Shore Bancshares Stock Forward View - Simple Exponential Smoothing
| SHBI Stock | USD 18.97 0.52 2.82% |
Shore Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon. We suggest always using this module together with an analysis of Shore Bancshares' historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
The relative strength index (RSI) of Shore Bancshares' stock price is under 61. This usually implies that the stock is rather overbought by investors as of 2nd of February 2026. The main point of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to track how fast people are buying or selling Shore, making its price go up or down. Momentum 61
Buy Extended
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.193 | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 0.45 | EPS Estimate Current Year 1.95 | EPS Estimate Next Year 2.1867 | Wall Street Target Price 20 |
Using Shore Bancshares hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Shore Bancshares from the perspective of Shore Bancshares response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Shore Bancshares using Shore Bancshares' stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Shore using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Shore Bancshares' stock price.
Shore Bancshares Short Interest
A significant increase or decrease in Shore Bancshares' short interest from the previous month could be a good indicator of investor sentiment towards Shore. Short interest can provide insight into the potential direction of Shore Bancshares stock and how bullish or bearish investors feel about the market overall.
200 Day MA 16.1978 | Short Percent 0.0194 | Short Ratio 3.48 | Shares Short Prior Month 534.4 K | 50 Day MA 17.9094 |
Shore Relative Strength Index
The Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Shore Bancshares on the next trading day is expected to be 18.97 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.21 and the sum of the absolute errors of 12.43.Shore Bancshares Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to Shore Bancshares' public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Shore. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Shore can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Shore Bancshares. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Shore Bancshares' market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Shore Bancshares.
Shore Bancshares Implied Volatility | 0.97 |
Shore Bancshares' implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Shore Bancshares stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Shore Bancshares' implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Shore Bancshares stock will not fluctuate a lot when Shore Bancshares' options are near their expiration.
The Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Shore Bancshares on the next trading day is expected to be 18.97 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.21 and the sum of the absolute errors of 12.43. Shore Bancshares after-hype prediction price | USD 18.87 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Shore Bancshares to cross-verify your projections. Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Shore contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Shore Bancshares will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.0606% per day over the life of the 2026-03-20 option contract. With Shore Bancshares trading at USD 18.97, that is roughly USD 0.0115 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating Shore Bancshares' daily price movement you should consider acquiring Shore Bancshares options at the current volatility level of 0.97%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Open Interest Against 2026-03-20 Shore Option Contracts
Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast Shore Bancshares' spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in Shore Bancshares' options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for Shore Bancshares stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current Shore Bancshares' open interest, investors have to compare it to Shore Bancshares' spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of Shore Bancshares is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in Shore. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.
Shore Bancshares Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Shore price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Shore using various technical indicators. When you analyze Shore charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Shore Bancshares Simple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 3rd of February
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Shore Bancshares on the next trading day is expected to be 18.97 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.21, mean absolute percentage error of 0.08, and the sum of the absolute errors of 12.43.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Shore Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Shore Bancshares' next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Shore Bancshares Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Shore Bancshares | Shore Bancshares Price Prediction | Research Analysis |
Shore Bancshares Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Shore Bancshares' Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Shore Bancshares' downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 17.34 and 20.60, respectively. We have considered Shore Bancshares' daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Shore Bancshares stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Shore Bancshares stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 113.7727 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | -0.0482 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.2072 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0117 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 12.43 |
Predictive Modules for Shore Bancshares
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Shore Bancshares. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Shore Bancshares After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Shore Bancshares at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Shore Bancshares or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Shore Bancshares, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Shore Bancshares Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Shore Bancshares' stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Shore Bancshares' historical news coverage. Shore Bancshares' after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 17.24 and 20.50, respectively. We have considered Shore Bancshares' daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Shore Bancshares is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Shore Bancshares is based on 3 months time horizon.
