Silicon Laboratories Stock Forecast - Triple Exponential Smoothing

SLAB Stock  USD 140.61  4.74  3.26%   
Silicon Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Silicon Laboratories stock prices and determine the direction of Silicon Laboratories's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Silicon Laboratories' historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
At the present time, the relative strength index (RSI) of Silicon Laboratories' share price is approaching 49. This usually implies that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its support level. The main point of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Silicon Laboratories, making its price go up or down.

Momentum 49

 Impartial

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Silicon Laboratories' future price could yield a significant profit. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Silicon Laboratories, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting Silicon Laboratories' stock price prediction:
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.47)
EPS Estimate Next Quarter
0.3903
EPS Estimate Current Year
0.9062
EPS Estimate Next Year
2.7058
Wall Street Target Price
152.2
Using Silicon Laboratories hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Silicon Laboratories from the perspective of Silicon Laboratories response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Silicon Laboratories using Silicon Laboratories' stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Silicon using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Silicon Laboratories' stock price.

Silicon Laboratories Short Interest

A significant increase or decrease in Silicon Laboratories' short interest from the previous month could be a good indicator of investor sentiment towards Silicon. Short interest can provide insight into the potential direction of Silicon Laboratories stock and how bullish or bearish investors feel about the market overall.
200 Day MA
130.7119
Short Percent
0.0915
Short Ratio
6.63
Shares Short Prior Month
1.8 M
50 Day MA
135.3446

Silicon Relative Strength Index

The Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Silicon Laboratories on the next trading day is expected to be 139.34 with a mean absolute deviation of 2.72 and the sum of the absolute errors of 163.21.

Silicon Laboratories Hype to Price Pattern

Investor biases related to Silicon Laboratories' public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Silicon. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Silicon can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Silicon Laboratories. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Silicon Laboratories' market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Silicon Laboratories.

Silicon Laboratories Implied Volatility

    
  0.55  
Silicon Laboratories' implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Silicon Laboratories stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Silicon Laboratories' implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Silicon Laboratories stock will not fluctuate a lot when Silicon Laboratories' options are near their expiration.
The Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Silicon Laboratories on the next trading day is expected to be 139.34 with a mean absolute deviation of 2.72 and the sum of the absolute errors of 163.21.

Silicon Laboratories after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 140.61  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Silicon Laboratories to cross-verify your projections.
For information on how to trade Silicon Stock refer to our How to Trade Silicon Stock guide.

Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Silicon contract

Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Silicon Laboratories will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.0344% per day over the life of the 2026-04-17 option contract. With Silicon Laboratories trading at USD 140.61, that is roughly USD 0.0483 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating Silicon Laboratories' daily price movement you should consider acquiring Silicon Laboratories options at the current volatility level of 0.55%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.

Open Interest Against 2026-04-17 Silicon Option Contracts

Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast Silicon Laboratories' spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in Silicon Laboratories' options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for Silicon Laboratories stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current Silicon Laboratories' open interest, investors have to compare it to Silicon Laboratories' spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of Silicon Laboratories is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in Silicon. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.

Silicon Laboratories Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Silicon price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Silicon using various technical indicators. When you analyze Silicon charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
Triple exponential smoothing for Silicon Laboratories - also known as the Winters method - is a refinement of the popular double exponential smoothing model with the addition of periodicity (seasonality) component. Simple exponential smoothing technique works best with data where there are no trend or seasonality components to the data. When Silicon Laboratories prices exhibit either an increasing or decreasing trend over time, simple exponential smoothing forecasts tend to lag behind observations. Double exponential smoothing is designed to address this type of data series by taking into account any trend in Silicon Laboratories price movement. However, neither of these exponential smoothing models address any seasonality of Silicon Laboratories.

Silicon Laboratories Triple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 28th of January

Given 90 days horizon, the Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Silicon Laboratories on the next trading day is expected to be 139.34 with a mean absolute deviation of 2.72, mean absolute percentage error of 12.51, and the sum of the absolute errors of 163.21.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Silicon Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Silicon Laboratories' next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Silicon Laboratories Stock Forecast Pattern

Backtest Silicon Laboratories  Silicon Laboratories Price Prediction  Buy or Sell Advice  

Silicon Laboratories Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Silicon Laboratories' Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Silicon Laboratories' downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 136.90 and 141.78, respectively. We have considered Silicon Laboratories' daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
140.61
136.90
Downside
139.34
Expected Value
141.78
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Silicon Laboratories stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Silicon Laboratories stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information CriteriaHuge
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors -0.3061
MADMean absolute deviation2.7202
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.02
SAESum of the absolute errors163.2111
As with simple exponential smoothing, in triple exponential smoothing models past Silicon Laboratories observations are given exponentially smaller weights as the observations get older. In other words, recent observations are given relatively more weight in forecasting than the older Silicon Laboratories observations.

