ETF Managers Etf Forecast - Naive Prediction

SILX Etf  USD 1.75  0.00  0.00%   
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of ETF Managers Group on the next trading day is expected to be 1.89 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.06 and the sum of the absolute errors of 3.77. ETF Etf Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
  
A naive forecasting model for ETF Managers is a special case of the moving average forecasting where the number of periods used for smoothing is one. Therefore, the forecast of ETF Managers Group value for a given trading day is simply the observed value for the previous period. Due to the simplistic nature of the naive forecasting model, it can only be used to forecast up to one period.

ETF Managers Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 12th of December 2024

Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of ETF Managers Group on the next trading day is expected to be 1.89 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.06, mean absolute percentage error of 0.01, and the sum of the absolute errors of 3.77.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict ETF Etf prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that ETF Managers' next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

ETF Managers Etf Forecast Pattern

Backtest ETF ManagersETF Managers Price PredictionBuy or Sell Advice 

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of ETF Managers etf data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent ETF Managers etf, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria113.0236
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation0.0618
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0292
SAESum of the absolute errors3.7674
This model is not at all useful as a medium-long range forecasting tool of ETF Managers Group. This model is simplistic and is included partly for completeness and partly because of its simplicity. It is unlikely that you'll want to use this model directly to predict ETF Managers. Instead, consider using either the moving average model or the more general weighted moving average model with a higher (i.e., greater than 1) number of periods, and possibly a different set of weights.

Predictive Modules for ETF Managers

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as ETF Managers Group. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the etf market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the etf market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
1.751.751.75
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
1.581.871.87
Details

ETF Managers Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with ETF Managers etf to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of ETF Managers could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing ETF Managers by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

ETF Managers Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how ETF Managers etf reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading ETF Managers shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying ETF Managers etf market strength indicators, traders can identify ETF Managers Group entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Also Currently Popular

Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.
When determining whether ETF Managers Group is a good investment, qualitative aspects like company management, corporate governance, and ethical practices play a significant role. A comparison with peer companies also provides context and helps to understand if ETF Etf is undervalued or overvalued. This multi-faceted approach, blending both quantitative and qualitative analysis, forms a solid foundation for making an informed investment decision about Etf Managers Group Etf. Highlighted below are key reports to facilitate an investment decision about Etf Managers Group Etf:
Check out World Market Map to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any etf could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in bureau of economic analysis.
You can also try the Global Markets Map module to get a quick overview of global market snapshot using zoomable world map. Drill down to check world indexes.
The market value of ETF Managers Group is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of ETF that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of ETF Managers' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is ETF Managers' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because ETF Managers' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect ETF Managers' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between ETF Managers' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if ETF Managers is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, ETF Managers' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.