Sokoman Minerals Stock Forward View - Simple Regression

SIC Stock  CAD 0.28  0.00  0.00%   
Sokoman Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon.
At this time, The relative strength momentum indicator of Sokoman Minerals' share price is at 52. This usually implies that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its resistance level. The main idea of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Sokoman Minerals, making its price go up or down.

Momentum 52

 Impartial

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Sokoman Minerals' future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Sokoman Minerals and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Sokoman Minerals' fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Sokoman Minerals Corp, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting Sokoman Minerals' stock price prediction:
Wall Street Target Price
0.6
Using Sokoman Minerals hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Sokoman Minerals Corp from the perspective of Sokoman Minerals response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Simple Regression forecasted value of Sokoman Minerals Corp on the next trading day is expected to be 0.27 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.01 and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.79.

Sokoman Minerals after-hype prediction price

    
  CAD 0.27  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out World Market Map to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in inflation.

Sokoman Minerals Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Sokoman price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Sokoman using various technical indicators. When you analyze Sokoman charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
Simple Regression model is a single variable regression model that attempts to put a straight line through Sokoman Minerals price points. This line is defined by its gradient or slope, and the point at which it intercepts the x-axis. Mathematically, assuming the independent variable is X and the dependent variable is Y, then this line can be represented as: Y = intercept + slope * X.

Sokoman Minerals Simple Regression Price Forecast For the 24th of February

Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Regression forecasted value of Sokoman Minerals Corp on the next trading day is expected to be 0.27 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.01, mean absolute percentage error of 0.0003, and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.79.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Sokoman Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Sokoman Minerals' next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Sokoman Minerals Stock Forecast Pattern

Backtest Sokoman Minerals  Sokoman Minerals Price Prediction  Research Analysis  

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Regression forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Sokoman Minerals stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Sokoman Minerals stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria109.9226
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation0.0129
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0556
SAESum of the absolute errors0.7858
In general, regression methods applied to historical equity returns or prices series is an area of active research. In recent decades, new methods have been developed for robust regression of price series such as Sokoman Minerals Corp historical returns. These new methods are regression involving correlated responses such as growth curves and different regression methods accommodating various types of missing data.

Predictive Modules for Sokoman Minerals

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Sokoman Minerals Corp. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.010.275.75
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.010.215.69
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
-0.040.270.58
Details

Sokoman Minerals After-Hype Price Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Sokoman Minerals at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Sokoman Minerals or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Sokoman Minerals, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Sokoman Minerals Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Sokoman Minerals' stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Sokoman Minerals' historical news coverage. Sokoman Minerals' after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.01 and 5.75, respectively. We have considered Sokoman Minerals' daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
0.28
0.27
After-hype Price
5.75
Upside
Sokoman Minerals is out of control at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Sokoman Minerals Corp is based on 3 months time horizon.

Sokoman Minerals Stock Price Outlook Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Sokoman Minerals is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Sokoman Minerals backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Sokoman Minerals, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  1.11 
5.48
  0.01 
  0.17 
4 Events / Month
0 Events / Month
In about 4 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
0.28
0.27
3.57 
54,800  
Notes

Sokoman Minerals Hype Timeline

Sokoman Minerals Corp is at this time traded for 0.28on TSX Venture Exchange of Canada. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.01, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.17. Sokoman is estimated to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 0.27. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is over 100%. The price reduction on the next news is expected to be -3.57%, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at 1.11%. The volatility of related hype on Sokoman Minerals is about 3653.33%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 0.11. About 24.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders. The company recorded a loss per share of 0.01. Sokoman Minerals Corp last dividend was issued on the 2nd of November 2006. The entity had 1:10 split on the 1st of October 2013. Assuming the 90 days horizon the next estimated press release will be in about 4 days.
Check out World Market Map to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in inflation.

Sokoman Minerals Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Sokoman Minerals' direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Sokoman Minerals' future price movements. Getting to know how Sokoman Minerals' peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Sokoman Minerals may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.

Sokoman Minerals Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Sokoman Minerals stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Sokoman Minerals could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Sokoman Minerals by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Sokoman Minerals Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Sokoman Minerals stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Sokoman Minerals shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Sokoman Minerals stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Sokoman Minerals Corp entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Sokoman Minerals Risk Indicators

The analysis of Sokoman Minerals' basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Sokoman Minerals' investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting sokoman stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Story Coverage note for Sokoman Minerals

The number of cover stories for Sokoman Minerals depends on current market conditions and Sokoman Minerals' risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Sokoman Minerals is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Sokoman Minerals' long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

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Additional Tools for Sokoman Stock Analysis

When running Sokoman Minerals' price analysis, check to measure Sokoman Minerals' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Sokoman Minerals is operating at the current time. Most of Sokoman Minerals' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Sokoman Minerals' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Sokoman Minerals' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Sokoman Minerals to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.