Shake Shack Stock Forward View
| SHAK Stock | USD 88.03 0.54 0.61% |
Shake Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon. Although Shake Shack's naive historical forecasting may sometimes provide an important future outlook for the firm, we recommend always cross-verifying it against solid analysis of Shake Shack's systematic risk associated with finding meaningful patterns of Shake Shack fundamentals over time.
As of now, the relative strength indicator of Shake Shack's share price is approaching 46. This usually implies that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its support level. The main point of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Shake Shack, making its price go up or down. Momentum 46
Impartial
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.783 | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 0.4887 | EPS Estimate Current Year 1.2898 | EPS Estimate Next Year 1.3515 | Wall Street Target Price 110.913 |
Using Shake Shack hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Shake Shack from the perspective of Shake Shack response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Shake Shack using Shake Shack's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Shake using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Shake Shack's stock price.
Shake Shack Short Interest
An investor who is long Shake Shack may also wish to track short interest. As short interest increases, investors should be becoming more worried about Shake Shack and may potentially protect profits, hedge Shake Shack with its derivative instruments, or be ready for some potential downside.
200 Day MA 103.7558 | Short Percent 0.2144 | Short Ratio 3.53 | Shares Short Prior Month 5.7 M | 50 Day MA 86.919 |
Shake Relative Strength Index
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Shake Shack on the next trading day is expected to be 79.53 with a mean absolute deviation of 2.49 and the sum of the absolute errors of 151.90.Shake Shack Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to Shake Shack's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Shake. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Shake can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Shake Shack. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Shake Shack's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Shake Shack.
Shake Shack Implied Volatility | 0.79 |
Shake Shack's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Shake Shack stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Shake Shack's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Shake Shack stock will not fluctuate a lot when Shake Shack's options are near their expiration.
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Shake Shack on the next trading day is expected to be 79.53 with a mean absolute deviation of 2.49 and the sum of the absolute errors of 151.90. Shake Shack after-hype prediction price | USD 88.03 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Shake Shack to cross-verify your projections. Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Shake contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Shake Shack will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.0494% per day over the life of the 2026-03-20 option contract. With Shake Shack trading at USD 88.03, that is roughly USD 0.0435 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating Shake Shack's daily price movement you should consider acquiring Shake Shack options at the current volatility level of 0.79%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Open Interest Against 2026-03-20 Shake Option Contracts
Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast Shake Shack's spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in Shake Shack's options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for Shake Shack stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current Shake Shack's open interest, investors have to compare it to Shake Shack's spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of Shake Shack is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in Shake. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.
Shake Shack Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Shake price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Shake using various technical indicators. When you analyze Shake charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Shake Shack Cash Forecast
To forecast cash or other financial indicators, analysts must employ diverse statistical methods, techniques, and algorithms. This approach allows them to detect underlying patterns in the Shake Shack's financial statements, predicting their influence on future market prices.
Cash | First Reported 2012-12-31 | Previous Quarter 336.8 M | Current Value 357.8 M | Quarterly Volatility 129.7 M |
Shake Shack Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 1st of February
Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Shake Shack on the next trading day is expected to be 79.53 with a mean absolute deviation of 2.49, mean absolute percentage error of 8.75, and the sum of the absolute errors of 151.90.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Shake Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Shake Shack's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Shake Shack Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Shake Shack | Shake Shack Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
Shake Shack Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Shake Shack's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Shake Shack's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 77.11 and 81.95, respectively. We have considered Shake Shack's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Shake Shack stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Shake Shack stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 120.2793 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 2.4901 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0286 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 151.895 |
Predictive Modules for Shake Shack
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Shake Shack. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Shake Shack After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Shake Shack at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Shake Shack or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Shake Shack, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Shake Shack Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Shake Shack's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Shake Shack's historical news coverage. Shake Shack's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 85.59 and 90.47, respectively. We have considered Shake Shack's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Shake Shack is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Shake Shack is based on 3 months time horizon.
