Skillsoft Corp Stock Forward View

SKIL Stock  USD 9.05  0.63  6.51%   
Skillsoft Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon. Although Skillsoft Corp's naive historical forecasting may sometimes provide an important future outlook for the firm, we recommend always cross-verifying it against solid analysis of Skillsoft Corp's systematic risk associated with finding meaningful patterns of Skillsoft Corp fundamentals over time.
As of now, the relative strength index (RSI) of Skillsoft Corp's share price is approaching 48. This usually implies that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its support level. The main point of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Skillsoft Corp, making its price go up or down.

Momentum 48

 Impartial

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Skillsoft Corp's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Skillsoft Corp and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Skillsoft Corp's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Skillsoft Corp, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting Skillsoft Corp's stock price prediction:
EPS Estimate Current Year
4.17
EPS Estimate Next Year
4.64
Wall Street Target Price
50
EPS Estimate Current Quarter
1.26
Quarterly Revenue Growth
(0.06)
Using Skillsoft Corp hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Skillsoft Corp from the perspective of Skillsoft Corp response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.

Skillsoft Relative Strength Index

The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Skillsoft Corp on the next trading day is expected to be 8.30 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.63 and the sum of the absolute errors of 39.34.

Skillsoft Corp Hype to Price Pattern

Investor biases related to Skillsoft Corp's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Skillsoft. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Skillsoft can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Skillsoft Corp. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Skillsoft Corp's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Skillsoft Corp.
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Skillsoft Corp on the next trading day is expected to be 8.30 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.63 and the sum of the absolute errors of 39.34.

Skillsoft Corp after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 8.97  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Skillsoft Corp to cross-verify your projections.
For more information on how to buy Skillsoft Stock please use our How to buy in Skillsoft Stock guide.

Skillsoft Corp Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Skillsoft price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Skillsoft using various technical indicators. When you analyze Skillsoft charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

Skillsoft Corp Cash Forecast

To forecast cash or other financial indicators, analysts must employ diverse statistical methods, techniques, and algorithms. This approach allows them to detect underlying patterns in the Skillsoft Corp's financial statements, predicting their influence on future market prices.
 
Cash  
First Reported
2019-01-31
Previous Quarter
100.5 M
Current Value
74.6 M
Quarterly Volatility
65.7 M
 
Covid
 
Interest Hikes
A naive forecasting model for Skillsoft Corp is a special case of the moving average forecasting where the number of periods used for smoothing is one. Therefore, the forecast of Skillsoft Corp value for a given trading day is simply the observed value for the previous period. Due to the simplistic nature of the naive forecasting model, it can only be used to forecast up to one period.

Skillsoft Corp Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 1st of February

Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Skillsoft Corp on the next trading day is expected to be 8.30 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.63, mean absolute percentage error of 0.73, and the sum of the absolute errors of 39.34.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Skillsoft Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Skillsoft Corp's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Skillsoft Corp Stock Forecast Pattern

Backtest Skillsoft Corp  Skillsoft Corp Price Prediction  Buy or Sell Advice  

Skillsoft Corp Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Skillsoft Corp's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Skillsoft Corp's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0.09 and 16.97, respectively. We have considered Skillsoft Corp's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
9.05
8.30
Expected Value
16.97
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Skillsoft Corp stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Skillsoft Corp stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria119.63
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation0.6345
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0713
SAESum of the absolute errors39.3418
This model is not at all useful as a medium-long range forecasting tool of Skillsoft Corp. This model is simplistic and is included partly for completeness and partly because of its simplicity. It is unlikely that you'll want to use this model directly to predict Skillsoft Corp. Instead, consider using either the moving average model or the more general weighted moving average model with a higher (i.e., greater than 1) number of periods, and possibly a different set of weights.

Predictive Modules for Skillsoft Corp

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Skillsoft Corp. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.308.9717.64
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
8.1518.9527.62
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
7.508.8210.14
Details
1 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
45.5050.0055.50
Details

Skillsoft Corp After-Hype Price Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Skillsoft Corp at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Skillsoft Corp or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Skillsoft Corp, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Skillsoft Corp Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Skillsoft Corp's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Skillsoft Corp's historical news coverage. Skillsoft Corp's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.30 and 17.64, respectively. We have considered Skillsoft Corp's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
9.05
8.97
After-hype Price
17.64
Upside
Skillsoft Corp is slightly risky at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Skillsoft Corp is based on 3 months time horizon.

