SLR Investment Stock Forecast - Simple Exponential Smoothing
| SLRC Stock | USD 14.94 0.19 1.26% |
SLR Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast SLR Investment stock prices and determine the direction of SLR Investment Corp's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of SLR Investment's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
At the present time, the relative strength index (RSI) of SLR Investment's share price is approaching 44. This usually implies that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its support level. The main point of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling SLR Investment, making its price go up or down. Momentum 44
Sell Extended
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.057 | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 0.4127 | EPS Estimate Current Year 1.598 | EPS Estimate Next Year 1.5913 | Wall Street Target Price 16.4167 |
Using SLR Investment hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of SLR Investment Corp from the perspective of SLR Investment response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards SLR Investment using SLR Investment's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards SLR using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of SLR Investment's stock price.
SLR Investment Implied Volatility | 0.95 |
SLR Investment's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of SLR Investment Corp stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if SLR Investment's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that SLR Investment stock will not fluctuate a lot when SLR Investment's options are near their expiration.
The Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of SLR Investment Corp on the next trading day is expected to be 14.94 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.12 and the sum of the absolute errors of 7.17. SLR Investment after-hype prediction price | USD 14.94 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of SLR Investment to cross-verify your projections. Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current SLR contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that SLR Investment Corp will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.0594% per day over the life of the 2026-03-20 option contract. With SLR Investment trading at USD 14.94, that is roughly USD 0.008871 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating SLR Investment's daily price movement you should consider acquiring SLR Investment Corp options at the current volatility level of 0.95%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Open Interest Against 2026-03-20 SLR Option Contracts
Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast SLR Investment's spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in SLR Investment's options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for SLR Investment stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current SLR Investment's open interest, investors have to compare it to SLR Investment's spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of SLR Investment is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in SLR. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.
SLR Investment Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine SLR price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for SLR using various technical indicators. When you analyze SLR charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
SLR Investment Simple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 28th of January
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of SLR Investment Corp on the next trading day is expected to be 14.94 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.12, mean absolute percentage error of 0.02, and the sum of the absolute errors of 7.17.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict SLR Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that SLR Investment's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
SLR Investment Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest SLR Investment | SLR Investment Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
SLR Investment Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting SLR Investment's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. SLR Investment's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 13.91 and 15.97, respectively. We have considered SLR Investment's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of SLR Investment stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent SLR Investment stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 112.5597 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | -5.0E-4 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.1195 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0079 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 7.17 |
Predictive Modules for SLR Investment
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as SLR Investment Corp. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.SLR Investment After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of SLR Investment at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in SLR Investment or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of SLR Investment, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
SLR Investment Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting SLR Investment's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on SLR Investment's historical news coverage. SLR Investment's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 13.91 and 15.97, respectively. We have considered SLR Investment's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
SLR Investment is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of SLR Investment Corp is based on 3 months time horizon.
SLR Investment Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as SLR Investment is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading SLR Investment backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with SLR Investment, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.01 | 1.03 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 8 Events / Month | 6 Events / Month | In about 8 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
14.94 | 14.94 | 0.00 |
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SLR Investment Hype Timeline
SLR Investment Corp is at this time traded for 14.94. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. SLR is projected not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is projected to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at 0.01%. %. The volatility of related hype on SLR Investment is about 1337.66%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 14.94. About 40.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The company has price-to-book ratio of 0.82. Typically companies with comparable Price to Book (P/B) are able to outperform the market in the long run. SLR Investment Corp has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 2.65. The entity last dividend was issued on the 12th of December 2025. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next projected press release will be in about 8 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of SLR Investment to cross-verify your projections.SLR Investment Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to SLR Investment's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict SLR Investment's future price movements. Getting to know how SLR Investment's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how SLR Investment may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| CGBD | Carlyle Secured Lending | 0.21 | 9 per month | 1.33 | (0.02) | 2.23 | (2.09) | 5.52 | |
| FDUS | Fidus Investment Corp | (0.06) | 6 per month | 0.00 | (0.11) | 1.94 | (1.84) | 5.94 | |
| BCSF | Bain Capital Specialty | (0.08) | 10 per month | 0.00 | (0.07) | 1.93 | (1.87) | 6.32 | |
| PFLT | PennantPark Floating Rate | 0.10 | 11 per month | 0.70 | 0.08 | 1.95 | (1.50) | 4.17 | |
| ASA | ASA Gold and | 0.94 | 13 per month | 1.56 | 0.29 | 4.90 | (3.23) | 9.84 | |
| TYG | Tortoise Energy Infrastructure | (0.52) | 9 per month | 0.86 | 0.02 | 1.95 | (1.63) | 6.01 | |
| NCDL | Nuveen Churchill Direct | (0.04) | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.08) | 2.17 | (1.80) | 6.20 | |
| NMFC | New Mountain Finance | 0.06 | 11 per month | 0.00 | (0.12) | 1.41 | (1.72) | 5.28 | |
| MSIF | MSCome Fund | (0.02) | 4 per month | 1.65 | (0.01) | 2.91 | (2.89) | 11.44 | |
| KBDC | Kayne Anderson BDC | 0.18 | 7 per month | 1.16 | (0) | 2.84 | (2.35) | 6.04 |
Other Forecasting Options for SLR Investment
For every potential investor in SLR, whether a beginner or expert, SLR Investment's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. SLR Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in SLR. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying SLR Investment's price trends.SLR Investment Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with SLR Investment stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of SLR Investment could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing SLR Investment by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
SLR Investment Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how SLR Investment stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading SLR Investment shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying SLR Investment stock market strength indicators, traders can identify SLR Investment Corp entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
| Rate Of Daily Change | 0.99 | |||
| Day Median Price | 14.94 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 14.94 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | (0.1) | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | (0.19) | |||
| Relative Strength Index | 44.73 |
SLR Investment Risk Indicators
The analysis of SLR Investment's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in SLR Investment's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting slr stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 0.8434 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 0.943 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 1.09 | |||
| Variance | 1.19 | |||
| Downside Variance | 1.25 | |||
| Semi Variance | 0.8892 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (0.97) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for SLR Investment
The number of cover stories for SLR Investment depends on current market conditions and SLR Investment's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that SLR Investment is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about SLR Investment's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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SLR Investment Short Properties
SLR Investment's future price predictability will typically decrease when SLR Investment's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of SLR Investment Corp often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential SLR Investment's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. SLR Investment's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 54.4 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 414.3 M |
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of SLR Investment to cross-verify your projections. You can also try the Portfolio Volatility module to check portfolio volatility and analyze historical return density to properly model market risk.
Is Asset Management & Custody Banks space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of SLR Investment. If investors know SLR will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about SLR Investment listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.057 | Dividend Share 1.64 | Earnings Share 1.66 | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.05) |
The market value of SLR Investment Corp is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of SLR that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of SLR Investment's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is SLR Investment's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because SLR Investment's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect SLR Investment's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between SLR Investment's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if SLR Investment is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, SLR Investment's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.