SLR Investment Stock Forecast - Double Exponential Smoothing

SLRC Stock  USD 16.55  0.09  0.54%   
The Double Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of SLR Investment Corp on the next trading day is expected to be 16.60 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.11 and the sum of the absolute errors of 6.82. SLR Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast SLR Investment stock prices and determine the direction of SLR Investment Corp's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of SLR Investment's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
  
The current year's Inventory Turnover is expected to grow to 0.01. The current year's Payables Turnover is expected to grow to 0.35. As of November 27, 2024, Common Stock Shares Outstanding is expected to decline to about 45.5 M. In addition to that, Net Income Applicable To Common Shares is expected to decline to about 15.7 M.
Double exponential smoothing - also known as Holt exponential smoothing is a refinement of the popular simple exponential smoothing model with an additional trending component. Double exponential smoothing model for SLR Investment works best with periods where there are trends or seasonality.

SLR Investment Double Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 28th of November

Given 90 days horizon, the Double Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of SLR Investment Corp on the next trading day is expected to be 16.60 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.11, mean absolute percentage error of 0.02, and the sum of the absolute errors of 6.82.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict SLR Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that SLR Investment's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

SLR Investment Stock Forecast Pattern

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SLR Investment Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting SLR Investment's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. SLR Investment's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 15.68 and 17.52, respectively. We have considered SLR Investment's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
16.55
16.60
Expected Value
17.52
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Double Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of SLR Investment stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent SLR Investment stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information CriteriaHuge
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors 0.0313
MADMean absolute deviation0.1137
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0073
SAESum of the absolute errors6.82
When SLR Investment Corp prices exhibit either an increasing or decreasing trend over time, simple exponential smoothing forecasts tend to lag behind observations. Double exponential smoothing is designed to address this type of data series by taking into account any SLR Investment Corp trend in the prices. So in double exponential smoothing past observations are given exponentially smaller weights as the observations get older. In other words, recent SLR Investment observations are given relatively more weight in forecasting than the older observations.

Predictive Modules for SLR Investment

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as SLR Investment Corp. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
15.7316.6417.55
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
15.4616.3717.28
Details
9 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
14.0515.4417.14
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
0.430.440.45
Details

Other Forecasting Options for SLR Investment

For every potential investor in SLR, whether a beginner or expert, SLR Investment's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. SLR Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in SLR. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying SLR Investment's price trends.

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 Risk & Return  Correlation

SLR Investment Corp Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of SLR Investment's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of SLR Investment's current price.

SLR Investment Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how SLR Investment stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading SLR Investment shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying SLR Investment stock market strength indicators, traders can identify SLR Investment Corp entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

SLR Investment Risk Indicators

The analysis of SLR Investment's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in SLR Investment's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting slr stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Also Currently Popular

Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.
When determining whether SLR Investment Corp offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of SLR Investment's financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Slr Investment Corp Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Slr Investment Corp Stock:
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of SLR Investment to cross-verify your projections.
You can also try the Funds Screener module to find actively-traded funds from around the world traded on over 30 global exchanges.
Is Asset Management & Custody Banks space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of SLR Investment. If investors know SLR will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about SLR Investment listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.19)
Dividend Share
1.64
Earnings Share
1.77
Revenue Per Share
4.326
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.002
The market value of SLR Investment Corp is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of SLR that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of SLR Investment's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is SLR Investment's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because SLR Investment's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect SLR Investment's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between SLR Investment's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if SLR Investment is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, SLR Investment's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.