Skillsoft Corp Stock Price Outlook Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Skillsoft Corp is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Skillsoft Corp backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Skillsoft Corp, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.21 
8.67
  0.08 
  0.01 
10 Events / Month
6 Events / Month
In about 10 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
9.05
8.97
0.88 
2,408  
Notes

Skillsoft Corp Hype Timeline

Skillsoft Corp is at this time traded for 9.05. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.08, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.01. Skillsoft is forecasted to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 8.97. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is over 100%. The price decrease on the next news is expected to be -0.88%, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at -0.21%. The volatility of related hype on Skillsoft Corp is about 19266.67%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 9.06. About 73.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The company has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 0.22. Skillsoft Corp recorded a loss per share of 15.84. The entity had not issued any dividends in recent years. The firm had 1:20 split on the 2nd of October 2023. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next forecasted press release will be in about 10 days.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Skillsoft Corp to cross-verify your projections.
For more information on how to buy Skillsoft Stock please use our How to buy in Skillsoft Stock guide.

Skillsoft Corp Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Skillsoft Corp's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Skillsoft Corp's future price movements. Getting to know how Skillsoft Corp's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Skillsoft Corp may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
VSATCTM Kids IT(0.25)8 per month 0.00 (0.28) 13.91 (23.98) 95.75 
LGCYLegacy Education 0.83 9 per month 3.25  0.01  6.29 (5.41) 22.37 
CHGGChegg Inc 0.04 12 per month 0.00 (0.1) 8.79 (11.32) 38.40 
HAINThe Hain Celestial(0.02)8 per month 0.00 (0.05) 9.40 (7.14) 19.76 
STGSunlands Technology Group(0.18)9 per month 0.00 (0.08) 6.03 (7.69) 34.54 
YOULYoulife Group American(0.05)8 per month 8.48  0  11.50 (13.29) 82.82 
GNSGenius Group 0.06 10 per month 0.00 (0.14) 8.11 (7.50) 24.04 
LFVNLifevantage(0.04)10 per month 0.00 (0.18) 4.62 (7.58) 18.83 
LFSLEIFRAS Co Ltd 0.05 3 per month 10.83  0.09  25.93 (22.92) 617.95 
HFFGHf Foods Group 0.01 6 per month 0.00 (0.11) 4.65 (4.89) 16.37 

Other Forecasting Options for Skillsoft Corp

For every potential investor in Skillsoft, whether a beginner or expert, Skillsoft Corp's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Skillsoft Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Skillsoft. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Skillsoft Corp's price trends.

Skillsoft Corp Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Skillsoft Corp stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Skillsoft Corp could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Skillsoft Corp by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Skillsoft Corp Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Skillsoft Corp stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Skillsoft Corp shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Skillsoft Corp stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Skillsoft Corp entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Skillsoft Corp Risk Indicators

The analysis of Skillsoft Corp's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Skillsoft Corp's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting skillsoft stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Story Coverage note for Skillsoft Corp

The number of cover stories for Skillsoft Corp depends on current market conditions and Skillsoft Corp's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Skillsoft Corp is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Skillsoft Corp's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Skillsoft Corp Short Properties

Skillsoft Corp's future price predictability will typically decrease when Skillsoft Corp's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Skillsoft Corp often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Skillsoft Corp's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Skillsoft Corp's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding8.2 M
Cash And Short Term Investments100.8 M
When determining whether Skillsoft Corp is a strong investment it is important to analyze Skillsoft Corp's competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact Skillsoft Corp's future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding Skillsoft Stock, refer to the following important reports:
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Skillsoft Corp to cross-verify your projections.
For more information on how to buy Skillsoft Stock please use our How to buy in Skillsoft Stock guide.
You can also try the Sectors module to list of equity sectors categorizing publicly traded companies based on their primary business activities.
Is Diversified Consumer Services space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Skillsoft Corp. If investors know Skillsoft will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. Comprehensive Skillsoft Corp assessment requires weighing all these inputs, though not all factors influence outcomes equally.
Earnings Share
(15.84)
Revenue Per Share
60.862
Quarterly Revenue Growth
(0.06)
Return On Assets
(0.03)
Return On Equity
(2.16)
Skillsoft Corp's market price often diverges from its book value, the accounting figure shown on Skillsoft's balance sheet. Smart investors calculate Skillsoft Corp's intrinsic value—its true economic worth—which may differ significantly from both market price and book value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Since Skillsoft Corp's trading price responds to investor sentiment, macroeconomic conditions, and market psychology, it can swing far from fundamental value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Skillsoft Corp's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Skillsoft Corp is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Skillsoft Corp's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.