SK Telecom Stock Forecast - Naive Prediction

SKM Stock  USD 20.48  0.10  0.49%   
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of SK Telecom Co on the next trading day is expected to be 21.01 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.22 and the sum of the absolute errors of 13.62. SKM Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Although SK Telecom's naive historical forecasting may sometimes provide an important future outlook for the firm, we recommend always cross-verifying it against solid analysis of SK Telecom's systematic risk associated with finding meaningful patterns of SK Telecom fundamentals over time.
As of now, The relative strength index (RSI) of SK Telecom's share price is at 50. This usually implies that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its resistance level. The main idea of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling SK Telecom, making its price go up or down.

Momentum 50

 Impartial

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of SK Telecom's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of SK Telecom and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from SK Telecom's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with SK Telecom Co, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting SK Telecom's stock price prediction:
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.75)
EPS Estimate Current Year
0.5992
EPS Estimate Next Year
2.1533
Wall Street Target Price
23.4778
Quarterly Revenue Growth
(0.12)
Using SK Telecom hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of SK Telecom Co from the perspective of SK Telecom response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards SK Telecom using SK Telecom's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards SKM using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of SK Telecom's stock price.

SK Telecom Short Interest

An investor who is long SK Telecom may also wish to track short interest. As short interest increases, investors should be becoming more worried about SK Telecom and may potentially protect profits, hedge SK Telecom with its derivative instruments, or be ready for some potential downside.
200 Day MA
21.3942
Short Percent
0.0059
Short Ratio
2
Shares Short Prior Month
1.3 M
50 Day MA
20.2456

SK Telecom Hype to Price Pattern

Investor biases related to SK Telecom's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in SKM. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding SKM can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around SK Telecom Co. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of SK Telecom's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about SK Telecom.

SK Telecom Implied Volatility

    
  0.9  
SK Telecom's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of SK Telecom Co stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if SK Telecom's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that SK Telecom stock will not fluctuate a lot when SK Telecom's options are near their expiration.
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of SK Telecom Co on the next trading day is expected to be 21.01 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.22 and the sum of the absolute errors of 13.62.

SK Telecom after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 20.48  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of SK Telecom to cross-verify your projections.
At this time, SK Telecom's Payables Turnover is very stable compared to the past year. As of the 9th of January 2026, Fixed Asset Turnover is likely to grow to 1.96, while Inventory Turnover is likely to drop 11.90. . As of the 9th of January 2026, Common Stock Shares Outstanding is likely to drop to about 322.7 M. In addition to that, Net Income Applicable To Common Shares is likely to drop to about 742.1 B.

Open Interest Against 2026-03-20 SKM Option Contracts

Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast SK Telecom's spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in SK Telecom's options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for SK Telecom stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current SK Telecom's open interest, investors have to compare it to SK Telecom's spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of SK Telecom is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in SKM. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.

SK Telecom Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine SKM price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for SKM using various technical indicators. When you analyze SKM charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

SK Telecom Cash Forecast

Forecasting financial indicators like cash flow involves analysts applying various statistical methods, techniques, and algorithms. These tools reveal hidden trends within the SK Telecom's financial statements to estimate their effects on upcoming price movements.
 
Cash  
First Reported
1998-12-31
Previous Quarter
2.4 T
Current Value
1.4 T
Quarterly Volatility
571.9 B
 
Dot-com Bubble
 
Housing Crash
 
Credit Downgrade
 
Yuan Drop
 
Covid
A naive forecasting model for SK Telecom is a special case of the moving average forecasting where the number of periods used for smoothing is one. Therefore, the forecast of SK Telecom Co value for a given trading day is simply the observed value for the previous period. Due to the simplistic nature of the naive forecasting model, it can only be used to forecast up to one period.

SK Telecom Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 10th of January

Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of SK Telecom Co on the next trading day is expected to be 21.01 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.22, mean absolute percentage error of 0.07, and the sum of the absolute errors of 13.62.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict SKM Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that SK Telecom's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

SK Telecom Stock Forecast Pattern

Backtest SK TelecomSK Telecom Price PredictionBuy or Sell Advice 

SK Telecom Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting SK Telecom's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. SK Telecom's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 19.99 and 22.03, respectively. We have considered SK Telecom's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
20.48
21.01
Expected Value
22.03
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of SK Telecom stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent SK Telecom stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria117.219
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation0.2197
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0108
SAESum of the absolute errors13.6206
This model is not at all useful as a medium-long range forecasting tool of SK Telecom Co. This model is simplistic and is included partly for completeness and partly because of its simplicity. It is unlikely that you'll want to use this model directly to predict SK Telecom. Instead, consider using either the moving average model or the more general weighted moving average model with a higher (i.e., greater than 1) number of periods, and possibly a different set of weights.

Predictive Modules for SK Telecom

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as SK Telecom. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
19.4620.4821.50
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
19.5420.5621.58
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
19.6420.2720.90
Details
2 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
21.3623.4826.06
Details

Other Forecasting Options for SK Telecom

For every potential investor in SKM, whether a beginner or expert, SK Telecom's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. SKM Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in SKM. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying SK Telecom's price trends.

SK Telecom Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with SK Telecom stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of SK Telecom could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing SK Telecom by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

SK Telecom Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of SK Telecom's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of SK Telecom's current price.

SK Telecom Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how SK Telecom stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading SK Telecom shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying SK Telecom stock market strength indicators, traders can identify SK Telecom Co entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

SK Telecom Risk Indicators

The analysis of SK Telecom's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in SK Telecom's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting skm stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

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When determining whether SK Telecom is a strong investment it is important to analyze SK Telecom's competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact SK Telecom's future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding SKM Stock, refer to the following important reports:
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of SK Telecom to cross-verify your projections.
You can also try the Equity Forecasting module to use basic forecasting models to generate price predictions and determine price momentum.
Is Wireless Telecommunication Services space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of SK Telecom. If investors know SKM will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about SK Telecom listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.75)
Dividend Share
3.5 K
Earnings Share
1.02
Revenue Per Share
45.2 K
Quarterly Revenue Growth
(0.12)
The market value of SK Telecom is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of SKM that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of SK Telecom's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is SK Telecom's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because SK Telecom's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect SK Telecom's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between SK Telecom's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if SK Telecom is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, SK Telecom's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.