Signet Jewelers Stock Forward View - Simple Moving Average
| SIG Stock | USD 96.99 0.01 0.01% |
Signet Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon. We suggest always using this module together with an analysis of Signet Jewelers' historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
As of 10th of February 2026 the value of rsi of Signet Jewelers' share price is below 20 . This usually implies that the stock is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards. Momentum 0
Sell Peaked
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth 3.083 | EPS Estimate Current Year 9.303 | EPS Estimate Next Year 10.483 | Wall Street Target Price 112.2222 | EPS Estimate Current Quarter 0.2868 |
Using Signet Jewelers hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Signet Jewelers from the perspective of Signet Jewelers response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Signet Jewelers using Signet Jewelers' stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Signet using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Signet Jewelers' stock price.
Signet Jewelers Short Interest
A significant increase or decrease in Signet Jewelers' short interest from the previous month could be a good indicator of investor sentiment towards Signet. Short interest can provide insight into the potential direction of Signet Jewelers stock and how bullish or bearish investors feel about the market overall.
200 Day MA 85.6271 | Short Percent 0.2261 | Short Ratio 6.8 | Shares Short Prior Month 5.4 M | 50 Day MA 89.7328 |
Signet Relative Strength Index
The Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Signet Jewelers on the next trading day is expected to be 96.99 with a mean absolute deviation of 2.59 and the sum of the absolute errors of 155.37.Signet Jewelers Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to Signet Jewelers' public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Signet. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Signet can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Signet Jewelers. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Signet Jewelers' market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Signet Jewelers.
Signet Jewelers Implied Volatility | 0.6 |
Signet Jewelers' implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Signet Jewelers stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Signet Jewelers' implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Signet Jewelers stock will not fluctuate a lot when Signet Jewelers' options are near their expiration.
The Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Signet Jewelers on the next trading day is expected to be 96.99 with a mean absolute deviation of 2.59 and the sum of the absolute errors of 155.37.
Signet Jewelers after-hype prediction price | USD 96.95 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Signet Jewelers to cross-verify your projections. Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Signet contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Signet Jewelers will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.0375% per day over the life of the 2026-04-17 option contract. With Signet Jewelers trading at USD 96.99, that is roughly USD 0.0364 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating Signet Jewelers' daily price movement you should consider acquiring Signet Jewelers options at the current volatility level of 0.6%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Open Interest Against 2026-04-17 Signet Option Contracts
Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast Signet Jewelers' spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in Signet Jewelers' options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for Signet Jewelers stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current Signet Jewelers' open interest, investors have to compare it to Signet Jewelers' spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of Signet Jewelers is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in Signet. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.
Signet Jewelers Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Signet price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Signet using various technical indicators. When you analyze Signet charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Signet Jewelers Simple Moving Average Price Forecast For the 11th of February 2026
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Signet Jewelers on the next trading day is expected to be 96.99 with a mean absolute deviation of 2.59, mean absolute percentage error of 10.34, and the sum of the absolute errors of 155.37.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Signet Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Signet Jewelers' next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Signet Jewelers Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Signet Jewelers | Signet Jewelers Price Prediction | Research Analysis |
Signet Jewelers Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Signet Jewelers' Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Signet Jewelers' downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 93.97 and 100.01, respectively. We have considered Signet Jewelers' daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Signet Jewelers stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Signet Jewelers stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 118.6084 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | 0.1925 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 2.5895 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0285 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 155.37 |
Predictive Modules for Signet Jewelers
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Signet Jewelers. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Signet Jewelers After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Signet Jewelers at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Signet Jewelers or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Signet Jewelers, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Signet Jewelers Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Signet Jewelers' stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Signet Jewelers' historical news coverage. Signet Jewelers' after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 93.96 and 99.94, respectively. We have considered Signet Jewelers' daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Signet Jewelers is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Signet Jewelers is based on 3 months time horizon.
