Greenfire Resources based on analysis of Greenfire Resources hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Greenfire Resources's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Greenfire Resources's related companies. | 2010 | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | Dividend Yield | 0.17 | 0.15 | 0.14 | Price To Sales Ratio | 1.96 | 0.52 | 0.49 |
Story Coverage note for Greenfire Resources
The number of cover stories for Greenfire Resources depends on current market conditions and Greenfire Resources' risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Greenfire Resources is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Greenfire Resources' long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Greenfire Resources Short Properties
Greenfire Resources' future price predictability will typically decrease when Greenfire Resources' long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Greenfire Resources often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Greenfire Resources' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Greenfire Resources' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 54.4 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 109.5 M |
Additional Tools for Greenfire Stock Analysis
When running Greenfire Resources' price analysis, check to measure Greenfire Resources' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Greenfire Resources is operating at the current time. Most of Greenfire Resources' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Greenfire Resources' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Greenfire Resources' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Greenfire Resources to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.