Predictive Modules for Silicon Laboratories

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Silicon Laboratories. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
138.15140.61143.07
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
135.07137.53154.67
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
127.70141.86156.02
Details
11 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
138.50152.20168.94
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Silicon Laboratories. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Silicon Laboratories' peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Silicon Laboratories' competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Silicon Laboratories.

Silicon Laboratories After-Hype Price Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Silicon Laboratories at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Silicon Laboratories or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Silicon Laboratories, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Silicon Laboratories Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Silicon Laboratories' stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Silicon Laboratories' historical news coverage. Silicon Laboratories' after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 138.15 and 143.07, respectively. We have considered Silicon Laboratories' daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
140.61
138.15
Downside
140.61
After-hype Price
143.07
Upside
Silicon Laboratories is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Silicon Laboratories is based on 3 months time horizon.

Silicon Laboratories Stock Price Outlook Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Silicon Laboratories is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Silicon Laboratories backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Silicon Laboratories, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.13 
2.44
  0.28 
  0.33 
23 Events / Month
7 Events / Month
In about 23 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
140.61
140.61
0.00 
114.02  
Notes

Silicon Laboratories Hype Timeline

Silicon Laboratories is at this time traded for 140.61. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.28, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.33. Silicon is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is about 114.02%. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at 0.13%. %. The volatility of related hype on Silicon Laboratories is about 95.61%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 140.94. About 98.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The book value of Silicon Laboratories was at this time reported as 32.59. The company has Price/Earnings (P/E) ratio of 260.36. Silicon Laboratories recorded a loss per share of 2.63. The entity had not issued any dividends in recent years. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next forecasted press release will be in about 23 days.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Silicon Laboratories to cross-verify your projections.
For information on how to trade Silicon Stock refer to our How to Trade Silicon Stock guide.

Silicon Laboratories Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Silicon Laboratories' direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Silicon Laboratories' future price movements. Getting to know how Silicon Laboratories' peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Silicon Laboratories may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
AMBAAmbarella 0.09 33 per month 0.00 (0.08) 5.30 (4.88) 24.30 
FORMFormFactor 2.14 10 per month 3.16  0.18  6.53 (5.12) 33.79 
IPGPIPG Photonics(0.70)13 per month 2.47 (0.02) 3.62 (4.00) 12.41 
VRNSVaronis Systems(1.21)25 per month 0.00 (0.09) 4.40 (2.93) 50.43 
VIAVia Transportation 1.20 10 per month 0.00 (0.21) 6.02 (7.74) 18.71 
CLBTCellebrite DI 3.38 3 per month 0.00 (0.06) 3.60 (4.33) 25.88 
SAICScience Applications International 3.48 11 per month 1.96  0.01  3.42 (2.60) 20.14 
VICRVicor 3.80 9 per month 2.38  0.27  7.38 (5.35) 38.42 
NAVNNavan Class A 3.38 31 per month 0.00 (0.08) 9.63 (10.70) 21.66 
SIMOSilicon Motion Technology 9.96 10 per month 2.61  0.08  4.32 (5.47) 23.47 

Other Forecasting Options for Silicon Laboratories

For every potential investor in Silicon, whether a beginner or expert, Silicon Laboratories' price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Silicon Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Silicon. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Silicon Laboratories' price trends.

Silicon Laboratories Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Silicon Laboratories stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Silicon Laboratories could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Silicon Laboratories by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Silicon Laboratories Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Silicon Laboratories stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Silicon Laboratories shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Silicon Laboratories stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Silicon Laboratories entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Silicon Laboratories Risk Indicators

The analysis of Silicon Laboratories' basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Silicon Laboratories' investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting silicon stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Story Coverage note for Silicon Laboratories

The number of cover stories for Silicon Laboratories depends on current market conditions and Silicon Laboratories' risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Silicon Laboratories is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Silicon Laboratories' long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Silicon Laboratories Short Properties

Silicon Laboratories' future price predictability will typically decrease when Silicon Laboratories' long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Silicon Laboratories often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Silicon Laboratories' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Silicon Laboratories' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding32.2 M
Cash And Short Term Investments382.2 M
When determining whether Silicon Laboratories offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of Silicon Laboratories' financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Silicon Laboratories Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Silicon Laboratories Stock:
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Silicon Laboratories to cross-verify your projections.
For information on how to trade Silicon Stock refer to our How to Trade Silicon Stock guide.
You can also try the Crypto Correlations module to use cryptocurrency correlation module to diversify your cryptocurrency portfolio across multiple coins.
Is Semiconductors & Semiconductor Equipment space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Silicon Laboratories. If investors know Silicon will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Silicon Laboratories listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.47)
Earnings Share
(2.63)
Revenue Per Share
22.787
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.238
Return On Assets
(0.05)
The market value of Silicon Laboratories is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Silicon that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Silicon Laboratories' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Silicon Laboratories' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Silicon Laboratories' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Silicon Laboratories' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Silicon Laboratories' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Silicon Laboratories is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Silicon Laboratories' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.