Sincerity Applied Pink Sheet Forward View - Simple Exponential Smoothing
| SINC Stock | USD 4.50 0.60 11.76% |
Sincerity Pink Sheet outlook is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Sincerity Applied stock prices and determine the direction of Sincerity Applied Materials's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We suggest always using this module together with an analysis of Sincerity Applied's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
At the present time the relative strength index (rsi) of Sincerity Applied's share price is below 20 . This usually implies that the pink sheet is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards. Momentum 0
Sell Peaked
Oversold | Overbought |
Using Sincerity Applied hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Sincerity Applied Materials from the perspective of Sincerity Applied response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Sincerity Applied Materials on the next trading day is expected to be 4.50 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.62 and the sum of the absolute errors of 37.89. Sincerity Applied after-hype prediction price | USD 4.5 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as pink sheet price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Sincerity |
Sincerity Applied Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Sincerity price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Sincerity using various technical indicators. When you analyze Sincerity charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
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| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
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| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Sincerity Applied Simple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 6th of February
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Sincerity Applied Materials on the next trading day is expected to be 4.50 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.62, mean absolute percentage error of 1.57, and the sum of the absolute errors of 37.89.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Sincerity Pink Sheet prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Sincerity Applied's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Sincerity Applied Pink Sheet Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Sincerity Applied | Sincerity Applied Price Prediction | Research Analysis |
Sincerity Applied Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Sincerity Applied's Pink Sheet value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Sincerity Applied's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0.04 and 50.75, respectively. We have considered Sincerity Applied's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Sincerity Applied pink sheet data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Sincerity Applied pink sheet, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 118.5608 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | -0.0307 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.6211 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.1836 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 37.89 |
Predictive Modules for Sincerity Applied
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Sincerity Applied. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sincerity Applied After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Sincerity Applied at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Sincerity Applied or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Pink Sheet prices, such as prices of Sincerity Applied, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Sincerity Applied Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Sincerity Applied's pink sheet value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Sincerity Applied's historical news coverage. Sincerity Applied's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.23 and 50.75, respectively. We have considered Sincerity Applied's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Sincerity Applied is out of control at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Sincerity Applied is based on 3 months time horizon.
Sincerity Applied Pink Sheet Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Sincerity Applied is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Sincerity Applied backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Pink Sheet price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Sincerity Applied, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
7.08 | 46.25 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0 Events / Month | 0 Events / Month | Within a week |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
4.50 | 4.50 | 0.00 |
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Sincerity Applied Hype Timeline
Sincerity Applied is at this time traded for 4.50. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Sincerity is estimated not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is estimated to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at 7.08%. %. The volatility of related hype on Sincerity Applied is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 4.50. About 78.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders. The company has price-to-book ratio of 0.18. Typically companies with comparable Price to Book (P/B) are able to outperform the market in the long run. Sincerity Applied last dividend was issued on the 13th of November 2018. The entity had 1:1000 split on the 13th of November 2018. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next estimated press release will be within a week. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Sincerity Applied to cross-verify your projections.Sincerity Applied Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Sincerity Applied's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Sincerity Applied's future price movements. Getting to know how Sincerity Applied's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Sincerity Applied may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| PTPIF | PT Chandra Asri | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.13) | 0.00 | 0.00 | 115.96 | |
| NVZMY | Novozymes AS | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.25 | (0.03) | 3.11 | (2.01) | 11.18 | |
| NVZMF | Novozymes AS B | 0.00 | 0 per month | 2.27 | (0.01) | 4.86 | (3.97) | 13.20 | |
| GVDBF | Givaudan SA | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.10) | 4.22 | (4.79) | 14.39 | |
| GVDNY | Givaudan SA ADR | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.07) | 2.25 | (1.93) | 9.88 | |
| AKZOY | Akzo Nobel NV | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.50 | 0.01 | 2.25 | (2.16) | 7.22 | |
| AMSYF | ArcelorMittal SA | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.14 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 28.69 | |
| NDEKF | Nitto Denko | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.20) | 0.00 | (1.97) | 6.68 |
Other Forecasting Options for Sincerity Applied
For every potential investor in Sincerity, whether a beginner or expert, Sincerity Applied's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Sincerity Pink Sheet price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Sincerity. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Sincerity Applied's price trends.Sincerity Applied Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Sincerity Applied pink sheet to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Sincerity Applied could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Sincerity Applied by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Sincerity Applied Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Sincerity Applied pink sheet reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Sincerity Applied shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Sincerity Applied pink sheet market strength indicators, traders can identify Sincerity Applied Materials entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Sincerity Applied Risk Indicators
The analysis of Sincerity Applied's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Sincerity Applied's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting sincerity pink sheet prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 23.06 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 18.48 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 45.93 | |||
| Variance | 2109.62 | |||
| Downside Variance | 983.44 | |||
| Semi Variance | 341.4 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (44.93) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Sincerity Applied
The number of cover stories for Sincerity Applied depends on current market conditions and Sincerity Applied's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Sincerity Applied is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Sincerity Applied's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Sincerity Applied Short Properties
Sincerity Applied's future price predictability will typically decrease when Sincerity Applied's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Sincerity Applied Materials often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Sincerity Applied's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Sincerity Applied's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 49.8 K | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 22.8 K |
Other Information on Investing in Sincerity Pink Sheet
Sincerity Applied financial ratios help investors to determine whether Sincerity Pink Sheet is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Sincerity with respect to the benefits of owning Sincerity Applied security.