ProShares Short Etf Forecast - Simple Regression

SH Etf  USD 42.11  0.13  0.31%   
The Simple Regression forecasted value of ProShares Short SP500 on the next trading day is expected to be 42.00 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.40 and the sum of the absolute errors of 24.14. ProShares Etf Forecast is based on your current time horizon. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of ProShares Short's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
  
Simple Regression model is a single variable regression model that attempts to put a straight line through ProShares Short price points. This line is defined by its gradient or slope, and the point at which it intercepts the x-axis. Mathematically, assuming the independent variable is X and the dependent variable is Y, then this line can be represented as: Y = intercept + slope * X.

ProShares Short Simple Regression Price Forecast For the 27th of November

Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Regression forecasted value of ProShares Short SP500 on the next trading day is expected to be 42.00 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.40, mean absolute percentage error of 0.25, and the sum of the absolute errors of 24.14.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict ProShares Etf prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that ProShares Short's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

ProShares Short Etf Forecast Pattern

Backtest ProShares ShortProShares Short Price PredictionBuy or Sell Advice 

ProShares Short Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting ProShares Short's Etf value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. ProShares Short's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 41.23 and 42.77, respectively. We have considered ProShares Short's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
42.11
42.00
Expected Value
42.77
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Regression forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of ProShares Short etf data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent ProShares Short etf, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria116.717
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation0.3958
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0091
SAESum of the absolute errors24.1415
In general, regression methods applied to historical equity returns or prices series is an area of active research. In recent decades, new methods have been developed for robust regression of price series such as ProShares Short SP500 historical returns. These new methods are regression involving correlated responses such as growth curves and different regression methods accommodating various types of missing data.

Predictive Modules for ProShares Short

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as ProShares Short SP500. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the etf market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the etf market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
41.3542.1342.91
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
38.3539.1346.32
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
41.6942.3142.92
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as ProShares Short. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against ProShares Short's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, ProShares Short's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in ProShares Short SP500.

Other Forecasting Options for ProShares Short

For every potential investor in ProShares, whether a beginner or expert, ProShares Short's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. ProShares Etf price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in ProShares. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying ProShares Short's price trends.

ProShares Short Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with ProShares Short etf to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of ProShares Short could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing ProShares Short by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

ProShares Short SP500 Technical and Predictive Analytics

The etf market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of ProShares Short's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of ProShares Short's current price.

ProShares Short Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how ProShares Short etf reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading ProShares Short shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying ProShares Short etf market strength indicators, traders can identify ProShares Short SP500 entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

ProShares Short Risk Indicators

The analysis of ProShares Short's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in ProShares Short's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting proshares etf prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Currently Active Assets on Macroaxis

Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of ProShares Short to cross-verify your projections.
You can also try the Equity Search module to search for actively traded equities including funds and ETFs from over 30 global markets.
The market value of ProShares Short SP500 is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of ProShares that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of ProShares Short's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is ProShares Short's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because ProShares Short's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect ProShares Short's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between ProShares Short's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if ProShares Short is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, ProShares Short's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.