Signet Jewelers Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Signet Jewelers is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Signet Jewelers backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Signet Jewelers, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.10 | 3.02 | 0.08 | 0.08 | 8 Events / Month | 7 Events / Month | In about 8 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
96.99 | 96.95 | 0.04 |
|
Signet Jewelers Hype Timeline
On the 10th of February Signet Jewelers is traded for 96.99. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.08, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.08. Signet is forecasted to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 96.95 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is over 100%. The price rise on the next news is projected to be 0.04%, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at -0.1%. The volatility of related hype on Signet Jewelers is about 374.23%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 97.07. The company reported the last year's revenue of 6.7 B. Total Income to common stockholders was 61.2 M with profit before taxes, overhead, and interest of 2.71 B. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next forecasted press release will be in about 8 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Signet Jewelers to cross-verify your projections.Signet Jewelers Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Signet Jewelers' direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Signet Jewelers' future price movements. Getting to know how Signet Jewelers' peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Signet Jewelers may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| REAL | TheRealReal | 0.43 | 12 per month | 3.07 | 0.04 | 4.47 | (5.75) | 45.94 | |
| SON | Sonoco Products | 0.01 | 11 per month | 0.76 | 0.20 | 3.18 | (1.55) | 6.88 | |
| RUSHA | Rush Enterprises A | 0.99 | 9 per month | 0.96 | 0.30 | 4.15 | (2.20) | 10.82 | |
| KTB | Kontoor Brands | (1.10) | 18 per month | 0.00 | (0.09) | 4.18 | (4.35) | 13.84 | |
| DORM | Dorman Products | 4.62 | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.06) | 3.17 | (2.04) | 6.48 | |
| TNL | Travel Leisure Co | (0.55) | 10 per month | 1.24 | 0.1 | 3.13 | (2.43) | 8.90 | |
| SLGN | Silgan Holdings | (0.24) | 10 per month | 0.96 | 0.15 | 2.56 | (2.30) | 9.58 | |
| SKY | Skyline | (2.41) | 9 per month | 1.89 | 0.11 | 4.86 | (3.89) | 17.78 | |
| WHR | Whirlpool | 4.15 | 8 per month | 2.24 | 0.11 | 5.81 | (4.39) | 11.82 | |
| CVCO | Cavco Industries | 2.17 | 8 per month | 4.29 | 0.01 | 4.73 | (3.02) | 25.82 |
Other Forecasting Options for Signet Jewelers
For every potential investor in Signet, whether a beginner or expert, Signet Jewelers' price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Signet Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Signet. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Signet Jewelers' price trends.Signet Jewelers Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Signet Jewelers stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Signet Jewelers could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Signet Jewelers by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Signet Jewelers Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Signet Jewelers stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Signet Jewelers shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Signet Jewelers stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Signet Jewelers entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
| Accumulation Distribution | 15565.25 | |||
| Daily Balance Of Power | (0) | |||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 1.0 | |||
| Day Median Price | 96.28 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 96.52 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | 0.7 | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | (0.01) |
Signet Jewelers Risk Indicators
The analysis of Signet Jewelers' basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Signet Jewelers' investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting signet stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 2.31 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 2.88 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 2.94 | |||
| Variance | 8.65 | |||
| Downside Variance | 8.62 | |||
| Semi Variance | 8.32 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (2.42) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Signet Jewelers
The number of cover stories for Signet Jewelers depends on current market conditions and Signet Jewelers' risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Signet Jewelers is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Signet Jewelers' long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
Contributor Headline
Latest Perspective From Macroaxis
Signet Jewelers Short Properties
Signet Jewelers' future price predictability will typically decrease when Signet Jewelers' long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Signet Jewelers often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Signet Jewelers' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Signet Jewelers' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 44.1 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 604 M |
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Signet Jewelers to cross-verify your projections. For more detail on how to invest in Signet Stock please use our How to Invest in Signet Jewelers guide.You can also try the Commodity Channel module to use Commodity Channel Index to analyze current equity momentum.
Can Other Specialty Retail industry sustain growth momentum? Does Signet have expansion opportunities? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Signet Jewelers. If investors know Signet will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. Determining accurate worth demands scrutiny of both present operating results and projected expansion capacity. Evaluating Signet Jewelers demands reviewing these metrics collectively while recognizing certain factors exert disproportionate influence.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 3.083 | Dividend Share 1.25 | Earnings Share 3.32 | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.031 |
Signet Jewelers's market price often diverges from its book value, the accounting figure shown on Signet's balance sheet. Smart investors calculate Signet Jewelers' intrinsic value - its true economic worth - which may differ significantly from both market price and book value. Market participants employ diverse analytical approaches to determine fair value and identify buying opportunities when prices dip below calculated worth. Since Signet Jewelers' trading price responds to investor sentiment, macroeconomic conditions, and market psychology, it can swing far from fundamental value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Signet Jewelers' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Signet Jewelers is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Signet Jewelers' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.