Sika AG Pink Sheet Forward View - Simple Exponential Smoothing
| SKFOF Stock | USD 192.81 3.96 2.10% |
Sika Pink Sheet outlook is based on your current time horizon. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Sika AG's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
As of 1st of February 2026, the relative strength index (RSI) of Sika AG's share price is approaching 49. This usually implies that the pink sheet is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its support level. The main point of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Sika AG, making its price go up or down. Momentum 49
Impartial
Oversold | Overbought |
Using Sika AG hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Sika AG from the perspective of Sika AG response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Sika AG on the next trading day is expected to be 192.77 with a mean absolute deviation of 2.27 and the sum of the absolute errors of 136.17. Sika AG after-hype prediction price | USD 192.81 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as pink sheet price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Sika |
Sika AG Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Sika price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Sika using various technical indicators. When you analyze Sika charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Sika AG Simple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 2nd of February
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Sika AG on the next trading day is expected to be 192.77 with a mean absolute deviation of 2.27, mean absolute percentage error of 16.27, and the sum of the absolute errors of 136.17.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Sika Pink Sheet prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Sika AG's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Sika AG Pink Sheet Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Sika AG | Sika AG Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
Sika AG Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Sika AG's Pink Sheet value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Sika AG's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 190.71 and 194.83, respectively. We have considered Sika AG's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Sika AG pink sheet data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Sika AG pink sheet, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 119.0622 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | -0.1686 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 2.2695 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0117 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 136.1726 |
Predictive Modules for Sika AG
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Sika AG. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sika AG After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Sika AG at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Sika AG or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Pink Sheet prices, such as prices of Sika AG, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Sika AG Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Sika AG's pink sheet value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Sika AG's historical news coverage. Sika AG's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 190.75 and 194.87, respectively. We have considered Sika AG's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Sika AG is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Sika AG is based on 3 months time horizon.
Sika AG Pink Sheet Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Sika AG is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Sika AG backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Pink Sheet price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Sika AG, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.07 | 2.06 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0 Events / Month | 0 Events / Month | Within a week |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
192.81 | 192.81 | 0.00 |
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Sika AG Hype Timeline
Sika AG is at this time traded for 192.81. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Sika is estimated not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is estimated to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at 0.07%. %. The volatility of related hype on Sika AG is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 192.81. About 51.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The company recorded earning per share (EPS) of 7.85. Sika AG last dividend was issued on the 14th of April 2022. The entity had 60:1 split on the 13th of June 2018. Assuming the 90 days horizon the next estimated press release will be within a week. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Sika AG to cross-verify your projections.Sika AG Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Sika AG's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Sika AG's future price movements. Getting to know how Sika AG's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Sika AG may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| PTPIF | PT Chandra Asri | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.14) | 0.00 | 0.00 | 726.42 | |
| NVZMY | Novozymes AS | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.23 | 0.01 | 3.11 | (2.01) | 11.18 | |
| NVZMF | Novozymes AS B | 0.00 | 0 per month | 2.21 | 0.03 | 4.86 | (3.66) | 13.20 | |
| UCLQF | UltraTech Cement Limited | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| GVDBF | Givaudan SA | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.03) | 4.22 | (3.80) | 14.39 | |
| GVDNY | Givaudan SA ADR | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.07) | 1.92 | (1.88) | 9.88 | |
| AKZOY | Akzo Nobel NV | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.23 | 0.05 | 2.17 | (2.03) | 5.24 | |
| AMSYF | ArcelorMittal SA | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.14 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 28.69 | |
| GFIOF | Gold Fields Limited | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| PTCAY | Chandra Asri Petrochemical | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
Other Forecasting Options for Sika AG
For every potential investor in Sika, whether a beginner or expert, Sika AG's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Sika Pink Sheet price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Sika. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Sika AG's price trends.Sika AG Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Sika AG pink sheet to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Sika AG could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Sika AG by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Sika AG Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Sika AG pink sheet reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Sika AG shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Sika AG pink sheet market strength indicators, traders can identify Sika AG entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
| Daily Balance Of Power | 9.2 T | |||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 1.02 | |||
| Day Median Price | 192.81 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 192.81 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | 1.98 | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | 3.96 | |||
| Relative Strength Index | 49.64 |
Sika AG Risk Indicators
The analysis of Sika AG's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Sika AG's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting sika pink sheet prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 1.12 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 1.91 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 2.06 | |||
| Variance | 4.24 | |||
| Downside Variance | 6.94 | |||
| Semi Variance | 3.66 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (1.80) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Sika AG
The number of cover stories for Sika AG depends on current market conditions and Sika AG's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Sika AG is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Sika AG's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Other Information on Investing in Sika Pink Sheet
Sika AG financial ratios help investors to determine whether Sika Pink Sheet is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Sika with respect to the benefits of owning Sika AG security.