Sika AG Pink Sheet Forecast - Polynomial Regression

SKFOF Stock  USD 262.80  9.22  3.64%   
The Polynomial Regression forecasted value of Sika AG on the next trading day is expected to be 259.70 with a mean absolute deviation of 5.97 and the sum of the absolute errors of 364.36. Sika Pink Sheet Forecast is based on your current time horizon. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Sika AG's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
  
Sika AG polinomial regression implements a single variable polynomial regression model using the daily prices as the independent variable. The coefficients of the regression for Sika AG as well as the accuracy indicators are determined from the period prices.

Sika AG Polynomial Regression Price Forecast For the 23rd of November

Given 90 days horizon, the Polynomial Regression forecasted value of Sika AG on the next trading day is expected to be 259.70 with a mean absolute deviation of 5.97, mean absolute percentage error of 55.66, and the sum of the absolute errors of 364.36.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Sika Pink Sheet prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Sika AG's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Sika AG Pink Sheet Forecast Pattern

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Sika AG Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Sika AG's Pink Sheet value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Sika AG's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 257.21 and 262.20, respectively. We have considered Sika AG's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
262.80
257.21
Downside
259.70
Expected Value
262.20
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Polynomial Regression forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Sika AG pink sheet data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Sika AG pink sheet, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria122.1298
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation5.9731
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0199
SAESum of the absolute errors364.3595
A single variable polynomial regression model attempts to put a curve through the Sika AG historical price points. Mathematically, assuming the independent variable is X and the dependent variable is Y, this line can be indicated as: Y = a0 + a1*X + a2*X2 + a3*X3 + ... + am*Xm

Predictive Modules for Sika AG

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Sika AG. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
260.31262.80265.29
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
241.91244.40289.08
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
251.97272.05292.14
Details

Other Forecasting Options for Sika AG

For every potential investor in Sika, whether a beginner or expert, Sika AG's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Sika Pink Sheet price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Sika. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Sika AG's price trends.

Sika AG Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Sika AG pink sheet to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Sika AG could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Sika AG by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Sika AG Technical and Predictive Analytics

The pink sheet market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Sika AG's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Sika AG's current price.

Sika AG Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Sika AG pink sheet reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Sika AG shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Sika AG pink sheet market strength indicators, traders can identify Sika AG entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Sika AG Risk Indicators

The analysis of Sika AG's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Sika AG's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting sika pink sheet prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Currently Active Assets on Macroaxis

Other Information on Investing in Sika Pink Sheet

Sika AG financial ratios help investors to determine whether Sika Pink Sheet is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Sika with respect to the benefits of owning Sika AG security.