Shore Bancshares Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Shore Bancshares is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Shore Bancshares backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Shore Bancshares, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.32 | 1.63 | 0.10 | 0.00 | 15 Events / Month | 7 Events / Month | In about 15 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
18.97 | 18.87 | 0.53 |
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Shore Bancshares Hype Timeline
Shore Bancshares is at this time traded for 18.97. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.1, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.0. Shore is forecasted to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 18.87. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is over 100%. The price decrease on the next news is expected to be -0.53%, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at 0.32%. The volatility of related hype on Shore Bancshares is about 10866.67%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 18.97. About 66.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The company has price-to-book ratio of 1.08. Typically companies with comparable Price to Book (P/B) are able to outperform the market in the long run. Shore Bancshares has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 1.78. The entity last dividend was issued on the 13th of November 2025. The firm had 3:2 split on the 6th of June 2006. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next forecasted press release will be in about 15 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Shore Bancshares to cross-verify your projections.Shore Bancshares Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Shore Bancshares' direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Shore Bancshares' future price movements. Getting to know how Shore Bancshares' peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Shore Bancshares may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| MSBI | Midland States Bancorp | (0.33) | 10 per month | 1.79 | 0.18 | 6.49 | (1.83) | 14.42 | |
| TCBX | Third Coast Bancshares | (0.47) | 10 per month | 1.45 | 0.04 | 3.27 | (2.53) | 9.59 | |
| NPB | Northpointe Bancshares | 0.02 | 8 per month | 1.73 | 0.02 | 3.68 | (3.80) | 8.26 | |
| ACNB | ACNB Corporation | 1.41 | 11 per month | 1.19 | 0.11 | 2.50 | (2.28) | 7.30 | |
| FMNB | Farmers National Banc | 0.02 | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.04) | 2.82 | (2.64) | 11.02 | |
| ALRS | Alerus Financial Corp | 0.62 | 9 per month | 1.17 | 0.11 | 2.92 | (2.19) | 9.30 | |
| NRIM | Northrim BanCorp | 0.11 | 9 per month | 3.21 | 0.03 | 4.46 | (3.09) | 21.03 | |
| CBNK | Capital Bancorp | (1.09) | 9 per month | 1.26 | 0.03 | 2.67 | (2.02) | 8.39 | |
| HONE | HarborOne Bancorp | (0.27) | 7 per month | 1.78 | (0.01) | 3.37 | (3.10) | 13.38 | |
| BHB | Bar Harbor Bankshares | 0.13 | 7 per month | 1.34 | 0.10 | 3.28 | (2.17) | 8.32 |
Other Forecasting Options for Shore Bancshares
For every potential investor in Shore, whether a beginner or expert, Shore Bancshares' price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Shore Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Shore. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Shore Bancshares' price trends.Shore Bancshares Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Shore Bancshares stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Shore Bancshares could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Shore Bancshares by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Shore Bancshares Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Shore Bancshares stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Shore Bancshares shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Shore Bancshares stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Shore Bancshares entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Shore Bancshares Risk Indicators
The analysis of Shore Bancshares' basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Shore Bancshares' investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting shore stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 1.22 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 1.08 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 1.65 | |||
| Variance | 2.71 | |||
| Downside Variance | 1.93 | |||
| Semi Variance | 1.17 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (1.37) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Shore Bancshares
The number of cover stories for Shore Bancshares depends on current market conditions and Shore Bancshares' risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Shore Bancshares is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Shore Bancshares' long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Shore Bancshares to cross-verify your projections. For more detail on how to invest in Shore Stock please use our How to Invest in Shore Bancshares guide.You can also try the Portfolio Optimization module to compute new portfolio that will generate highest expected return given your specified tolerance for risk.
Is there potential for Regional Banks market expansion? Will Shore introduce new products? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Shore Bancshares. If investors know Shore will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. Understanding fair value requires weighing current performance against future potential. All the valuation information about Shore Bancshares listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.193 | Dividend Share 0.48 | Earnings Share 1.78 | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.081 |
Shore Bancshares's market price often diverges from its book value, the accounting figure shown on Shore's balance sheet. Smart investors calculate Shore Bancshares' intrinsic value—its true economic worth—which may differ significantly from both market price and book value. Analysts utilize numerous techniques to assess fundamental value, seeking to purchase shares when trading prices fall beneath estimated intrinsic worth. Since Shore Bancshares' trading price responds to investor sentiment, macroeconomic conditions, and market psychology, it can swing far from fundamental value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Shore Bancshares' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Shore Bancshares is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Shore Bancshares' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.