Shake Shack Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Shake Shack is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Shake Shack backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Shake Shack, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.07 | 2.42 | 0.05 | 0.03 | 8 Events / Month | 7 Events / Month | In about 8 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
88.03 | 88.03 | 0.00 |
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Shake Shack Hype Timeline
Shake Shack is at this time traded for 88.03. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.05, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.03. Shake is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is over 100%. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at -0.07%. %. The volatility of related hype on Shake Shack is about 652.29%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 88.06. About 95.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The company has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 2.55. Shake Shack had not issued any dividends in recent years. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next forecasted press release will be in about 8 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Shake Shack to cross-verify your projections.Shake Shack Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Shake Shack's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Shake Shack's future price movements. Getting to know how Shake Shack's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Shake Shack may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| HGV | Hilton Grand Vacations | 0.56 | 16 per month | 2.25 | (0.02) | 3.09 | (3.18) | 9.78 | |
| SON | Sonoco Products | (0.27) | 9 per month | 0.85 | 0.20 | 3.18 | (1.66) | 6.16 | |
| PII | Polaris Industries | 0.71 | 11 per month | 0.00 | (0.08) | 4.36 | (2.78) | 10.57 | |
| SKY | Skyline | 0.91 | 8 per month | 2.66 | 0.02 | 4.86 | (4.30) | 14.88 | |
| TNL | Travel Leisure Co | 1.67 | 12 per month | 1.42 | 0.06 | 2.77 | (2.43) | 8.90 | |
| ASO | Academy Sports Outdoors | 1.49 | 10 per month | 2.16 | 0.06 | 4.95 | (3.51) | 12.70 | |
| CAKE | The Cheesecake Factory | 2.40 | 10 per month | 2.33 | 0.02 | 4.01 | (2.82) | 8.66 | |
| MHO | MI Homes | (3.42) | 9 per month | 1.77 | 0.02 | 4.51 | (3.54) | 10.17 | |
| RUSHA | Rush Enterprises A | 0.56 | 8 per month | 1.44 | 0.18 | 3.25 | (2.49) | 10.82 | |
| PVH | PVH Corp | (0.90) | 28 per month | 0.00 | (0.18) | 3.87 | (4.38) | 17.23 |
Other Forecasting Options for Shake Shack
For every potential investor in Shake, whether a beginner or expert, Shake Shack's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Shake Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Shake. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Shake Shack's price trends.Shake Shack Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Shake Shack stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Shake Shack could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Shake Shack by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Shake Shack Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Shake Shack stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Shake Shack shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Shake Shack stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Shake Shack entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Shake Shack Risk Indicators
The analysis of Shake Shack's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Shake Shack's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting shake stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 2.03 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 2.52 | |||
| Variance | 6.33 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Shake Shack
The number of cover stories for Shake Shack depends on current market conditions and Shake Shack's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Shake Shack is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Shake Shack's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Shake Shack Short Properties
Shake Shack's future price predictability will typically decrease when Shake Shack's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Shake Shack often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Shake Shack's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Shake Shack's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 44.2 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 320.7 M |
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Shake Shack to cross-verify your projections. For more information on how to buy Shake Stock please use our How to buy in Shake Stock guide.You can also try the Price Ceiling Movement module to calculate and plot Price Ceiling Movement for different equity instruments.
Is Hotels, Restaurants & Leisure space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Shake Shack. If investors know Shake will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. Comprehensive Shake Shack assessment requires weighing all these inputs, though not all factors influence outcomes equally.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.783 | Earnings Share 1.02 | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.159 | Return On Assets |
The market value of Shake Shack is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Shake that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Shake Shack's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Shake Shack's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Shake Shack's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Shake Shack's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Shake Shack's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Shake Shack is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. Meanwhile, Shake Shack's quoted price indicates the marketplace figure where supply meets demand through bilateral consent.