Shape Robotics Stock Forward View - Simple Regression

SHAPE Stock  DKK 5.03  0.00  0.00%   
Shape Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Shape Robotics stock prices and determine the direction of Shape Robotics AS's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We suggest always using this module together with an analysis of Shape Robotics' historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
As of today, the value of RSI of Shape Robotics' share price is approaching 43. This usually implies that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its support level. The main point of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Shape Robotics, making its price go up or down.

Momentum 43

 Sell Extended

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Shape Robotics' future price could yield a significant profit. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Shape Robotics AS, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Using Shape Robotics hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Shape Robotics AS from the perspective of Shape Robotics response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Simple Regression forecasted value of Shape Robotics AS on the next trading day is expected to be 4.95 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.73 and the sum of the absolute errors of 44.82.

Shape Robotics after-hype prediction price

    
  DKK 5.03  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Shape Robotics to cross-verify your projections.

Shape Robotics Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Shape price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Shape using various technical indicators. When you analyze Shape charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
Simple Regression model is a single variable regression model that attempts to put a straight line through Shape Robotics price points. This line is defined by its gradient or slope, and the point at which it intercepts the x-axis. Mathematically, assuming the independent variable is X and the dependent variable is Y, then this line can be represented as: Y = intercept + slope * X.

Shape Robotics Simple Regression Price Forecast For the 28th of February

Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Regression forecasted value of Shape Robotics AS on the next trading day is expected to be 4.95 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.73, mean absolute percentage error of 1.48, and the sum of the absolute errors of 44.82.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Shape Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Shape Robotics' next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Shape Robotics Stock Forecast Pattern

Backtest Shape Robotics  Shape Robotics Price Prediction  Research Analysis  

Shape Robotics Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Shape Robotics' Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Shape Robotics' downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0.05 and 16.28, respectively. We have considered Shape Robotics' daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
5.03
4.95
Expected Value
16.28
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Regression forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Shape Robotics stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Shape Robotics stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria118.5037
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation0.7347
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.2159
SAESum of the absolute errors44.8151
In general, regression methods applied to historical equity returns or prices series is an area of active research. In recent decades, new methods have been developed for robust regression of price series such as Shape Robotics AS historical returns. These new methods are regression involving correlated responses such as growth curves and different regression methods accommodating various types of missing data.

Predictive Modules for Shape Robotics

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Shape Robotics AS. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Shape Robotics' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.255.0316.36
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.234.5715.90
Details

Shape Robotics After-Hype Price Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Shape Robotics at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Shape Robotics or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Shape Robotics, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Shape Robotics Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Shape Robotics' stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Shape Robotics' historical news coverage. Shape Robotics' after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.25 and 16.36, respectively. We have considered Shape Robotics' daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
5.03
5.03
After-hype Price
16.36
Upside
Shape Robotics is dangerous at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Shape Robotics AS is based on 3 months time horizon.

Shape Robotics Stock Price Outlook Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Shape Robotics is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Shape Robotics backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Shape Robotics, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.79 
11.33
 0.00  
 0.00  
0 Events / Month
0 Events / Month
Within a week
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
5.03
5.03
0.00 
0.00  
Notes

Shape Robotics Hype Timeline

Shape Robotics AS is at this time traded for 5.03on Copenhagen Exchange of Denmark. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Shape is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at 0.79%. %. The volatility of related hype on Shape Robotics is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 5.03. About 46.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders. The company recorded a loss per share of 2.04. Shape Robotics AS had not issued any dividends in recent years. The entity had 812:745 split on the 2nd of September 2021. Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the next forecasted press release will be within a week.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Shape Robotics to cross-verify your projections.

Shape Robotics Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Shape Robotics' direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Shape Robotics' future price movements. Getting to know how Shape Robotics' peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Shape Robotics may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
DATADataproces Group AS 0.00 0 per month 0.00 (0.19) 4.18 (5.67) 18.26 
IMPEROImpero AS 0.00 0 per month 3.29  0.05  8.59 (5.97) 30.11 
AGILCAgillic AS 0.00 0 per month 1.35 (0.07) 2.99 (2.19) 10.98 
KONSOLKonsolidator AS 0.00 0 per month 2.34  0.09  6.00 (4.70) 14.83 
NEXCOMNexcom AS 0.00 0 per month 0.00 (0.05) 5.81 (3.43) 14.32 
ASTKAsetek AS 0.00 0 per month 0.00  0.11  1.86 (1.84) 98.71 
FASTPCFastpasscorp AS 0.00 0 per month 6.01  0.18  17.65 (11.90) 55.29 
TGAMESTROPHY GAMES Development 0.00 0 per month 1.65  0.03  3.92 (2.71) 11.97 
DANTDantax 0.00 0 per month 0.00 (0.18) 2.10 (3.42) 11.00 
QINTERQ Interline AS 0.00 0 per month 3.48 (0.02) 7.50 (5.88) 22.96 

Other Forecasting Options for Shape Robotics

For every potential investor in Shape, whether a beginner or expert, Shape Robotics' price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Shape Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Shape. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Shape Robotics' price trends.

Shape Robotics Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Shape Robotics stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Shape Robotics could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Shape Robotics by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Shape Robotics Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Shape Robotics stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Shape Robotics shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Shape Robotics stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Shape Robotics AS entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Shape Robotics Risk Indicators

The analysis of Shape Robotics' basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Shape Robotics' investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting shape stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Story Coverage note for Shape Robotics

The number of cover stories for Shape Robotics depends on current market conditions and Shape Robotics' risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Shape Robotics is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Shape Robotics' long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Other Macroaxis Stories

Our audience includes start-ups and big corporations as well as marketing, public relation firms, and advertising agencies, including technology and finance journalists. Our platform and its news and story outlet are popular among finance students, amateur traders, self-guided investors, entrepreneurs, retirees and baby boomers, academic researchers, financial advisers, as well as professional money managers - a very diverse and influential demographic landscape united by one goal - build optimal investment portfolios

Shape Robotics Short Properties

Shape Robotics' future price predictability will typically decrease when Shape Robotics' long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Shape Robotics AS often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Shape Robotics' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Shape Robotics' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding107.5 M
Cash And Short Term InvestmentsM

Other Information on Investing in Shape Stock

Shape Robotics financial ratios help investors to determine whether Shape Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Shape with respect to the benefits of owning Shape Robotics security.